Sympathetic-Ecliptic — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$62

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.5%

Resolved (90d)

1,345

Trades (90d)

2,246

17,868 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$10.2K

$154.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 09-10 00:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 196 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 84% -$790

Politics

4% 51% -$1,938

Other

2% 42% +$170

Pop-Culture

0% 60% +$12

Sports

0% 50% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 266 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	25	$1.3K	133,500	19,925	+113,575	No	-$963	03-04 18:02
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	22	$923	9,616	417	+9,199	Yes	-$439	02-06 15:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 15:30 UTC	8	$771	853	0	+853	Up	+$81	06-23 15:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 11:20 UTC	8	$748	766	0	+766	Up	+$17	06-23 11:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 17:10 UTC	7	$742	793	0	+793	Down	-$742	06-23 17:12
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	73	$706	926	920	+6	Yes	+$265	01-29 20:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 01:55 UTC	17	$552	560	0	+560	Down	+$7	07-11 02:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 15:05 UTC	7	$548	566	0	+566	Down	+$18	06-23 15:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 16:05 UTC	7	$546	560	0	+560	Up	+$14	06-23 16:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 01:35 UTC	18	$533	538	0	+538	Down	+$5	07-11 01:39
iran strike on israel by february 28	41	$464	351	351	+0	Yes	+$8	02-28 08:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 09:10 UTC	6	$406	447	0	+447	Up	+$41	06-23 09:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 08:30 UTC	6	$399	414	0	+414	Up	+$15	06-23 08:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 02:15 UTC	6	$394	402	0	+402	Down	+$8	06-24 02:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 07:15 UTC	6	$394	402	0	+402	Down	+$8	06-24 07:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 05:35 UTC	7	$380	391	0	+391	Up	+$11	07-07 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	7	$379	390	0	+390	Down	+$11	07-02 00:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 12:00 UTC	7	$375	427	0	+427	Up	+$52	06-22 12:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 16:00 UTC	7	$375	413	0	+413	Down	+$38	06-22 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 01:45 UTC	7	$375	405	0	+405	Down	+$30	06-23 01:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 17:30 UTC	7	$374	403	0	+403	Down	+$29	06-22 17:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 19:45 UTC	7	$374	403	0	+403	Down	+$30	06-22 19:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 20:00 UTC	7	$369	385	0	+385	Up	+$16	06-18 20:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 08:30 UTC	7	$368	388	0	+388	Down	+$20	06-17 08:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 03:15 UTC	7	$367	381	0	+381	Down	+$14	06-17 03:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 06:05 UTC	7	$367	385	0	+385	Down	+$18	06-18 06:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 22:35 UTC	7	$367	387	0	+387	Up	+$19	07-07 22:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 12:15 UTC	7	$367	383	0	+383	Up	+$16	06-16 12:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 01:00 UTC	7	$366	381	0	+381	Up	+$15	06-23 01:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 02:50 UTC	7	$366	381	0	+381	Down	+$15	06-22 02:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-10 00:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x513e22…
09-10 00:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x6266db…
09-09 23:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x3758a7…
09-09 23:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x44a76a…
09-09 22:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x650c46…
09-09 22:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xff0a4b…
09-09 22:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xe6502d…
09-09 22:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xba8c94…
09-09 22:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xc06645…
09-09 22:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x11b9a4…
09-09 22:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0xf4923b…
09-09 22:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x35aece…
09-09 22:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	77¢	$4	0x4427b2…
09-09 22:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0xb8c88a…
09-09 22:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x033ca0…
09-09 22:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x9b47b2…
09-09 22:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xfc989a…
09-09 22:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xde3ac2…
09-09 22:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x5cd03e…
09-09 22:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x9f7059…
09-09 22:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf63869…
09-09 21:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0xab6608…
09-09 21:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x08148d…
09-09 21:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0xfbf0c9…
09-09 21:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x5e4a77…
09-09 21:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x6d3040…
09-09 21:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x5ca2d6…
09-09 20:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb60b00…
09-09 20:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x707c7e…
09-09 20:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x93e149…
09-09 20:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x890025…
09-09 20:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x2b2584…
09-09 20:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x244d17…
09-09 20:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xcd0dfb…
09-09 20:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xb7241b…
09-09 20:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x968846…
09-09 20:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xb3114a…
09-09 20:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xd873dd…
09-09 20:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0xa8edb8…
09-09 20:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x2a81f0…
09-09 20:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x6b7ecc…
09-09 20:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x0ed64d…
09-09 20:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x123fe9…
09-09 20:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0xb9ead9…
09-09 20:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x22c606…
09-09 20:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0f1731…
09-09 18:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x2e1e1c…
09-09 18:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x471326…
09-09 18:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xd742ed…
09-09 18:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x561219…
09-09 18:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xfc4777…
09-09 18:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xadc92d…
09-09 18:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xfdad25…
09-09 18:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf7e4d7…
09-09 18:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x023c1a…
09-09 18:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xc87371…
09-09 18:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x84478e…
09-09 17:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xc0ceb6…
09-09 17:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xec3add…
09-09 17:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xfb6a10…
09-09 17:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf0d9c2…
09-09 17:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x4a21c8…
09-09 17:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x9a562b…
09-09 17:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x5737d4…
09-09 17:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9885d4…
09-09 17:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x194c84…
09-09 17:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x18d782…
09-09 17:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x21117d…
09-09 17:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x7f06ab…
09-09 17:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x52ce61…
09-09 17:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xe04d52…
09-09 17:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x752bd4…
09-09 17:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x0f3279…
09-09 17:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xa38861…
09-09 17:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x54e013…
09-09 17:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x016b4b…
09-09 16:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xeb42ab…
09-09 15:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x60546e…
09-09 15:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xc9b7d0…
09-09 15:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x8e5d53…
09-09 15:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x2f90bd…
09-09 13:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xbb5129…
09-09 13:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xd2e1f6…
09-09 13:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xe7317b…
09-09 13:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x7c8917…
09-09 13:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0xb26728…
09-09 13:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x25352d…
09-09 12:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x5556a8…
09-09 12:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xc677d6…
09-09 11:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xfb12c8…
09-09 11:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x24b2c2…
09-09 11:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x2ed637…
09-09 11:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb24120…
09-09 11:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x52ac98…
09-09 11:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xfc63c5…
09-09 11:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x092659…
09-09 11:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xa9545f…
09-09 11:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x9a228e…
09-09 11:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xf57232…
09-09 11:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x8455ab…