Silky-Insurgence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.42K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.1%

Resolved

1,079

Trades

2,372

lifetime

Volume

$54.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 09-22 13:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% -$1,466

Other

0% 100% +$47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 29 1pm et	4	$750	974	617	+357	Down	+$19	01-29 18:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 17:00 UTC	11	$534	378	374	+4	Down	+$139	01-12 17:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 18:00 UTC	3	$419	224	223	+1	Down	+$19	01-09 18:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 18:30 UTC	5	$418	301	298	+3	Up	+$101	01-09 18:41
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 2pm et	5	$396	828	734	+94	Down	+$69	03-16 18:59
ethereum up or down january 21 8am et	3	$392	401	401	-0	Down	+$192	01-21 13:49
xrp up or down january 17 9am et	5	$390	1,022	140	+883	Up	-$169	01-17 14:28
bitcoin up or down january 9 7am et	6	$380	282	282	+0	Down	+$60	01-09 13:00
bitcoin up or down march 1 5am et	4	$379	1,220	0	+1,220	Up	-$379	03-01 10:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 15:00 UTC	6	$350	286	195	+91	Up	-$10	01-09 15:08
bitcoin up or down march 1 4am et	4	$346	264	264	+0	Down	+$146	03-01 09:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 06:15 UTC	5	$333	491	197	+294	Down	+$16	01-22 06:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 19:00 UTC	3	$325	880	879	+1	Down	+$202	01-12 19:14
bitcoin up or down january 21 7am et	5	$322	450	450	+0	Down	+$2	01-21 12:58
ethereum up or down january 7 12pm et	5	$306	196	196	+0	Down	+$37	01-07 17:59
ethereum up or down january 21 6am et	2	$300	258	258	+0	Down	+$100	01-21 11:19
bitcoin up or down january 20 4pm et	4	$281	342	217	+125	Down	+$53	01-20 21:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 04:00 UTC	4	$279	171	170	+1	Down	+$40	01-08 04:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 08:15 UTC	6	$279	236	211	+25	Up	+$1	02-27 08:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 13:15 UTC	4	$273	158	156	+1	Down	+$33	01-09 13:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 03:45 UTC	2	$273	187	184	+3	Down	+$76	01-20 03:58
bitcoin up or down january 20 3am et	2	$261	187	187	+0	Down	+$85	01-20 08:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 08:45 UTC	2	$259	166	164	+2	Down	+$61	03-17 08:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 13:00 UTC	9	$252	153	151	+1	Down	+$34	01-07 13:10
bitcoin up or down january 15 11pm et	2	$251	201	201	+0	Down	+$131	01-16 04:52
bitcoin up or down february 28 6am et	6	$243	203	203	+0	Down	+$158	02-28 11:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 07:00 UTC	3	$242	220	219	+1	Down	+$193	01-12 07:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 07:15 UTC	2	$236	180	177	+3	Up	+$80	01-20 07:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 07:15 UTC	4	$227	222	220	+2	Up	+$107	01-12 07:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 19:45 UTC	2	$224	119	119	+0	Up	+$5	01-07 19:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 13:48:51	bitcoin up or down september 22 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x222850…
09-21 14:15:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	43	42¢	$18	0x5b3f71…
09-21 14:03:41	Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xca0082…
09-21 13:55:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x7d6232…
09-21 13:54:17	Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x725201…
09-21 13:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0xdb1657…
09-21 13:39:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x2725cc…
09-21 13:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xb329f5…
08-30 12:16:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x243c86…
08-27 17:19:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xa3c11f…
08-27 17:13:55	bitcoin up or down august 27 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xf2eefb…
08-27 03:13:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x46b561…
08-27 03:11:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x3b9d76…
08-26 17:10:31	bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x60c975…
08-26 17:04:49	bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x66eab3…
08-26 17:01:52	bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x79471d…
08-26 16:49:36	bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd63919…
08-26 16:47:57	bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x9197a5…
08-26 16:45:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xe08cca…
08-26 16:45:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xb222cf…
08-26 15:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x84af98…
08-26 15:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf938fc…
08-26 15:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x7664d4…
08-26 15:58:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x4e6653…
08-26 15:26:12	bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x2cb3ab…
08-26 09:28:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8af6b2…
08-26 09:28:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xcbfff3…
08-26 02:21:25	bitcoin up or down august 25 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x89c5d1…
08-26 02:18:30	bitcoin up or down august 25 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xd594eb…
08-26 02:08:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xc0de22…
08-26 02:08:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x582c0e…
08-25 15:57:13	bitcoin up or down august 25 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0xaedf92…
08-25 15:26:42	bitcoin up or down august 25 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x29b59b…
08-25 08:45:51	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x9fe0b5…
08-25 08:22:37	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xb0903b…
08-25 08:22:04	bitcoin up or down august 25 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0xbfabd1…
08-10 12:33:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xd3cc72…
07-23 13:21:24	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xc5edaf…
07-14 14:17:22	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xd63f1b…
07-08 15:15:17	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x9c749b…
07-08 15:15:11	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x9a7aa6…
07-08 15:13:55	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x25c47d…
07-08 10:51:46	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	29	91¢	$27	0xee0063…
07-08 10:06:26	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xfef35c…
07-07 18:08:50	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xcb5b16…
07-07 17:12:34	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xeffaae…
06-28 15:16:32	ethereum up or down june 28 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xb951a5…
06-28 15:16:26	ethereum up or down june 28 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xdecdbd…
06-24 17:17:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x30738e…
06-24 17:17:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x6d3573…
06-18 15:32:34	bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0xe18144…
06-18 15:11:05	bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x117da0…
06-18 15:07:34	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-18 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	172	79¢	$136	0x1baca6…
06-18 13:11:11	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-18 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0x620656…
06-18 13:00:05	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-18 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xe74bd5…
06-18 12:47:37	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-18 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0xd3340f…
06-18 11:31:44	bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	132	41¢	$54	0x073a06…
06-18 09:18:40	bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xfbf45e…
06-18 09:08:02	bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x1581eb…
06-18 08:49:35	bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xe7bb16…
06-18 08:47:40	bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x36f164…
06-18 06:45:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x50dd79…
06-18 06:38:44	bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xf94a91…
06-17 16:39:13	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa44f90…
06-17 16:37:38	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x028303…
06-15 15:33:33	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x9dec0b…
06-15 15:14:45	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x52a4eb…
06-15 13:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	44	29¢	$13	0x37d8b9…
06-15 12:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	16	73¢	$12	0x64d67d…
06-15 12:27:28	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x9f9fee…
06-15 12:27:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xf14a2f…
06-15 12:23:52	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xb53546…
06-15 12:21:58	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	33	44¢	$15	0xcca58a…
06-15 12:21:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 12:15 UTC	Up	SELL	48	22¢	$10	0x597a93…
06-15 12:17:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x8a9e3a…
06-15 12:05:24	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x8170ca…
06-15 11:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	70	11¢	$8	0x258cbb…
06-15 11:12:24	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xf4b668…
06-15 10:33:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xead5ee…
06-15 09:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	72	91¢	$65	0xc3d750…
06-15 09:17:31	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x29c8c3…
06-15 09:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xcc68b8…
06-15 09:12:13	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x9f0ff0…
06-15 09:11:45	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x351a91…
06-15 08:04:16	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x74a13b…
06-15 08:03:07	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x01c888…
06-15 07:28:12	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	29	11¢	$3	0xf9f6e8…
06-15 07:16:31	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x276dda…
06-15 07:02:12	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x556576…
06-15 06:49:07	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x486dc4…
06-15 06:46:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x7da186…
06-15 06:20:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x5b394d…
06-15 06:10:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb553fb…
06-15 05:15:42	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xcfcd60…
06-15 05:15:42	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xcbdbbd…
06-15 05:15:42	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x75b8d2…
06-15 05:15:25	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x50c3af…
06-12 17:09:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-12 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x23a1f1…
06-12 15:11:45	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-12 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	147	91¢	$134	0xe09d5d…
06-12 13:33:36	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-12 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	82	18¢	$15	0xab1748…