Worst-Bloom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

Trades

144

lifetime

Volume

$346

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-09 06:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 55% +$0

Other

10% 0% -$1

Politics

1% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 90k on january 8	4	$45	182	182	+0	Yes	$0	01-08 16:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$32	21	21	+0	open	—	05-15 14:26
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	05-15 06:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$13	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-17 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-18 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	4	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	10-03 04:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-15 04:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	3	$7	16	7	+9	Down	+$1	10-01 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$6	8	0	+8	Up	+$2	05-18 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	4	$5	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	10-08 06:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	10-08 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	10-03 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	10-03 03:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	05-18 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	-$5	05-18 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-17 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	10-02 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$5	7	7	+0	Down	+$3	10-01 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	10-08 06:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	10-08 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	3	$4	31	6	+25	Up	+$0	10-08 07:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$3	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	10-01 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$3	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	10-08 06:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	10-02 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	05-18 03:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$3	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	10-08 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	10-01 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	10-02 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	10-02 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	10-02 16:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 06:01:04	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x63cb7f…
10-09 05:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdf2d44…
10-08 07:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x5fc59a…
10-08 07:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x59c26e…
10-08 07:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x831869…
10-08 07:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x9f7bda…
10-08 07:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb8a284…
10-08 07:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xbf5de7…
10-08 07:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xc09e26…
10-08 07:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x26ce99…
10-08 07:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe78f67…
10-08 07:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x190cca…
10-08 07:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5adbaf…
10-08 07:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x685d3a…
10-08 06:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0xbaccc4…
10-08 06:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xefce19…
10-08 06:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x2356c8…
10-08 06:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x955e09…
10-08 06:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xaa7676…
10-08 06:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x591b2d…
10-08 06:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x901e6b…
10-08 06:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x368a2a…
10-08 06:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x9be411…
10-08 06:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x435057…
10-08 06:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x1f58a9…
10-08 06:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x16b9f4…
10-08 06:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb67d8f…
10-03 04:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6457da…
10-03 04:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x04ef7e…
10-03 04:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0xdebdb7…
10-03 04:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x7619e6…
10-03 04:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x536a56…
10-03 04:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x0e4aa7…
10-03 03:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x0ed60d…
10-03 03:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x2c10bc…
10-03 03:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x3b8c62…
10-03 03:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xfab783…
10-03 03:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x9a379c…
10-03 03:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa5fafe…
10-03 03:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0xc1f6ae…
10-03 03:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3272b7…
10-03 03:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xcb7e14…
10-03 03:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xef008d…
10-03 03:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x9fc2d1…
10-03 03:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf789b8…
10-03 02:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x25f827…
10-03 02:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xae2a3e…
10-03 02:12:27	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc452c0…
10-03 02:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8bf30f…
10-02 16:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	12¢	$0	0xf333e6…
10-02 16:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xfbcc04…
10-02 16:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xfdc686…
10-02 16:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9f295b…
10-02 16:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x7e3b86…
10-02 16:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd9cbab…
10-02 16:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xc7314d…
10-02 16:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x756a6b…
10-02 16:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x298aa8…
10-02 16:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x20c3db…
10-02 16:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0xea53fb…
10-02 16:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5677b1…
10-02 15:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xe50849…
10-02 15:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5421d3…
10-02 15:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$2	0x4be59e…
10-02 15:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb18972…
10-02 15:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x2bf982…
10-02 15:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x97645f…
10-02 15:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x89f830…
10-02 15:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x07bdb3…
10-02 15:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc5ca7e…
10-02 14:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x396c3f…
10-02 14:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb05180…
10-02 14:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x66861f…
10-02 13:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xcda3b1…
10-02 13:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xc93ded…
10-02 13:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x0d1c85…
10-02 13:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9baddf…
10-02 13:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xc5c3c4…
10-02 13:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x98773b…
10-02 13:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x94597a…
10-02 13:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x690613…
10-02 13:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x971aba…
10-02 12:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x4cad8c…
10-02 12:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3b42aa…
10-02 12:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xffd5d2…
10-02 12:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8a40b3…
10-01 16:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x43af59…
10-01 15:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x269f43…
10-01 15:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x0125dc…
10-01 15:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x020fdc…
10-01 15:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf1f65e…
10-01 14:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa7241f…
10-01 14:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	65¢	$4	0x1bd7a8…
10-01 14:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xa05303…
10-01 14:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8a9a86…
10-01 14:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa4218c…
10-01 13:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9db4a1…
10-01 13:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0xba422d…
10-01 13:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb3ed67…
10-01 13:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x7ad98a…