Splendid-Local — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$15

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

75.2%

Resolved (7d)

485

Trades (7d)

517

5,323 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$568

$12.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-28

last 11-11 04:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 66% -$20

Politics

1% 0% -$1

Other

1% 64% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 281 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	—	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	11-11 05:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:00 UTC	3	$74	56	56	+0	Up	+$38	06-03 21:03
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	7	$71	65	48	+17	Down	+$8	06-03 07:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 22:00 UTC	8	$69	94	36	+58	Down	+$1	06-03 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 02:35 UTC	2	$64	100	0	+100	Down	-$14	08-26 02:37
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:50 UTC	7	$63	72	0	+72	Down	-$8	06-03 20:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 10:00 UTC	7	$61	38	38	+0	Down	+$1	09-21 10:03
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	5	$59	33	33	+0	Down	-$5	06-03 07:43
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	16	$55	52	52	+0	Yes	$0	10-28 05:22
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$52	86	0	+86	Up	-$38	06-04 22:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:25 UTC	4	$52	62	0	+62	Down	-$5	06-04 21:28
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	16	$51	46	9	+37	Down	+$4	06-03 01:05
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	6	$48	60	0	+60	Up	-$2	06-03 08:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 16:25 UTC	8	$48	100	0	+100	Up	+$2	08-25 16:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 04:50 UTC	4	$44	48	0	+48	Up	+$4	06-04 04:54
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	6	$42	35	35	+0	open	—	10-28 07:47
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	3	$42	46	46	+0	open	—	10-27 22:00
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	3	$39	52	0	+52	Down	-$1	06-04 22:04
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$39	50	0	+50	Up	-$3	06-04 21:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 19:40 UTC	4	$36	43	0	+43	Down	-$3	06-03 19:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 22:50 UTC	4	$36	41	0	+41	Down	-$7	06-03 22:54
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 02:55 UTC	6	$36	38	0	+38	Up	+$2	06-08 02:59
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	8	$36	36	36	+0	No	$0	10-28 05:25
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	5	$35	60	0	+60	Down	+$7	06-03 07:15
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	5	$34	46	16	+30	Up	$0	06-03 08:28
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	8	$32	32	32	+0	Yes	$0	10-28 05:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 01:15 UTC	3	$30	36	0	+36	Up	-$6	06-05 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:55 UTC	2	$28	19	19	+0	Down	+$10	09-22 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$27	84	0	+84	Up	-$27	09-22 15:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 00:05 UTC	3	$27	925	0	+925	Down	-$17	06-04 00:10
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:35 UTC	3	$27	29	0	+29	Down	-$27	06-03 21:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 05:48:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x32a765…
11-11 05:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x1594ca…
11-11 05:38:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xca91c7…
11-11 05:33:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1bb443…
11-11 05:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc6ce44…
11-11 05:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x781dc1…
11-11 05:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdb2566…
11-11 04:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x26906d…
11-11 04:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf8369f…
11-11 04:33:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x59ae4e…
11-11 04:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd68c49…
11-11 04:23:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb0aa1d…
11-11 04:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc3f734…
11-11 04:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7e55db…
11-11 03:58:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd325c3…
11-11 03:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf2ef6a…
11-11 03:53:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9bac82…
11-11 03:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2e9083…
11-11 03:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xafb498…
11-11 03:28:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xab40e4…
11-11 03:23:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xba7b08…
11-11 03:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x03cad6…
11-11 03:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xae74c1…
11-11 03:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9a53cd…
11-11 03:03:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa45fea…
11-11 03:01:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf29088…
11-11 02:38:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x94e151…
11-11 02:24:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1d970f…
11-11 02:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd8db62…
11-11 02:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2b61c2…
11-11 02:12:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xcc4f21…
11-11 02:08:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x64eed6…
11-11 01:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x726ef1…
11-11 01:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7ed8be…
11-11 01:47:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0b01b1…
11-11 01:38:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe82ff7…
11-11 01:33:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x47dc78…
11-11 01:31:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x41517a…
11-11 01:28:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x073723…
11-11 01:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x58a4c5…
11-11 01:15:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x773ea6…
11-11 01:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4cbd1d…
11-11 01:09:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4ede34…
11-11 00:58:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7a8cec…
11-11 00:53:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf3208e…
11-11 00:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0b711d…
11-11 00:38:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd990d8…
11-11 00:33:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2956dc…
11-11 00:23:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xff3a60…
11-11 00:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x280a4d…
11-11 00:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9b37d4…
11-11 00:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x86acc4…
11-10 23:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfdd541…
11-10 23:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xa8412b…
11-10 23:53:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc89a24…
11-10 23:48:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbc34cc…
11-10 23:43:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x385bb9…
11-10 23:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7f8673…
11-10 23:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x52f58d…
11-10 23:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb3d4a2…
11-10 23:28:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0f723c…
11-10 23:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x474540…
11-10 23:18:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x886ac2…
11-10 23:13:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x753191…
11-10 23:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xed2e70…
11-10 23:07:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xbc079e…
11-10 23:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x977d60…
11-10 22:53:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xb6baa6…
11-10 22:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe279e8…
11-10 22:48:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf4a0a3…
11-10 22:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x37c266…
11-10 22:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x325dd2…
11-10 22:13:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xf90c83…
11-10 22:13:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb9a1f9…
11-10 22:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x94e9cc…
11-10 22:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7ba304…
11-10 22:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x297f4c…
11-10 22:01:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x52fe97…
11-10 21:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x97783f…
11-10 21:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6dd621…
11-10 21:38:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1f7e90…
11-10 21:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe4179e…
11-10 21:33:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x47abc0…
11-10 21:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb29d7a…
11-10 21:33:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xfbe7a1…
11-10 21:18:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb17679…
11-10 21:13:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9435a9…
11-10 21:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf77f71…
11-10 21:03:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc4471d…
11-10 21:00:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x2c3140…
11-10 20:58:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6db928…
11-10 20:53:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc81068…
11-10 20:48:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x17eba1…
11-10 20:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfa277a…
11-10 20:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc5540c…
11-10 20:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x221711…
11-10 20:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9cef84…
11-10 20:18:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x31c328…
11-10 20:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x543697…
11-10 20:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbf0b02…