Severe-Law — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.30K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

45.3%

Resolved

1,002

Trades

3,869

lifetime

Volume

$27.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-12

last 08-02 21:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

72% 47% -$712

Crypto

20% 57% -$147

Sports

6% 31% -$276

Politics

2% 28% -$132

Tech

0% 25% -$35

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-02).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes		+14	$3	8¢	$1	-$2	06-08 16:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$892	1,545	1,545	+0	No	+$348	07-18 21:05
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	4	$680	12,624	12,545	+79	No	-$20	07-19 17:38
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 team total away 1pt5	1	$539	18,027	0	+18,027	Under	-$539	06-16 21:04
cs2 kol g1 2026 06 16	31	$528	600	600	+0	GenOne	+$20	06-16 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	24	$434	396	396	+0	Down	+$34	05-24 03:11
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 21?	44	$403	337	337	+0	No	-$8	06-21 03:23
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	38	$369	769	888	-119	NRG	+$164	05-23 01:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	13	$333	306	306	+0	Up	+$23	05-24 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	23	$318	399	199	+200	Up	-$82	05-24 03:20
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$297	396	0	+396	Yes	-$297	07-18 21:52
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?	12	$277	518	377	+141	Yes	-$86	06-17 11:34
LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs	12	$265	221	221	+0	Winthrop University	+$3	05-22 01:11
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 22?	40	$249	201	201	+0	No	-$2	06-21 16:42
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	35	$249	850	850	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	-$24	05-23 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	6	$225	256	160	+96	Down	-$36	05-24 03:25
LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs	18	$214	315	285	+30	CCG Esports	+$44	05-22 21:29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 21?	28	$213	237	236	+1	No	-$7	06-20 16:15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 22?	30	$209	181	180	+1	No	-$1	06-21 16:00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 21?	47	$204	206	205	+1	No	-$1	06-20 17:04
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 24?	32	$199	166	165	+1	No	-$4	06-23 16:39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$194	385	385	+0	open	—	07-19 17:38
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?	3	$188	663	538	+125	No	+$38	06-17 01:32
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Vitality.Bee (BO3) - LFL Playoffs	12	$181	272	272	+0	TLN Pirates	+$69	05-21 20:43
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 15?	5	$170	102	102	+0	No	+$33	06-15 03:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 23?	18	$167	156	155	+1	No	-$13	06-22 18:02
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs REBORN (BO5) - VCL EMEA: Playoffs	15	$163	163	71	+92	REBORN	-$1	05-27 17:06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 30?	16	$157	121	120	+1	No	+$6	06-29 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	9	$157	7,679	11	+7,668	Up	-$114	05-24 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	9	$157	200	100	+100	Down	-$47	05-24 05:05
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$150	66,204	0	+66,204	No	-$150	07-18 22:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 21:48:45	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf7bbaa…
07-19 17:40:37	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	No	BUY	129	89¢	$115	0x931031…
07-19 17:38:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	385	30¢	$116	0xd240d2…
07-19 17:38:12	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	79	4¢	$3	0xe1ab95…
07-18 22:03:21	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	24,787	1¢	$148	0xbee061…
07-18 22:02:54	Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	66,204	0¢	$150	0x9d43e2…
07-18 22:00:07	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	SELL	12,545	3¢	$330	0xc23080…
07-18 21:52:46	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	396	75¢	$297	0x568fde…
07-18 21:05:12	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	773	40¢	$310	0x16cba9…
07-18 20:35:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xb2843b…
07-18 11:27:45	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	9,795	3¢	$284	0x5472b8…
07-18 11:23:46	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	773	40¢	$310	0x022230…
07-16 12:49:52	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	2,750	2¢	$63	0x7e888d…
07-15 13:53:29	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x34dfc1…
07-13 15:11:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x732653…
07-13 15:10:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xcc1f67…
07-13 15:06:05	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x64f45b…
07-13 15:06:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x749735…
07-13 15:06:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x6d38a1…
07-13 14:51:05	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x4bcafc…
07-13 14:51:05	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x115ba0…
07-13 14:51:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xfa16d9…
07-13 14:51:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xaff202…
07-13 14:37:05	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xb7d001…
07-13 14:37:05	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x3c17e9…
07-13 14:36:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x4ab51d…
07-13 14:36:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x07b08c…
07-13 14:23:58	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x59901f…
07-13 14:21:05	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x9b7d11…
07-13 14:21:05	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x9b3b5f…
07-13 14:21:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xf7b0fe…
07-13 14:07:38	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xd3065b…
07-13 14:07:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xc7a72b…
07-13 14:06:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xa8e7f1…
07-13 14:06:14	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xb12356…
07-13 13:53:14	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x0b2a6d…
07-13 13:53:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0x2d05df…
07-13 13:53:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x3e7d36…
07-13 13:52:46	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x5cce34…
07-13 13:36:16	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x3f7fbc…
07-13 13:36:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x5b452b…
07-13 13:36:10	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x3cce2f…
07-13 13:36:08	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x0775dc…
07-13 13:21:25	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x6e8e7a…
07-13 13:21:23	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xe150ce…
07-13 13:21:22	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xc1b1dd…
07-13 13:21:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x6656d8…
07-13 13:06:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x751f15…
07-13 13:06:11	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x35d04a…
07-13 13:06:05	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x27500c…
07-13 13:06:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x9f4439…
07-13 12:53:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x34d2a5…
07-13 12:53:31	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xed304d…
07-13 12:51:37	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x08aa95…
07-13 05:30:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x81f406…
07-13 01:10:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x542690…
07-13 01:00:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x5d0c8b…
07-13 00:55:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0xeb938b…
07-13 00:40:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xcc3749…
07-13 00:10:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x7f3266…
07-12 02:30:58	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Switzerland?	Yes	SELL	172	6¢	$10	0x7ed043…
07-12 01:20:05	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xcf3b17…
07-12 01:17:22	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	172	6¢	$10	0x4b3c3e…
07-12 01:16:49	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xf5f599…
07-12 01:16:34	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xb24ecd…
07-11 21:09:26	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,545	18¢	$272	0xc3c8de…
07-11 15:37:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	94	7¢	$7	0xdd21d3…
07-11 14:26:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x97ec26…
07-10 17:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x6e48c1…
07-10 17:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	21	22¢	$5	0x868121…
07-10 16:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 11?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xecac29…
07-10 15:16:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x87babf…
07-10 15:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0xc63737…
07-10 15:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 11?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x3e8e4d…
07-10 14:58:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x47864c…
07-10 14:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 11?	No	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x9638bb…
07-10 14:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 11?	No	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x394536…
07-10 14:56:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x3981a4…
07-10 14:34:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?	No	SELL	21	64¢	$13	0x5cc7f3…
07-10 14:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 11?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x4fd136…
07-10 13:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?	No	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x45eb41…
07-10 13:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 11?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x3d6e40…
07-10 12:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?	No	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x707df4…
07-10 12:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x6e3357…
07-10 09:22:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 11?	No	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0xe2ed79…
07-10 09:22:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 11?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x6cbb3a…
07-10 07:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	54	18¢	$10	0xb18573…
07-10 07:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 11?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x70c0f5…
07-10 07:26:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 11?	No	SELL	13	73¢	$10	0x08f4f9…
07-10 07:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 11?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xbf1788…
07-10 07:08:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0xad0781…
07-10 07:08:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 11?	No	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x585a15…
07-10 07:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x637562…
07-10 07:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xda2dcc…
07-10 07:04:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 11?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x146b4c…
07-10 06:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xa8f0f0…
07-10 05:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x7e9206…
07-10 05:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x47baf4…
07-10 05:55:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x59aed2…
07-10 05:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x2c3592…