Tart-Representation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$723

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

52.1%

Resolved

283

Trades

550

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$183

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-25

last 11-03 11:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Other

55% 33% -$444

Politics

20% 62% -$213

Crypto

12% 24% -$77

Sports

12% 58% +$10

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+102	$95	98¢	$100	+$4	09-15 17:54
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+50	$48	99¢	$50	+$2	09-13 22:26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+100	$26	24¢	$24	-$2	11-03 11:41
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+50	$15	11¢	$5	-$10	10-10 12:46
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+50	$3	5¢	$3	$0	10-24 23:20
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+50	$1	4¢	$2	+$1	10-23 12:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$2.5K	1,621	1,621	+0	No	-$211	05-25 19:38
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	19	$518	421	412	+8	No	+$6	09-25 12:31
Will Molde FK win on 2026-05-30?	3	$493	360	157	+203	Yes	-$14	05-30 15:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	24	$478	440	440	+0	Yes	+$35	10-30 22:10
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	9	$319	250	200	+50	No	+$15	10-25 07:30
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-30?	2	$316	186	186	+0	No	-$42	05-30 12:42
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 2?	3	$246	175	92	+83	Yes	-$5	06-02 17:20
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	13	$244	284	284	+0	No	-$50	10-27 06:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	18	$222	434	434	+0	No	-$48	10-29 08:02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?	2	$216	189	189	+0	Yes	-$148	05-31 11:45
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	12	$215	280	280	+0	Yes	-$1	10-23 18:41
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 10?	4	$212	133	98	+35	Yes	-$13	06-10 22:18
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)	2	$208	121	121	+0	Arizona Diamondbacks	-$26	05-30 05:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	10	$204	240	240	+0	Yes	-$74	10-23 03:19
Will Cabo Verde vs. Serbia end in a draw?	1	$194	196	0	+196	No	+$2	05-31 16:34
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	1	$186	188	0	+188	Seattle Mariners	+$2	05-31 04:18
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)	1	$185	187	0	+187	Washington Nationals	+$2	05-30 22:20
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1?	2	$179	99	99	+0	No	-$17	06-01 17:31
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on May 28?	1	$174	176	0	+176	No	+$2	05-28 18:49
New York Yankees vs. Athletics	1	$170	172	0	+172	New York Yankees	+$2	05-31 23:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	6	$169	162	62	+100	Yes	+$4	10-17 03:54
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 30?	1	$162	167	0	+167	Yes	+$5	05-30 09:43
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?	4	$156	118	57	+60	Yes	-$10	06-10 14:54
Will North Macedonia win on 2026-05-29?	1	$155	160	0	+160	No	+$5	05-29 20:21
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 29?	1	$154	159	0	+159	No	+$5	05-29 07:14
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers	1	$148	150	0	+150	Texas Rangers	+$2	05-31 21:04
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	3	$146	100	50	+50	open	—	09-13 22:26
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)	1	$141	141	0	+141	Toronto Blue Jays	+$0	05-29 01:11
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$139	141	0	+141	No	+$2	05-30 19:46
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	1	$135	139	0	+139	No	+$4	05-31 10:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 11:41:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x335914…
11-03 10:59:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x483831…
10-30 22:10:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x7983d8…
10-30 22:06:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	19	85¢	$16	0x78c14c…
10-30 21:45:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	54	94¢	$51	0xe76910…
10-30 21:27:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	61	35¢	$22	0xaffdb6…
10-30 20:29:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x209d15…
10-30 20:00:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0x43a9da…
10-30 18:31:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xdbfccc…
10-30 15:14:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	54	54¢	$29	0x067505…
10-30 09:39:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x867f09…
10-30 07:44:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x897b6c…
10-29 16:31:40	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0xeca9e7…
10-29 13:08:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x9519dc…
10-29 08:02:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x2b7a85…
10-28 03:44:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xf8ada9…
10-27 20:57:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0xabb81b…
10-27 06:53:57	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xabaa5e…
10-27 05:47:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0x7ca559…
10-26 10:38:24	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x073092…
10-25 23:46:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	29	49¢	$14	0xc83176…
10-25 15:04:03	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x281005…
10-25 10:36:39	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x00d2d6…
10-25 10:33:53	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x5add40…
10-25 07:30:12	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x373d24…
10-24 23:20:00	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x6d1a26…
10-23 22:54:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x069f60…
10-23 22:50:32	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x679fb1…
10-23 19:06:14	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x1cca9c…
10-23 18:41:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x835a10…
10-23 12:35:57	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0x13d509…
10-23 10:12:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xe0d6da…
10-23 05:09:48	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$7	0x892668…
10-23 04:30:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xdeb1f7…
10-23 03:56:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xe4fd6e…
10-23 03:19:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xcd1da7…
10-22 23:01:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xcf231e…
10-22 18:00:54	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	39	9¢	$4	0x81d579…
10-22 10:54:23	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x29b4f8…
10-22 09:43:14	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xde3569…
10-22 06:33:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x6a8076…
10-21 22:32:12	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x6d7632…
10-21 22:01:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xc0536c…
10-21 21:48:20	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0xd77210…
10-21 21:21:03	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xe5dff2…
10-21 21:11:33	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x779019…
10-21 21:05:09	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xece4ae…
10-21 20:04:06	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x26c7de…
10-21 15:27:11	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xf813d6…
10-21 14:44:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x5f298d…
10-21 14:36:42	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0xaaf720…
10-21 11:53:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x2cdbaf…
10-21 10:16:56	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xd3de14…
10-21 10:05:42	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x532021…
10-21 09:35:18	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	30	74¢	$22	0x5be6b5…
10-21 09:25:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xacba32…
10-21 06:47:08	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x838719…
10-21 06:25:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xd58de9…
10-21 06:11:06	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$1	0xf0a83b…
10-20 20:45:29	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0xbe3501…
10-20 18:44:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$9	0x665109…
10-20 10:13:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x2bd861…
10-20 01:35:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x7bad44…
10-20 00:57:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x12d60b…
10-20 00:00:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4d0218…
10-17 21:32:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x69e209…
10-17 05:13:20	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xe68a2a…
10-17 03:54:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xd5c6e4…
10-17 01:31:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x6c41b0…
10-16 17:59:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	No	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x244d6f…
10-16 14:58:07	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xde6809…
10-16 13:20:31	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x58fa89…
10-16 10:50:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0xaed045…
10-16 10:41:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	No	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x748ac2…
10-15 17:59:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x9ccfb2…
10-15 15:19:58	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x75bccc…
10-14 18:24:40	will bitcoin reach 90k in october 2026	Yes	SELL	25	21¢	$5	0xd19f3b…
10-14 17:39:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x01a083…
10-14 11:42:17	will wti reach 105 in october 2026	No	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0x574acb…
10-14 01:39:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0xbe2939…
10-13 19:03:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xdc8284…
10-13 15:38:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x9cff7e…
10-13 13:59:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0xacb168…
10-13 01:17:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x3518d9…
10-13 00:51:45	Will Hyperliquid dip to $80 in October?	Yes	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x9bc31a…
10-12 23:45:18	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x57e1a2…
10-12 23:34:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0xa375aa…
10-12 22:58:12	Will Hyperliquid dip to $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	26	67¢	$17	0xcd0999…
10-12 22:12:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x604f79…
10-12 21:05:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x44e53a…
10-12 18:50:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	13	36¢	$5	0xa1ec9a…
10-12 14:21:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	No	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x85709a…
10-12 12:37:30	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0x13f595…
10-12 12:30:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x528409…
10-12 11:06:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	Yes	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x92b8e8…
10-12 10:47:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x6c4878…
10-12 08:50:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x38c4c2…
10-12 05:47:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	28	15¢	$4	0x762de0…
10-12 03:59:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x46760d…
10-12 02:53:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	Yes	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0xf098f6…