Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.65K

Unrealized P&L

-$49

Hit rate

63.4%

Resolved

119

Trades

463

lifetime

Volume

$13.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$55

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-08

last 10-29 16:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 75% -$171

Other

20% 38% +$487

Politics

20% 10% -$1,925

Sports

2% 50% -$4

Tech

0% 0% -$37

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	+1,031	$45	2¢	$26	-$19	10-14 10:44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	+43	$20	44¢	$19	-$1	10-16 17:34
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	+3,127	$39	0¢	$11	-$28	10-19 17:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?	12	$2.2K	7,931	4,867	+3,064	Yes	-$1,834	09-30 08:40
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?	5	$1.2K	1,067	1,067	+0	No	+$884	09-04 02:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	6	$614	347	347	+0	Down	+$14	09-06 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	6	$428	255	255	+0	Up	+$18	09-05 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	6	$415	248	248	+0	Down	+$5	09-06 04:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 5?	2	$410	228	228	+0	Yes	-$18	09-05 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	4	$403	223	223	+0	Up	+$3	09-06 04:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	6	$320	181	181	+0	Down	+$0	09-06 03:58
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	4	$320	250	250	+0	No	+$20	09-18 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	3	$302	219	112	+106	Down	+$9	09-06 04:52
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$293	236	121	+116	Yes	+$27	09-10 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	21	$273	312	228	+84	Down	+$48	09-05 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$254	252	129	+123	Up	-$156	09-05 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	5	$221	121	121	+0	Up	-$9	09-06 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$205	106	106	+0	Up	+$5	09-06 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$204	105	105	+0	Up	+$4	09-05 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$202	109	109	+0	Down	+$2	09-06 04:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	5	$191	212	96	+115	Down	+$27	09-05 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	14	$190	130	69	+62	Up	+$2	10-02 06:13
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	2	$185	164	164	+0	No	-$15	09-15 10:09
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	2	$184	151	151	+0	No	+$3	09-10 17:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 16?	2	$167	97	97	+0	Yes	-$9	09-16 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	9	$161	82	82	+0	Up	+$1	10-02 03:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	4	$145	189	44	+145	Up	-$115	09-05 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	8	$124	77	57	+21	Up	+$4	10-02 04:27
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?	2	$123	235	0	+235	Yes	-$123	09-04 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	10	$121	92	32	+61	Down	+$1	10-02 06:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	5	$120	138	26	+112	Down	-$110	09-06 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	6	$118	87	87	+0	Down	+$8	09-05 13:29
Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	2	$116	103	103	+0	Yes	+$36	09-20 13:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:07:04	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	103	32¢	$33	0xea0926…
10-29 14:49:08	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x8207fa…
10-22 12:29:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x356271…
10-19 17:54:48	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	3,127	1¢	$39	0x2830bd…
10-16 17:34:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x731e8a…
10-14 10:44:37	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xeb9c6e…
10-14 08:45:41	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0x6e6fdb…
10-12 11:54:53	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	1,054	4¢	$46	0x7ea516…
10-08 05:46:08	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 24?	No	BUY	82	48¢	$39	0x3f67f6…
10-03 17:24:15	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 24?	No	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x917ddd…
10-03 06:06:24	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 24?	No	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x8938a3…
10-02 07:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xdbc369…
10-02 06:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xa939ca…
10-02 06:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0xcb7cdc…
10-02 06:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xebd6ff…
10-02 06:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb3d4cc…
10-02 06:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6ef5b6…
10-02 06:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6c8b6c…
10-02 06:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd53948…
10-02 06:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2d0bd2…
10-02 06:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x25687e…
10-02 06:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x8388f4…
10-02 06:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x77c8d4…
10-02 06:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x75a911…
10-02 06:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x55efaa…
10-02 06:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xfd0ad6…
10-02 06:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xb82943…
10-02 06:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xd989f8…
10-02 06:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x037974…
10-02 06:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xd3e814…
10-02 06:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0x57dbd8…
10-02 06:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xa29662…
10-02 06:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xc0fde4…
10-02 06:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xffbd2b…
10-02 06:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8dfafa…
10-02 06:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x402f6f…
10-02 06:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf1131a…
10-02 06:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8433a3…
10-02 06:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6d30da…
10-02 06:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xeac861…
10-02 06:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	91¢	$7	0xe9b1d6…
10-02 06:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x732249…
10-02 06:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x512080…
10-02 06:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xffd9fd…
10-02 06:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1d638d…
10-02 06:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xea0d3a…
10-02 06:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd8bbdb…
10-02 06:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa830ba…
10-02 06:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x819081…
10-02 06:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	69	95¢	$65	0x8ca5f7…
10-02 06:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd2e02c…
10-02 06:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x8ce954…
10-02 06:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x8179c0…
10-02 06:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x79e167…
10-02 06:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x75b0b4…
10-02 06:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x459f39…
10-02 06:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x361e27…
10-02 06:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0x87265e…
10-02 06:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x0fa3d8…
10-02 06:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x004d2b…
10-02 06:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xbaf7e7…
10-02 06:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x07b6e5…
10-02 04:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x87aa15…
10-02 04:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xde9c84…
10-02 04:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xb7bb67…
10-02 04:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0x5ca2e1…
10-02 04:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x040a5c…
10-02 04:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xf7ee41…
10-02 04:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	17	42¢	$7	0x63c2ba…
10-02 04:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x6a1836…
10-02 04:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x82c7a9…
10-02 04:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0xdf96bc…
10-02 04:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x6fa041…
10-02 04:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x4bd971…
10-02 04:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x13faa6…
10-02 04:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0xd462b9…
10-02 04:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x5fc03d…
10-02 04:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xe6b4db…
10-02 04:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x65de4c…
10-02 04:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xb343f8…
10-02 04:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfad9f1…
10-02 04:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xeb136b…
10-02 04:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0907df…
10-02 04:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd3ce8f…
10-02 04:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x1cd597…
10-02 04:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x8b7611…
10-02 04:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x1bb8e3…
10-02 04:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0xcf03f8…
10-02 04:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xf62b50…
10-02 04:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x041509…
10-02 04:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe29077…
10-02 04:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	57	95¢	$54	0xd6cfdb…
10-02 04:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x94b5c6…
10-02 04:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa29521…
10-02 04:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x48049d…
10-02 04:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xa13e2c…
10-02 04:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x753347…
10-02 03:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x558a0c…
10-02 03:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9c8058…
10-02 03:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x48df1a…