Tepid-Wilderness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$189

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

86.9%

Resolved

238

Trades

356

lifetime

Volume

$207.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$584

Open exposure

$1.00K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-26 04:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 175 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 91% +$189

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Other

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No		+1,007	$1,003	100¢	$1.0K	+$2	10-26 04:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 84k on january 19	16	$2.4K	23,936	23,162	+774	Yes	+$1	01-19 12:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 24?	2	$2.0K	978	978	+0	Yes	+$0	09-24 10:47
will ethereum reach 2700 august 24 30 2026	2	$1.9K	963	963	+0	No	+$3	08-31 00:28
ethereum above 1600 on march 30	2	$1.8K	882	882	+0	Yes	+$1	03-29 22:20
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 29	2	$1.8K	881	881	+0	No	+$0	03-28 20:55
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 21	2	$1.7K	873	873	+0	No	+$0	03-21 13:47
bitcoin above 90k on february 4	9	$1.7K	34,218	33,959	+259	No	$0	02-04 06:19
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 30	5	$1.7K	6,851	6,851	+0	No	$0	03-29 21:38
will bitcoin dip to 56k march 2 8	2	$1.7K	849	849	+0	No	+$4	03-08 09:57
will the price of bitcoin be less than 56000 on march 3	2	$1.7K	841	841	+0	No	+$2	03-03 08:57
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	4	$1.7K	834	834	+0	No	+$2	02-28 00:06
ethereum above 2400 on february 14	2	$1.7K	832	832	+0	No	+$0	02-13 22:48
bitcoin above 74k on february 23	2	$1.7K	829	829	+0	No	+$0	02-23 08:42
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 6	2	$1.6K	823	823	+0	No	+$2	02-06 00:08
will the price of bitcoin be less than 80000 on january 29	2	$1.6K	814	814	+0	No	+$0	01-28 22:09
bitcoin above 82k on january 28	2	$1.6K	813	813	+0	Yes	+$0	01-28 09:24
ethereum above 3300 on january 27	6	$1.6K	10,414	10,414	+0	No	+$0	01-26 23:50
bitcoin above 80k on january 27	2	$1.6K	811	811	+0	Yes	+$0	01-27 12:32
bitcoin above 92k on january 31	6	$1.6K	24,402	6,000	+18,402	No	-$18	01-31 00:50
will bitcoin dip to 86k january 12 18	2	$1.6K	802	802	+0	No	+$0	01-18 06:13
will ethereum reach 3900 january 12 18	2	$1.6K	802	802	+0	No	+$0	01-18 22:22
will the price of ethereum be between 3400 3500 on january 21	4	$1.6K	806	795	+10	No	+$0	01-20 22:55
bitcoin above 76k on february 27	3	$1.5K	767	767	+0	No	+$0	02-27 00:21
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	1	$1.0K	1,007	0	+1,007	open	—	10-26 04:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 22?	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	Yes	+$1	10-22 06:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 21?	2	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$1	10-21 10:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 19?	1	$998	999	0	+999	Yes	+$1	10-19 14:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 13?	1	$995	996	0	+996	No	+$1	10-13 05:29
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 5-11?	1	$991	994	0	+994	No	+$3	10-09 23:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 9?	1	$991	992	0	+992	No	+$1	10-09 05:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 04:31:36	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	BUY	1,007	100¢	$1,003	0x8739da…
10-24 22:11:11	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 19-25?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x0452cd…
10-24 22:10:11	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	246	100¢	$246	0xe35895…
10-24 18:15:50	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 19-25?	No	BUY	189	100¢	$189	0x8115b8…
10-24 18:15:35	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 19-25?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x4b904e…
10-24 18:15:15	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 19-25?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x5f0ae7…
10-24 18:12:03	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 19-25?	No	BUY	154	100¢	$153	0x1a8082…
10-22 06:46:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xd6bf49…
10-21 10:08:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x6ea798…
10-21 04:22:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	848	100¢	$847	0x9ebeca…
10-19 14:31:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	999	100¢	$998	0xa7597f…
10-16 22:53:30	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 12-18?	No	BUY	535	100¢	$533	0x706662…
10-16 22:52:17	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x398d55…
10-16 22:51:59	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18?	No	BUY	450	100¢	$449	0x956c1c…
10-13 05:29:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	996	100¢	$995	0xf23cdb…
10-09 23:03:40	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 5-11?	No	BUY	994	100¢	$991	0x5067ef…
10-09 05:50:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	992	100¢	$991	0xcf7936…
10-08 14:00:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	471	100¢	$470	0xe4858c…
10-08 13:58:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	520	100¢	$520	0x77e23e…
10-05 08:45:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	990	100¢	$989	0xe47e35…
10-04 10:29:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 4?	Yes	BUY	989	100¢	$988	0x4725b1…
10-03 14:25:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	593	100¢	$592	0xd34bb2…
10-03 14:25:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	395	100¢	$395	0x8168e6…
09-30 23:52:17	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	987	100¢	$986	0x87c0ab…
09-30 11:33:57	bitcoin above 76k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	964	100¢	$963	0x0760db…
09-30 11:32:45	bitcoin above 76k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9c1c28…
09-29 11:53:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 29?	Yes	BUY	984	100¢	$983	0xd99063…
09-28 01:07:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	983	100¢	$981	0xc3b78c…
09-27 04:19:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 27?	Yes	BUY	982	100¢	$981	0x6719ad…
09-26 01:15:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 26?	Yes	BUY	981	100¢	$980	0x5dcbc0…
09-24 21:05:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 25?	No	BUY	980	100¢	$979	0x701131…
09-24 10:48:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	978	100¢	$976	0x4c2a10…
09-24 10:47:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 24?	Yes	SELL	978	100¢	$977	0xed9745…
09-24 06:38:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	978	100¢	$977	0x7d5398…
09-23 00:47:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	977	100¢	$976	0x4f7970…
09-22 03:59:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	866	100¢	$865	0x3a20bc…
09-22 03:00:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x4523eb…
09-21 09:30:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	975	100¢	$974	0x9dee32…
09-21 03:37:50	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 14-20?	No	BUY	974	100¢	$973	0xc8a393…
09-20 00:17:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 20?	Yes	BUY	972	100¢	$970	0xd3851a…
09-19 10:02:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x12e186…
09-19 09:51:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	944	100¢	$943	0xa1113e…
09-18 08:49:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	970	100¢	$969	0xc27ad4…
09-16 13:30:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 16?	Yes	BUY	969	100¢	$968	0xdb7c0e…
09-15 10:25:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	358	100¢	$358	0x1ab1f5…
09-15 10:25:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xc4799c…
09-15 10:24:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$108	0xdb25f9…
08-31 01:38:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?	No	BUY	966	100¢	$965	0x53f795…
08-31 00:28:24	will ethereum reach 2700 august 24 30 2026	No	SELL	963	100¢	$962	0xad1f7b…
08-30 23:52:22	will ethereum reach 2700 august 24 30 2026	No	BUY	963	100¢	$959	0xac4cec…
08-28 08:05:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on August 28?	No	BUY	450	100¢	$450	0xe0f7c2…
08-28 08:05:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on August 28?	No	BUY	512	100¢	$511	0x960451…
08-27 16:00:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on August 27?	No	BUY	192	100¢	$192	0x3ab5cd…
08-27 16:00:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on August 27?	No	BUY	770	100¢	$769	0x040318…
08-22 19:00:49	bitcoin above 54k on august 23 2026	Yes	BUY	560	100¢	$559	0xfe12e4…
08-22 18:45:15	bitcoin above 54k on august 23 2026	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x5cca09…
08-21 09:14:24	ethereum above 2000 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	959	100¢	$957	0xda393e…
08-07 11:43:28	bitcoin above 52k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x7a5a4b…
08-07 11:40:00	bitcoin above 52k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	885	100¢	$884	0x034850…
08-06 12:45:00	bitcoin above 54k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	751	100¢	$750	0x9e58a5…
08-06 12:44:44	bitcoin above 54k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0xf71c03…
08-04 22:48:41	ethereum above 2200 on august 5 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x558825…
08-03 12:42:21	ethereum above 2300 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	744	100¢	$743	0x6258ed…
08-03 12:01:39	ethereum above 2300 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	212	100¢	$212	0x34d7f3…
08-01 09:37:36	ethereum above 1600 on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	955	100¢	$954	0xf16870…
07-31 03:26:38	will ethereum dip to 1500 in july 2026 446 668	No	BUY	954	100¢	$953	0xc14d1e…
07-28 02:34:48	bitcoin above 56k on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	953	100¢	$952	0xe8b75d…
07-26 17:18:03	ethereum above 2200 on july 27 2026	No	BUY	952	100¢	$951	0xcd4d5d…
07-24 14:52:27	bitcoin above 54k on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x233055…
07-24 14:03:45	bitcoin above 54k on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	770	100¢	$770	0x2f9728…
07-19 04:30:10	bitcoin above 52k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	950	100¢	$949	0xd3daec…
07-16 14:28:31	bitcoin above 70k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	950	100¢	$949	0x8eb55d…
07-14 21:24:28	ethereum above 1500 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	948	100¢	$947	0x27db6a…
07-14 11:38:23	ethereum above 2000 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xd188d4…
07-14 08:03:56	ethereum above 2000 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2e5170…
07-14 07:30:14	ethereum above 2000 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x5e70e7…
07-14 07:07:34	ethereum above 2000 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xc7e837…
07-14 05:29:05	ethereum above 2000 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0x462d86…
07-14 04:00:40	ethereum above 2000 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	554	100¢	$554	0xe78876…
07-10 09:35:29	bitcoin above 70k on july 10 2026	No	BUY	946	100¢	$945	0xf04bc2…
07-08 09:49:37	bitcoin above 68k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	946	100¢	$945	0xa312de…
07-07 13:08:10	bitcoin above 68k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	945	100¢	$944	0x8ff1eb…
07-06 00:50:43	bitcoin above 70k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	944	100¢	$943	0x67b17b…
07-04 21:00:23	bitcoin above 50k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	943	100¢	$942	0xa8c71f…
07-04 11:00:26	bitcoin above 54k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	942	100¢	$941	0xf4f0e6…
07-03 09:10:22	bitcoin above 70k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	941	100¢	$940	0x28b34b…
07-01 20:44:47	ethereum above 1900 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	669	100¢	$668	0xeb2265…
07-01 17:49:35	bitcoin above 68k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	271	100¢	$271	0x16cc4f…
06-30 19:48:43	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	906	100¢	$905	0x87356d…
06-30 19:48:22	will solana reach 90 in june 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x843d64…
06-29 22:10:58	bitcoin above 68k on june 30 2026	No	BUY	938	100¢	$937	0xa0b58a…
06-28 22:58:40	bitcoin above 68k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	937	100¢	$936	0xc533bd…
06-28 09:24:43	bitcoin above 68k on june 28 2026	No	BUY	936	100¢	$935	0xbcc6df…
06-26 20:30:10	ethereum above 1900 on june 27 2026	No	BUY	935	100¢	$934	0x82ac53…
06-25 21:39:14	ethereum above 2100 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	934	100¢	$933	0x66688e…
06-25 11:45:04	bitcoin above 52k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	279	100¢	$279	0x4b64aa…
06-25 11:43:38	bitcoin above 52k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	654	100¢	$653	0x203dcf…
06-24 12:06:26	bitcoin above 70k on june 24 2026	No	BUY	932	100¢	$931	0x9cf084…
06-22 21:53:47	xrp above 0pt7 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	932	100¢	$931	0x195111…
06-21 16:18:14	ethereum above 2300 on june 22 2026	No	BUY	931	100¢	$930	0x7e9845…