Bright-Constitution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$336

Unrealized P&L

+$84

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

125

Trades

157

lifetime

Volume

$5.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

$103

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-19 21:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

71% 67% -$155

Politics

26% 45% -$72

Sports

3% 25% -$72

Crypto

1% 0% -$36

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No		+105	$80	94¢	$98	+$18	05-27 09:24
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		-711	-$70	1¢	$-5	+$66	05-26 08:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$168	120	120	+0	Yes	+$70	01-30 11:58
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$155	107	107	+0	Yes	+$55	01-31 06:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$140	72	72	+0	No	+$4	05-30 10:06
Nothing Ever Happens: May	2	$126	67	67	+0	Nothing	+$6	06-02 11:09
nothing ever happens january 581	2	$119	69	69	+0	No	+$19	01-31 06:53
will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	2	$117	68	68	+0	Yes	+$17	02-05 17:10
tur gal kay 2026 02 01 gal	2	$112	62	62	+0	Yes	+$12	02-01 18:27
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$112	62	62	+0	No	+$12	06-09 08:39
atp fokina hijikat 2026 01 13	2	$110	60	60	+0	Fokina	+$10	01-14 10:22
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$110	63	63	+0	No	+$10	01-20 16:19
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?	2	$105	55	55	+0	Yes	+$5	06-09 08:39
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	2	$102	58	58	+0	Under	+$14	05-30 18:10
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	1	$100	123	0	+123	No	+$23	03-25 08:09
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$100	120	0	+120	Yes	+$20	02-04 20:48
ucl bog1 mnc1 2026 01 20 bog1	2	$99	112	0	+112	Yes	-$99	01-20 17:05
will the peoples party pple win 180 or more seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	2	$91	51	51	+0	No	+$11	02-14 15:24
will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open	2	$84	79	79	+0	Yes	+$24	01-30 14:32
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	1	$83	189	0	+189	No	-$83	07-19 21:23
euroleague paris fenerbah 2026 02 05	2	$83	50	50	+0	Fenerbahce	+$17	02-05 22:05
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	1	$80	105	0	+105	open	—	05-27 09:24
Another Canada election called by June 30?	1	$75	0	76	-76	No	-$1	05-21 11:25
will borussia dortmund advance to the round of 16	1	$75	87	0	+87	No	-$75	02-25 13:05
ucl kai1 bru1 2026 01 20 kai1	2	$72	38	38	+0	No	+$5	01-20 17:05
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$70	0	711	-711	open	—	05-26 08:44
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$70	92	0	+92	Yes	-$70	02-20 13:15
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	2	$69	40	40	+0	Yes	+$11	02-03 17:49
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	2	$68	39	39	+0	No	+$9	05-30 18:10
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-04-27?	1	$66	91	0	+91	Yes	-$66	04-27 14:17
Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	1	$63	99	0	+99	No	-$63	04-25 15:37
tur koc fen 2026 02 02 total 3pt5	2	$61	35	35	+0	Under	+$8	02-02 18:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:23:49	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	189	44¢	$83	0x34d8fa…
06-25 13:29:31	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	23	84¢	$20	0x052ce6…
06-25 13:29:07	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xa63bb1…
06-24 10:17:46	Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?	No	BUY	51	72¢	$37	0x8ebd6e…
06-23 11:13:46	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	37	86¢	$32	0x3b3f74…
06-18 15:55:38	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x1c341d…
06-17 08:31:44	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x9f7edd…
06-17 08:25:29	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0x237399…
06-17 08:25:04	Ghana vs. Panama: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xdec7c5…
06-17 08:24:23	Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	160	5¢	$8	0x8f98d1…
06-16 19:42:55	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	27	81¢	$22	0x01c892…
06-16 19:42:22	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	53	15¢	$8	0xa793cf…
06-16 19:42:04	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x81b025…
06-16 18:57:11	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	44	63¢	$28	0x541370…
06-15 20:20:19	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x3d92fd…
06-15 20:14:51	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x305630…
06-15 20:14:18	Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x0b0304…
06-15 20:03:30	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x184906…
06-15 08:29:58	Will Türkiye be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	No	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0xb36ad3…
06-15 07:46:22	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 btts	No	BUY	47	67¢	$31	0x3f9dd6…
06-14 20:39:16	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x83438b…
06-14 20:30:51	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	27	72¢	$20	0x2e0270…
06-14 20:06:09	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	32	52¢	$17	0x64c67a…
06-09 08:39:43	Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x6e0963…
06-09 08:39:39	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0x52743c…
06-04 10:47:46	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	62	47¢	$29	0x260f59…
06-02 11:45:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	No	BUY	73	49¢	$36	0xf259ee…
06-02 11:09:50	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	67	100¢	$66	0x988194…
06-02 11:09:47	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0x6cabc6…
06-02 08:13:56	Nothing Ever Happens: June	Nothing	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x407fbc…
05-31 12:42:12	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	72	78¢	$56	0xe245b0…
05-30 18:10:45	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xc20609…
05-30 18:10:40	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x4dfeab…
05-30 16:09:08	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x22ab6e…
05-30 10:24:16	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	58	76¢	$44	0xda60be…
05-30 10:06:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x4a1c15…
05-29 17:25:53	Esenler Erokspor vs. Fenerbahce	Fenerbahce	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xd402ca…
05-29 16:34:38	Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?	No	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0x79ad73…
05-29 07:40:09	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x5b55d5…
05-29 06:18:08	Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	55	90¢	$50	0xbffdf4…
05-28 17:02:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	72	94¢	$68	0x93958c…
05-28 15:24:54	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0x7e35b4…
05-27 09:24:37	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	BUY	105	76¢	$80	0x174beb…
05-26 08:44:52	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	711	10¢	$70	0x53a3e9…
05-21 11:25:19	Another Canada election called by June 30?	No	SELL	76	98¢	$75	0xaf9e58…
04-27 14:17:02	Will Konyaspor win on 2026-04-27?	No	BUY	91	72¢	$66	0x2aba80…
04-25 15:37:32	Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	99	63¢	$63	0xa277d4…
04-12 11:19:31	tur goz kas 2026 04 12 kas	No	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0xa16572…
04-12 11:15:25	tur kon kar 2026 04 12 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	60	75¢	$45	0x925098…
04-12 11:13:05	tur gal koc 2026 04 12 gal	Yes	BUY	75	80¢	$60	0xb06fe0…
04-04 12:23:45	tur kas kay 2026 04 04 kay	No	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0xcb9d46…
04-03 05:27:11	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0xf520bd…
04-02 14:36:53	will tisza win 9099 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	187	8¢	$15	0xe15b18…
03-30 20:10:05	uef swe pol 2026 03 31 pol	No	BUY	47	75¢	$35	0xc83590…
03-30 13:22:22	will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0x306c63…
03-30 13:22:12	will tisza win 100109 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	236	13¢	$30	0xab36ca…
03-25 08:09:43	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xdb4834…
03-24 19:03:19	will venstre win the third most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	Yes	SELL	51	9¢	$5	0xf65dfd…
03-24 12:23:43	will italy qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	61	67¢	$41	0x8b1cf8…
03-24 12:17:45	will the social democrats win 40 44 seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	No	BUY	62	72¢	$45	0x94f4a6…
03-24 12:16:23	will venstre win the third most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	Yes	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0x66a6d3…
03-24 12:15:57	will venstre win 15 seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x3394f6…
02-25 13:05:18	will borussia dortmund advance to the round of 16	Yes	BUY	87	86¢	$75	0xf48cf1…
02-25 13:03:54	ucl rma1 ben 2026 02 25 ben	No	BUY	74	80¢	$59	0xe553e1…
02-25 13:02:58	ucl juv gal 2026 02 25 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0xe8d357…
02-20 13:17:14	tur riz koc 2026 02 20 koc	No	BUY	49	72¢	$35	0x4ca271…
02-20 13:15:58	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	92	76¢	$70	0xfee6e4…
02-15 08:56:39	tur koc gfk 2026 02 15 draw	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x8e5066…
02-14 15:37:09	tur tra fen 2026 02 14 draw	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xa95303…
02-14 15:24:25	will the peoples party pple win 180 or more seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x98be87…
02-14 12:51:07	tur ala kon 2026 02 14 kon	No	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xddbdf9…
02-14 10:49:15	tur gen riz 2026 02 14 riz	No	BUY	44	70¢	$31	0x6ce5ae…
02-10 12:23:29	will seguro win all of portugals districts	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x65364c…
02-08 14:21:21	tur riz gal 2026 02 08 riz	No	BUY	54	95¢	$51	0x496601…
02-08 12:40:07	will the liberal democratic party win by at least 250 seats	Yes	SELL	33	95¢	$31	0x30c76c…
02-08 11:04:35	will the liberal democratic party win by at least 250 seats	Yes	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xa6db76…
02-08 10:23:17	will the peoples party pple win 180 or more seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0x6b9d12…
02-08 10:05:39	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0x9f3413…
02-08 07:42:03	tur riz gal 2026 02 08 gal	Yes	BUY	23	61¢	$14	0x153e66…
02-08 07:40:05	tur eyu iba 2026 02 08 eyu	No	BUY	33	83¢	$28	0x4643ae…
02-06 07:46:37	fl1 met lil 2026 02 06 met	No	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x1ff6e3…
02-05 22:05:23	euroleague paris fenerbah 2026 02 05	Fenerbahce	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x7bafdd…
02-05 17:21:27	will turkey qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	97	62¢	$60	0x3c193a…
02-05 17:10:07	will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	Yes	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0x972af0…
02-05 11:14:37	euroleague paris fenerbah 2026 02 05	Fenerbahce	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xca57db…
02-05 04:45:07	will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	Yes	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xf11cd4…
02-04 20:49:17	euroleague efes kaunas 2026 02 06	Zalgiris Kaunas	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x7b9af8…
02-04 20:48:47	Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xd3dafc…
02-03 21:59:12	trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	Yes	SELL	80	12¢	$10	0x66348b…
02-03 19:14:04	euroleague barcelon fenerbah 2026 02 03	Fenerbahce	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0xa3cd9f…
02-03 17:49:40	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x410e79…
02-03 12:13:44	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	Yes	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0x2d94bc…
02-03 05:56:06	sea bol mil 2026 02 03 bol	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xe9100a…
02-02 21:17:16	will the next dutch government be glpvda vvd d66	Yes	SELL	39	0¢	$0	0xae3434…
02-02 20:35:38	epl sun bur 2026 02 02 bur	No	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0xea62cb…
02-02 18:54:54	tur koc fen 2026 02 02 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x59c63c…
02-02 12:27:14	epl sun bur 2026 02 02 bur	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xd3474e…
02-02 11:56:50	will matt goodwin reform win the gorton and denton by election	No	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0xbdf88a…
02-02 11:46:00	tur koc fen 2026 02 02 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	35	75¢	$26	0xa3a9fd…
02-01 21:42:58	fl1 str psg 2026 02 01 psg	Yes	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x624019…