Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

70.3%

Resolved

Trades

110

lifetime

Volume

$508

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$16

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-04 16:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Politics

64% 31% -$16

Crypto

25% 39% +$9

Other

8% 17% -$14

Sports

3% 0% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+19	$11	68¢	$13	+$2	10-27 20:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+17	$5	18¢	$3	-$2	10-27 20:07
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	+7	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	11-04 01:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$201	213	213	+0	Yes	+$17	10-25 22:13
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	3	$41	598	598	+0	No	-$19	02-09 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	4	$23	19	19	+0	Up	+$3	11-03 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	4	$22	18	18	+0	Up	+$2	11-04 16:18
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$14	68	0	+68	No	-$14	10-25 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	11-04 16:08
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$13	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	02-28 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$11	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	11-03 17:00
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$11	19	0	+19	open	—	10-27 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	11-03 16:53
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	7	$10	41	0	+41	Seahawks	-$10	02-09 01:57
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$10	14	14	+0	open	—	11-04 00:25
claudia sheinbaum out as president of mexico by january 31	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	01-17 04:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 02:00 UTC	5	$6	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	02-04 02:12
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$6	23	0	+23	Yes	-$6	11-03 18:55
mex que ame 2026 03 08 que	2	$6	43	0	+43	No	-$6	03-07 23:38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	10-27 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	-$5	11-04 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Down	+$9	11-04 16:11
mex tig que 2026 03 13 que	1	$5	29	0	+29	No	-$5	03-15 23:42
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$5	58	0	+58	No	-$5	03-11 04:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 01:15 UTC	4	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	02-04 01:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 00:00 UTC	2	$4	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	02-10 00:05
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$4	10	0	+10	Yes	+$6	02-01 16:49
mex atl que 2026 03 21 que	1	$4	17	0	+17	No	-$4	03-21 22:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 01:45 UTC	3	$3	270	20	+250	Down	-$1	02-04 01:58
mex asl que 2026 02 14 que	3	$3	30	0	+30	No	-$3	02-15 00:02
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-10-25?	1	$3	33	0	+33	No	-$3	10-26 01:31
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	2	$3	8	0	+8	Yes	-$1	11-04 01:47
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$3	7	0	+7	No	-$3	01-12 19:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 16:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x5be8b2…
11-04 16:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0xb77ed7…
11-04 16:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xec4d75…
11-04 16:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x945cc6…
11-04 16:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd0a548…
11-04 16:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xa06040…
11-04 16:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x2b70a6…
11-04 16:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc346c0…
11-04 02:09:48	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xf2f314…
11-04 01:47:15	Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xe0dbb8…
11-04 01:29:28	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x92aeb7…
11-04 01:26:33	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x255b5d…
11-04 01:26:27	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd38656…
11-04 01:23:13	Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4619da…
11-04 01:22:07	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2d2baf…
11-04 00:26:16	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0xf07953…
11-04 00:25:40	Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0x3d1ad9…
11-03 23:58:31	Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xf4bc8c…
11-03 18:55:24	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x5adbd7…
11-03 17:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	12	54¢	$6	0x814c77…
11-03 17:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x6adee8…
11-03 16:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	83¢	$7	0x235fd3…
11-03 16:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7705d1…
11-03 16:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x4d0d1a…
11-03 16:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1e2336…
11-03 16:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x679e3d…
11-03 16:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x6b95e9…
11-03 16:50:15	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x692287…
11-03 16:49:24	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x686b37…
11-03 16:47:45	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x29bfe4…
10-27 22:22:51	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0x8875a0…
10-27 20:25:06	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x2a5e02…
10-27 20:18:06	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x867752…
10-27 20:07:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x698636…
10-27 20:06:17	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xc3a145…
10-26 01:31:59	Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x059195…
10-25 23:19:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x1e683e…
10-25 22:30:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	38	29¢	$11	0x7f3bae…
10-25 22:13:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	107	57¢	$61	0x4ab713…
10-25 22:07:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	107	45¢	$48	0x8110b9…
09-28 00:01:51	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	213	43¢	$92	0xf826ca…
03-21 22:13:41	mex atl que 2026 03 21 que	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x283ada…
03-15 23:42:55	mex tig que 2026 03 13 que	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xe3c190…
03-15 21:49:09	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc39f66…
03-11 04:09:35	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0xccdbbc…
03-07 23:38:17	mex que ame 2026 03 08 que	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x57e3e0…
03-07 23:10:17	mex que ame 2026 03 08 que	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x843c23…
03-05 02:00:13	mex mon1 que 2026 03 04 draw	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x709dd2…
02-28 20:08:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x469939…
02-28 19:57:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x33c158…
02-28 19:51:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x8eb524…
02-27 17:13:49	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xe1249d…
02-15 00:02:11	mex asl que 2026 02 14 que	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc5fdac…
02-15 00:02:03	mex asl que 2026 02 14 que	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x20d323…
02-15 00:00:33	mex asl que 2026 02 14 que	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x86668f…
02-10 23:27:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x657a77…
02-10 22:13:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 22:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xde1052…
02-10 22:12:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x080a24…
02-10 00:19:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x86642f…
02-10 00:05:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x27cb03…
02-10 00:03:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4ffea1…
02-09 23:55:07	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	SELL	598	2¢	$11	0xd8f918…
02-09 23:46:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x52b6bf…
02-09 21:47:47	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xb02845…
02-09 01:57:19	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x8833ef…
02-09 01:44:51	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc9f1ce…
02-09 00:56:23	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf9e7dc…
02-09 00:56:13	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0363e2…
02-09 00:27:03	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x55d09f…
02-09 00:25:59	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xad625b…
02-07 23:59:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xc15f03…
02-06 18:10:57	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	580	5¢	$29	0x50f2bd…
02-05 19:40:59	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xb52881…
02-05 01:24:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5d3f33…
02-05 01:05:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x56483f…
02-05 00:57:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x54d76f…
02-05 00:53:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0969b5…
02-05 00:20:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x17b048…
02-05 00:10:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x94e720…
02-04 23:43:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xce8182…
02-04 23:24:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1bd4aa…
02-04 22:57:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4de89f…
02-04 22:38:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5ed3f1…
02-04 22:23:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9b3bdb…
02-04 14:09:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8c922f…
02-04 02:12:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 02:00 UTC	Down	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xcd97bf…
02-04 02:12:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 02:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$2	0x96c0ff…
02-04 02:10:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc6e1a3…
02-04 02:09:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x3a1846…
02-04 01:59:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5d1edb…
02-04 01:58:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xcc097a…
02-04 01:54:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 01:45 UTC	Up	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xbc52f1…
02-04 01:53:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0dacd1…
02-04 01:44:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xde71e5…
02-04 01:24:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 01:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x51cb45…
02-04 01:21:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9aba1f…
02-04 01:20:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 01:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x37488f…
02-04 01:16:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2df3e5…
02-02 00:51:00	mex que pac 2026 02 01 que	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x66d57d…
02-01 16:49:12	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xf76264…