Essential-Kick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$70

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 07-03 23:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

62% 50% +$1

Politics

25% — —

Sports

10% 100% +$2

Crypto

1% 0% $-1

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No		-2	$-1	78¢	$-2	$-1	05-29 16:43
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No		+1	$1	92¢	$1	+$0	05-29 11:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-29 11:16
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	7	$9	30	22	+8	open	—	07-01 11:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	5	$6	6	8	-2	open	—	06-25 17:03
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	2	$6	0	58	-58	open	—	06-03 14:44
Canada recession before 2027?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-29 16:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	06-26 14:06
will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	07-03 23:21
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	06-11 11:28
will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	07-03 23:21
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$2	68	68	+0	open	—	05-06 18:26
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-18 14:40
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	06-26 14:08
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$1	111	111	+0	open	—	05-06 18:26
Will Solana reach $90 May 4-10?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	$-1	05-06 14:31
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-29 16:46
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-27 20:14
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$2	05-06 14:26
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-14 01:30
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-28 19:11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-29 16:44
will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-05 11:22
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	05-28 16:17
Will "Hantavirus" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	$-1	05-11 18:08
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	+$2	05-06 14:00
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-29 11:16
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-18 11:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 23:21:19	will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	Yes	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0xf11874…
07-03 23:21:14	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$2	0xa58b16…
07-01 11:15:32	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2c0062…
06-30 13:11:37	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0x4c2296…
06-26 14:08:01	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x8bfea5…
06-26 14:06:12	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xd8997e…
06-25 17:05:02	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf62795…
06-25 17:03:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x175f6a…
06-24 11:11:38	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x874d18…
06-22 12:13:14	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x27184f…
06-18 11:44:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x369750…
06-18 11:44:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x658ed2…
06-18 11:39:13	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6535a1…
06-18 11:31:29	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x9ac9c9…
06-17 11:41:26	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbbb167…
06-11 11:28:16	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$1	0x6bb099…
06-08 16:31:42	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x731bf3…
06-05 11:22:46	will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x82bffa…
06-03 14:44:57	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Yes	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0xe786e5…
06-02 18:28:37	Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x201677…
06-02 18:27:55	Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1b5519…
05-29 16:46:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe72da9…
05-29 16:44:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0159bd…
05-29 16:43:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x125310…
05-29 16:41:01	Canada recession before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x59eceb…
05-29 11:17:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x510d82…
05-29 11:16:59	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb66150…
05-29 11:16:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x4b6766…
05-28 19:11:16	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x89203b…
05-28 16:17:38	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8e174f…
05-27 20:28:20	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3cf49f…
05-27 20:14:06	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe81213…
05-27 20:12:28	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xec75a5…
05-18 14:40:50	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0xdef789…
05-14 20:06:46	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa135cc…
05-14 01:30:52	UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	Melquizael Costa	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6dcebf…
05-11 18:08:32	Will "Hantavirus" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xac4c7b…
05-07 19:26:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x6e67f5…
05-06 18:26:24	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	111	0¢	$0	0xcca394…
05-06 18:26:18	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	68	1¢	$1	0xc75547…
05-06 16:21:41	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x39936a…
05-06 16:21:34	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0x13fa3a…
05-06 14:31:19	Will Solana reach $90 May 4-10?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2f619f…
05-06 14:26:21	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7083d0…
05-06 14:00:32	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe9ecf4…