Realized P&L
-$123
Unrealized P&L
-$241
Hit rate
71.5%
Resolved
865
Trades
1,402
lifetime
Volume
$4.36K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$1.03K
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 10-31 15:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 135 days
Categories
Other
77% 59% -$86
Politics
19% 50% -$47
Sports
4% 76% +$10
Tech
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +6,931 $901 10¢ $658 -$243 09-27 23:17
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +177 $110 70¢ $125 +$15 09-27 07:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +245 $79 32¢ $80 +$1 10-30 04:10
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +79 $50 72¢ $57 +$7 09-27 08:19
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +84 $72 66¢ $56 -$17 09-24 15:56
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +76 $50 55¢ $42 -$8 10-02 16:25
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$1 10-30 04:14
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +59 $1 8¢ $4 +$3 09-27 08:26