Other-Safety — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$475

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved (90d)

173

Trades (90d)

225

14,091 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$9.97K

$172.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$2.84K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-29

last 11-05 18:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 185 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 62% -$4,669

Other

10% 57% -$767

Politics

6% 47% -$698

Sports

3% 50% -$295

Tech

0% 50% +$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+2,921	$2,830	97¢	$2.8K	+$14	11-05 18:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	441	$4.6K	5,190	5,487	-297	No	+$44	02-14 16:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 20:35 UTC	2	$3.0K	4,272	0	+4,272	Up	-$2,981	03-13 20:37
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	1	$2.8K	2,921	0	+2,921	open	—	11-05 18:37
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	94	$2.8K	3,239	3,399	-160	Yes	-$321	02-11 16:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 19:30 UTC	1	$2.7K	2,840	0	+2,840	Up	+$143	03-13 19:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 19:25 UTC	1	$2.5K	2,700	0	+2,700	Down	+$211	03-13 19:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 20:20 UTC	1	$2.4K	2,702	0	+2,702	Down	+$329	03-13 20:23
another us government shutdown by february 14	201	$2.4K	3,753	4,424	-672	No	-$421	02-13 05:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 19:20 UTC	1	$2.3K	2,492	0	+2,492	Down	+$201	03-13 19:22
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	175	$1.7K	2,039	1,982	+57	No	-$16	02-28 16:28
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	120	$1.6K	1,313	1,491	-178	No	$0	02-10 18:01
atp grieksp perrica 2026 02 09	186	$1.5K	1,718	1,387	+331	Griekspoor	-$39	02-10 13:36
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	117	$1.5K	1,437	1,544	-108	No	+$15	02-14 19:32
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	52	$1.1K	1,150	1,250	-100	No	+$13	02-12 16:10
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,408	0	+1,408	Yes	+$408	11-01 19:36
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,250	0	+1,250	Yes	+$250	11-01 19:36
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 220 239	80	$976	1,543	1,673	-130	No	-$128	02-09 04:02
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	1	$967	1,426	0	+1,426	No	-$967	11-01 19:37
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 200 219	89	$967	1,841	1,806	+35	No	-$30	02-09 04:04
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	96	$946	1,237	1,287	-50	No	+$16	02-13 15:22
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 19:10 UTC	1	$757	961	0	+961	Up	+$204	03-20 19:13
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	36	$748	720	977	-257	Yes	-$157	02-16 15:56
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 18:50 UTC	1	$617	761	0	+761	Up	+$144	03-20 18:51
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	66	$539	567	653	-86	No	-$4	02-16 15:37
will the united states win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	33	$433	552	588	-36	No	+$3	02-14 05:41
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	35	$385	470	517	-47	Yes	-$33	02-27 09:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 18:30 UTC	1	$381	545	0	+545	Down	+$164	03-25 18:31
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	29	$377	479	503	-24	Yes	+$9	02-14 12:16
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	11	$366	410	410	+0	Yes	-$5	02-11 08:44
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	34	$353	1,541	1,381	+160	No	-$29	02-13 14:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 18:37:30	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,921	97¢	$2,830	0xd6cf38…
11-01 19:37:07	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,426	68¢	$967	0xc75b9a…
11-01 19:36:37	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,408	71¢	$1,000	0xd83eaf…
11-01 19:36:19	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,250	80¢	$1,000	0xc16d02…
11-01 19:17:00	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	175	72¢	$126	0xc50481…
08-27 23:08:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xd11dfa…
08-27 22:07:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	33	74¢	$24	0xc4c43d…
08-27 21:37:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	31	79¢	$24	0xdd4b89…
08-27 21:08:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	31	71¢	$22	0x7b0f1f…
08-27 20:03:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x229f16…
08-27 19:27:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x9f7b3e…
08-27 19:07:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	32	74¢	$24	0xb10508…
08-27 17:58:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x563c5e…
08-27 12:53:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x8a789e…
08-27 12:03:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	31	79¢	$24	0x531623…
08-27 06:58:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0xc7ab6d…
08-27 06:58:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x076611…
08-27 03:37:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	35	70¢	$24	0xfa9386…
08-27 03:18:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xba92d0…
08-27 02:37:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x9ed832…
08-26 23:17:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x6bc948…
08-26 20:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x583e12…
08-26 19:17:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x076788…
08-26 19:03:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	32	76¢	$24	0x74ae4d…
08-26 18:08:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x4090ee…
08-26 17:53:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	36	63¢	$23	0x8771cd…
08-26 16:58:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0x845557…
08-26 16:32:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x77a89c…
08-26 11:02:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0xdc9aa7…
08-26 11:02:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xa62e43…
08-26 10:32:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x5d2cb5…
08-26 03:03:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xc242f3…
08-25 23:13:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	37	66¢	$24	0xe33ac4…
08-25 22:57:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xf574c5…
08-25 22:57:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0xb37c1e…
08-25 22:57:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3ca7a4…
08-25 22:57:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0x0ad5cc…
08-25 21:52:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0xe3367f…
08-25 21:52:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9415c1…
08-25 21:52:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x695a59…
08-25 20:12:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	35	67¢	$23	0xea8231…
08-25 18:02:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	35	69¢	$24	0x0a1ee7…
08-25 10:57:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	31	57¢	$18	0xf26647…
08-25 10:37:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x80b0f7…
08-25 07:22:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0xe9a46f…
08-25 04:53:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x9a40b3…
08-24 20:22:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0x223334…
08-24 11:23:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	39	28¢	$11	0x98d2f8…
08-24 09:53:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	36	66¢	$24	0x3bb360…
08-24 09:32:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	31	79¢	$24	0x4527b1…
08-24 08:42:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	31	79¢	$24	0xa3a38b…
08-24 07:58:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xb31251…
08-24 07:58:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xa2d1b2…
08-24 06:08:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x54d185…
08-24 04:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x0e5707…
08-23 22:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xff80dd…
08-23 22:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	80¢	$18	0xdcebae…
08-23 19:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	36	68¢	$24	0x9a9ec3…
08-23 17:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x7b686b…
08-23 16:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	34	71¢	$24	0x4417b8…
08-23 16:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x35c6d5…
08-23 16:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xfa5aa0…
08-23 15:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0x2d7a16…
08-23 15:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf4370d…
08-23 15:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	80¢	$5	0x1435fd…
08-23 15:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x0272cb…
08-23 15:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x5032a5…
08-23 11:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x8e72b3…
08-23 11:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x82f01f…
08-23 11:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x79fcfb…
08-23 11:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x3c20ce…
08-23 11:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x8acb1b…
08-23 11:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x105a9d…
08-23 10:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	79¢	$24	0x58cd1e…
08-23 09:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	31	79¢	$24	0xf2f898…
08-23 09:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	36	68¢	$24	0x55b34f…
08-23 08:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	37	65¢	$24	0x08ade1…
08-23 07:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x6fe126…
08-23 06:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xbb5d1a…
08-23 03:53:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x3517f7…
08-23 02:43:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	31	79¢	$24	0x879df4…
08-23 02:03:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	37	45¢	$17	0x5d1b04…
08-23 01:53:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xdd2e71…
08-23 01:53:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0xdbf190…
08-23 01:37:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0xd8443a…
08-23 01:37:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x7b055e…
08-23 01:37:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0x47f349…
08-23 00:53:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x5040a2…
08-23 00:38:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	33	67¢	$22	0x5e5e6e…
08-23 00:23:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x1bba35…
08-22 22:28:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x2c27a8…
08-22 22:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	63¢	$23	0xa94a6f…
08-22 21:52:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	33	74¢	$24	0x6da802…
08-22 21:23:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	33	73¢	$24	0x0d1e16…
08-22 19:27:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	37	61¢	$23	0x5121cb…
08-22 17:53:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	32	75¢	$24	0x30f850…
08-22 17:07:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xae42c4…
08-22 16:57:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	36	68¢	$24	0xd58a49…
08-22 16:13:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	37	66¢	$24	0x5b0177…
08-22 15:43:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xffbcf8…