Joint-Handholding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

94.1%

Resolved

239

Trades

3,962

lifetime

Volume

$21.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$100

1 position

First seen

2026-02-20

last 07-15 22:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 94% $-15

Other

17% — —

Politics

4% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+103	$100	97¢	$100	+$0	07-12 09:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$600	302	302	+0	open	—	03-08 02:27
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	07-12 09:38
will russia capture all of ternuvate by march 31 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 08:51
highest temperature in chicago on february 21 2026 30 31f	4	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	02-21 18:52
btc updown 5m 1776862800	2	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	04-22 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	05-06 20:14
will russia enter malokaterynivka by march 31 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 08:51
us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 08:51
btc updown 5m 1774506300	3	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	03-26 06:29
highest temperature in wellington on february 22 2026 20c	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	02-21 22:31
highest temperature in chicago on february 22 2026 24 25f	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	02-21 22:45
btc updown 5m 1774494000	2	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	03-26 03:04
solana above 100 on february 27	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	02-23 03:39
xrp above 1pt2 on february 27	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	02-23 03:01
highest temperature in nyc on february 21 2026 39forbelow	2	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	02-20 08:11
highest temperature in ankara on february 21 2026 10c	2	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	02-20 08:10
highest temperature in paris on february 21 2026 17corhigher	2	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	02-20 08:09
highest temperature in seoul on february 21 2026 9c	2	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	02-20 08:10
highest temperature in paris on february 21 2026 11c	2	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	02-20 08:11
highest temperature in ankara on february 21 2026 9c	2	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	02-20 08:10
highest temperature in paris on february 21 2026 12c	2	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	02-20 08:09
highest temperature in sao paulo on february 21 2026 24c	2	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	02-20 08:10
itsb sta mod 2026 02 22 total 4pt5	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	02-22 15:55
highest temperature in sao paulo on february 22 2026 29c	2	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	02-21 06:19
nba sas bkn 2026 02 26 assists stephon castle 6pt5	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	02-27 00:36
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on february 25	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	02-25 16:48
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 50 in february	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	02-28 15:26
highest temperature in paris on february 25 2026 21c	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	02-25 17:43
highest temperature in nyc on february 26 2026 46 47f	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	02-26 23:13
ethereum above 1600 on february 26	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-24 06:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 22:54:50	btc updown 5m 1784155800	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf7d74c…
07-12 09:38:58	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x96c33b…
05-12 11:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x4c48f0…
05-12 11:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x3e802b…
05-12 10:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd095f1…
05-12 09:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x2143bb…
05-12 09:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xed2f16…
05-12 06:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x9e3491…
05-12 03:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x554c11…
05-12 02:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xf46445…
05-12 02:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x4c1718…
05-12 01:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x7735b4…
05-12 01:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x1deaff…
05-12 01:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x22a923…
05-12 00:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x623125…
05-12 00:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x21db7f…
05-12 00:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x545754…
05-11 21:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x0af8e4…
05-11 21:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd45d4b…
05-11 20:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1c3a9b…
05-11 19:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x92c78f…
05-11 17:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xc1aa07…
05-11 17:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x00d9e2…
05-11 16:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x5bba3d…
05-11 15:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd5c968…
05-11 14:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x87198d…
05-11 13:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6e3ca7…
05-11 13:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc070d3…
05-11 13:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x9475ce…
05-11 12:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x2da6b6…
05-11 11:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x32fe23…
05-11 11:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb2ba3e…
05-11 11:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xe82b94…
05-11 11:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x160cd5…
05-11 10:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x74c8ac…
05-11 09:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x8cdebd…
05-11 09:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x4efbff…
05-11 09:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x0ffeca…
05-11 09:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xcc1fe0…
05-11 09:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x36d32e…
05-11 08:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x393521…
05-11 08:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xc01dbe…
05-11 07:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x05f3c5…
05-11 07:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x3d269c…
05-11 06:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xf37a47…
05-09 03:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xc243cc…
05-09 03:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x10803d…
05-09 02:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x9f4034…
05-09 02:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xecf3a1…
05-09 02:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xac7c14…
05-09 01:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x090a68…
05-09 01:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x681010…
05-09 01:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x212804…
05-09 01:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x4a1c1c…
05-09 01:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xc1828e…
05-09 01:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xdfbb6b…
05-09 00:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x69518f…
05-09 00:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x20480c…
05-08 21:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x7e0f45…
05-08 21:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x6a9267…
05-08 21:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x76c27f…
05-08 21:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x95b281…
05-08 21:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xe66699…
05-08 20:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe48dce…
05-08 19:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x23208f…
05-08 19:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd20409…
05-08 18:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x79bda9…
05-08 18:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6b6b81…
05-08 18:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xdf0eff…
05-08 18:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa1b168…
05-08 18:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x97f2d7…
05-08 17:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7edf1a…
05-08 17:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xaf817b…
05-08 16:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xaf8659…
05-08 16:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd5f4d0…
05-08 16:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0cf4ce…
05-08 15:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xcdcde0…
05-08 14:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x8da58c…
05-08 13:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xb8403c…
05-08 13:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb1b415…
05-08 13:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xaabb1a…
05-08 13:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xc3d9ca…
05-08 12:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xfb620f…
05-08 12:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x68a45f…
05-08 11:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xff04a5…
05-08 11:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x215a48…
05-08 10:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3467e1…
05-08 10:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x8940d7…
05-08 10:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x3ce546…
05-08 10:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0c58be…
05-08 09:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x833fef…
05-08 08:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x4b0d21…
05-08 08:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x0c03bd…
05-08 08:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x3fc50c…
05-08 08:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x76cd8e…
05-08 07:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x871e7e…
05-08 07:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xdeb706…
05-08 07:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x032018…
05-08 07:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x409c4d…
05-08 06:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xe49253…