Cloudy-Rediscovery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.42K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

728

lifetime

Volume

$1.99M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.74K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 07-20 10:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

72% 100% +$2,386

Politics

27% 100% +$30

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	22	$227.3K	122,201	122,201	+0	open	—	05-27 23:15
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	20	$212.0K	121,676	121,676	+0	open	—	03-09 02:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	14	$135.4K	78,548	78,548	+0	open	—	04-01 04:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	66	$133.8K	72,793	72,056	+737	open	—	06-02 14:54
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	55	$120.2K	75,643	65,563	+10,080	open	—	06-18 05:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	17	$112.6K	57,312	80,763	-23,451	open	—	06-12 16:47
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	17	$106.2K	54,267	54,267	+0	open	—	03-01 05:11
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	16	$91.0K	76,897	16,152	+60,745	open	—	01-30 21:29
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	23	$74.0K	39,802	39,818	-17	open	—	03-05 16:54
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	38	$59.7K	31,416	31,416	+0	open	—	04-08 02:35
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	18	$59.6K	30,556	32,354	-1,798	open	—	03-03 03:05
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$58.0K	30,076	30,076	+0	open	—	03-03 03:08
val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	26	$52.9K	35,720	35,720	+0	open	—	07-12 16:21
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	10	$42.7K	24,041	24,041	+0	open	—	04-29 21:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	46	$41.9K	36,039	20,000	+16,039	open	—	05-25 14:13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	35	$36.1K	26,512	12,054	+14,458	No	+$2,386	05-04 16:29
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	20	$34.5K	19,167	19,167	+0	open	—	03-09 02:31
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	43	$31.4K	18,150	18,150	+0	open	—	01-30 23:57
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	5	$30.9K	17,702	17,702	+0	open	—	07-11 17:34
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$29.7K	30,699	0	+30,699	open	—	01-20 07:09
Iran leadership change by April 30?	5	$26.6K	29,550	0	+29,550	open	—	04-08 04:14
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	8	$24.0K	12,309	12,309	+0	open	—	04-01 03:45
Kash Patel out by June 30?	11	$21.7K	9,791	13,685	-3,894	open	—	06-23 17:35
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	12	$20.9K	12,830	12,830	+0	open	—	07-20 08:57
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	6	$20.7K	11,532	11,532	+0	open	—	03-02 14:55
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$17.7K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	06-05 17:27
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	9	$17.1K	8,974	9,542	-568	open	—	06-12 16:48
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	1	$15.8K	16,900	0	+16,900	open	—	05-30 03:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$13.4K	10,000	4,634	+5,366	open	—	05-27 03:06
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	15	$10.1K	5,244	5,244	+0	open	—	04-15 22:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 10:45:01	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	SELL	1,100	60¢	$665	0x4b533f…
07-20 10:43:39	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	SELL	497	30¢	$150	0x02bdad…
07-20 10:43:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	SELL	488	26¢	$125	0xbfada2…
07-20 09:34:07	wta niemeie malygin 2026 07 20	Jule Niemeier	SELL	3,727	63¢	$2,351	0xa24aff…
07-20 09:22:57	wta niemeie malygin 2026 07 20	Jule Niemeier	BUY	715	80¢	$572	0xd09421…
07-20 09:21:34	wta niemeie malygin 2026 07 20	Jule Niemeier	BUY	3,012	80¢	$2,410	0x6cb559…
07-20 09:11:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	BUY	497	29¢	$143	0xdfa242…
07-20 09:01:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	SELL	930	64¢	$591	0x57e925…
07-20 09:00:27	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	488	74¢	$362	0x5bfae7…
07-20 08:57:43	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	SELL	1,500	87¢	$1,307	0x7fb51f…
07-20 08:57:04	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	1,847	75¢	$1,385	0x53c62c…
07-20 08:38:39	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	29	75¢	$21	0x045588…
07-20 08:32:36	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0xc4803f…
07-20 08:32:34	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	38	75¢	$29	0x0d5a26…
07-20 08:29:10	lol ns kt 2026 07 20	KT Rolster	SELL	95	59¢	$56	0xbb5a0f…
07-20 08:26:13	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	1,750	77¢	$1,340	0x5cfe31…
07-20 08:23:54	lol ns kt 2026 07 20	KT Rolster	BUY	3,479	57¢	$2,000	0x776516…
07-20 08:22:04	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	4,675	73¢	$3,400	0x5c7965…
07-20 01:52:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	630	63¢	$394	0x1128f6…
07-20 01:51:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	249	61¢	$152	0x9dc974…
07-20 01:50:07	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x68e9e1…
07-20 01:50:06	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	1,280	75¢	$960	0x99d565…
07-20 01:48:37	lol lyna z5 2026 07 19	LYON Academy	SELL	1,709	9¢	$157	0x6e80f3…
07-20 01:47:12	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	3,293	74¢	$2,433	0xaf9d2d…
07-20 01:47:12	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	94	74¢	$69	0x921030…
07-20 01:46:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xa2d493…
07-20 01:45:30	lol lyna z5 2026 07 19	LYON Academy	SELL	887	14¢	$125	0x5eb953…
07-20 01:44:58	lol lyna z5 2026 07 19	LYON Academy	SELL	2,597	25¢	$637	0xa60f7f…
07-20 01:38:54	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	1,100	87¢	$962	0xe4e037…
07-20 01:37:51	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	BUY	1,500	85¢	$1,274	0x7d87bb…
07-20 01:18:09	lol lyna z5 2026 07 19	LYON Academy	BUY	4,893	35¢	$1,712	0xea047b…
07-20 01:16:48	lol lyna z5 2026 07 19	LYON Academy	BUY	102	35¢	$36	0xbfe424…
07-20 01:16:48	lol lyna z5 2026 07 19	LYON Academy	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x6ff0f0…
07-20 01:15:33	lol lyna z5 2026 07 19	LYON Academy	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x205f9a…
07-20 01:13:51	lol lyna z5 2026 07 19	LYON Academy	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x8b489a…
07-20 01:09:52	lol kits sdm 2026 07 19	SDM Tigres	SELL	76	35¢	$26	0x78fa31…
07-20 01:09:46	lol kits sdm 2026 07 19	SDM Tigres	SELL	86	35¢	$30	0x1874d3…
07-20 01:09:43	lol kits sdm 2026 07 19	SDM Tigres	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xc1c79d…
07-20 01:01:58	lol kits sdm 2026 07 19	SDM Tigres	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x0e5dbe…
07-19 14:39:46	lol kc dk 2026 07 19	Dplus KIA	BUY	7,211	89¢	$6,443	0x9eadc9…
07-18 22:33:54	val g21 100t1 2026 07 18	100 Thieves	BUY	6,471	82¢	$5,288	0x4fab07…
07-12 16:21:38	val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	100 Thieves	SELL	320	68¢	$218	0xa479dc…
07-12 16:19:41	val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	100 Thieves	BUY	138	69¢	$95	0xc0ca5f…
07-12 16:19:38	val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	100 Thieves	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x34f8e1…
07-12 16:19:37	val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	100 Thieves	BUY	49	69¢	$34	0x290a5b…
07-12 16:19:35	val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	100 Thieves	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xfac313…
07-12 16:19:29	val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	100 Thieves	BUY	108	69¢	$74	0xc9ea98…
07-12 16:18:07	val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	100 Thieves	SELL	35,400	67¢	$23,879	0xa6bc25…
07-12 15:12:37	val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	100 Thieves	BUY	16,545	85¢	$14,000	0x10d5cb…
07-12 15:12:31	val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	100 Thieves	BUY	150	80¢	$120	0xbf98ba…
07-12 15:12:31	val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	100 Thieves	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x8d77b4…
07-12 15:12:22	val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	100 Thieves	BUY	101	80¢	$80	0xd149dc…
07-12 15:12:14	val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	100 Thieves	BUY	22	80¢	$18	0x18a340…
07-12 15:11:59	val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	100 Thieves	BUY	75	80¢	$60	0x97614b…
07-12 15:11:41	val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	100 Thieves	BUY	150	80¢	$120	0xb2ff98…
07-12 15:11:41	val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	100 Thieves	BUY	124	80¢	$99	0x640ff3…
07-12 15:11:41	val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	100 Thieves	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0x0d8e95…
07-12 15:11:35	val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	100 Thieves	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x10b4b4…
07-12 15:11:34	val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	100 Thieves	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xf0eb5c…
07-12 15:11:34	val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	100 Thieves	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc184ef…
07-12 15:11:34	val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	100 Thieves	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x6c11e7…
07-12 15:11:34	val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	100 Thieves	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x1a66bf…
07-12 15:11:32	val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	100 Thieves	BUY	90	79¢	$71	0x031ef5…
07-12 15:08:56	val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	100 Thieves	BUY	2,295	78¢	$1,779	0x3ba4e1…
07-12 15:08:05	val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	100 Thieves	BUY	6,350	79¢	$5,000	0xf6b358…
07-12 15:08:05	val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	100 Thieves	BUY	2,541	71¢	$1,804	0xa1b338…
07-12 15:07:43	val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12	100 Thieves	BUY	6,425	78¢	$5,000	0xb5963e…
07-11 17:38:34	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	1,129	47¢	$526	0xdeaac7…
07-11 17:38:32	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	4,260	66¢	$2,797	0xca8c4b…
07-11 17:38:11	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	SELL	1,149	78¢	$902	0x0f6fd6…
07-11 17:37:44	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	SELL	5,485	41¢	$2,259	0x588463…
07-11 17:37:16	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	950	60¢	$570	0x4d0cea…
07-11 17:36:52	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	2,542	94¢	$2,402	0xcf32d1…
07-11 17:36:28	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	247	82¢	$202	0x37171c…
07-11 17:36:22	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	4,229	69¢	$2,918	0x8a3b3d…
07-11 17:35:16	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	6,308	88¢	$5,570	0x6dd4d7…
07-11 17:34:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	17,702	86¢	$15,281	0xbe1a1d…
07-11 10:07:52	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	24	82¢	$20	0x65ad1e…
07-11 10:07:49	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x6d57e0…
07-10 21:01:34	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	6,100	88¢	$5,368	0x9ab880…
07-10 20:59:07	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xe38bc3…
07-10 20:55:10	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x8643a6…
07-10 20:36:38	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	1,087	92¢	$997	0x32613a…
07-10 20:34:10	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x2a49d8…
07-10 20:32:32	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x90c102…
07-10 20:21:16	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0xc1aa2c…
07-10 19:48:38	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	258	82¢	$212	0xb6ff4f…
07-10 19:48:20	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	24	82¢	$20	0xe2bb83…
07-10 19:48:19	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	24	82¢	$20	0x7672d8…
07-10 06:25:44	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	1,334	90¢	$1,197	0x30367a…
07-10 06:22:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	5,000	89¢	$4,450	0x1d91f1…
07-10 06:19:47	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	1,149	88¢	$1,011	0xbdf5b7…
07-10 06:19:20	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	400	80¢	$320	0x31b093…
07-10 06:19:04	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	248	79¢	$196	0xe99f98…
07-10 06:18:49	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	302	77¢	$233	0xbccd82…
07-10 06:13:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	3,818	88¢	$3,360	0x178bf5…
07-10 06:12:22	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	2,784	87¢	$2,422	0xc5b21f…
07-10 06:10:22	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	6,308	89¢	$5,614	0xd3d8c9…
07-10 05:51:11	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	175	67¢	$117	0xcb79c3…
07-10 05:51:11	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	500	67¢	$335	0x569388…