Imperturbable-Gem — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$421

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-10 15:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

50% — —

Crypto

35% 8% $-421

Politics

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	2	$507	17,647	17,647	+0	open	—	05-05 20:39
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	4	$215	490	490	+0	open	—	05-03 18:26
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	4	$196	3,776	0	+3,776	Yes	$-196	05-10 15:05
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	4	$141	25,332	25,000	+332	open	—	04-29 20:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$100	10,000	0	+10,000	Down	$-100	05-05 21:10
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$63	45	45	+0	open	—	04-28 08:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$25	109	0	+109	Up	$-25	05-05 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$23	216	0	+216	Up	$-23	05-05 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$20	735	0	+735	Down	$-20	05-05 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$20	36	0	+36	Up	$-20	05-05 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$11	1,100	0	+1,100	Down	$-11	05-05 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$11	22	0	+22	Up	$-11	05-06 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	$-10	05-05 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$10	200	0	+200	Up	$-10	05-05 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$10	62	0	+62	Up	+$52	05-05 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	$-10	05-05 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$10	53	0	+53	Up	$-10	05-06 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Down	+$4	05-05 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	Up	$-10	05-05 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$8	33	33	+0	Up	$-2	05-05 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$5	28	0	+28	Up	$-5	05-06 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-06 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	$-0	05-05 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$3	100	0	+100	Down	$-3	05-06 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$3	200	0	+200	Up	$-3	05-06 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	1	$2	38	0	+38	Down	$-2	05-05 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-06 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	Up	$-1	05-05 21:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 15:05:56	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	No	BUY	3,083	2¢	$46	0x6ece1a…
05-09 16:46:13	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	No	BUY	246	20¢	$49	0x1fae3c…
05-07 21:06:53	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	No	BUY	239	21¢	$50	0xbbb1e7…
05-07 00:57:15	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	No	BUY	209	24¢	$50	0xf09b8f…
05-06 20:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdadd89…
05-06 20:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x877a58…
05-06 20:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7c46ce…
05-06 20:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x3edcfa…
05-06 20:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x1a918a…
05-06 20:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xafc829…
05-06 09:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0xf5a728…
05-06 09:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa13399…
05-06 09:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x4f9e7a…
05-06 09:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xf50bfc…
05-05 23:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0x0a2dea…
05-05 23:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xa7428d…
05-05 23:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6c317a…
05-05 23:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xc54c45…
05-05 23:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	33	8¢	$3	0x474189…
05-05 23:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x2151a2…
05-05 22:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	169	2¢	$3	0xbb3421…
05-05 22:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x5d7335…
05-05 22:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xcfc607…
05-05 22:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x061e7c…
05-05 22:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x0d1830…
05-05 22:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x2041b8…
05-05 22:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x2ffacf…
05-05 22:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x5a1be2…
05-05 22:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	235	4¢	$10	0x75c3e4…
05-05 22:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xa8bd3d…
05-05 21:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x31b92e…
05-05 21:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1,100	1¢	$11	0xbcf7ae…
05-05 21:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x188cab…
05-05 21:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0x7cc918…
05-05 20:39:46	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17,647	1¢	$207	0xa9d630…
05-05 18:33:54	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17,647	2¢	$300	0xe246ec…
05-03 18:26:42	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	490	19¢	$93	0xba7c08…
04-30 15:04:38	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	176	25¢	$44	0xb05f03…
04-30 02:14:08	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	45	18¢	$8	0xd77226…
04-29 21:15:38	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	269	26¢	$70	0x617c09…
04-29 20:06:20	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	332	0¢	$1	0xc2a24b…
04-29 19:54:18	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	25,000	0¢	$75	0xcd15fa…
04-28 22:40:06	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	15,000	0¢	$45	0x3bc4e6…
04-28 08:31:06	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x03216b…
04-27 12:31:26	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0x7e0157…
04-27 11:53:32	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	45	40¢	$18	0xd8ad87…