Possible-Recollection — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.5%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

2,214 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$876

$116.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 10-30 19:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 31% -$11,374

Other

4% 16% -$1,606

Sports

4% 40% +$2,386

Politics

0% 17% -$55

Tech

0% 0% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	13	$3.5K	3,046	3,046	+0	Sean Strickland	+$2,114	05-10 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	3	$1.4K	3,934	1,061	+2,873	Up	+$19	10-10 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	8	$1.2K	3,742	3,742	+0	Up	+$118	10-10 02:54
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	4	$1.2K	927	909	+19	Yes	+$127	04-10 14:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 00:30 UTC	9	$1.2K	2,597	2,597	+0	Down	+$616	08-28 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	4	$1.1K	1,814	1,814	+0	Up	-$79	09-12 03:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 00:20 UTC	7	$1.1K	1,935	1,435	+501	Up	+$150	08-28 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:50 UTC	6	$982	3,621	1,281	+2,340	Down	-$18	06-10 20:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 00:25 UTC	6	$968	2,158	2,158	+0	Up	+$210	08-28 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$895	813	813	+0	Down	+$346	09-12 02:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:55 UTC	2	$877	1,192	1,192	+0	Up	+$277	06-10 20:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:15 UTC	6	$877	2,416	1,339	+1,077	Down	+$137	08-22 05:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$862	1,301	1,301	+0	Down	+$262	06-10 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	4	$858	1,593	1,045	+548	Down	+$527	10-09 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	4	$854	906	906	+0	Up	+$360	09-11 23:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 23:00 UTC	5	$854	3,571	1,140	+2,431	Up	+$676	08-24 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	5	$852	1,999	1,002	+996	Up	+$235	10-10 00:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:30 UTC	7	$852	1,637	1,138	+500	Up	+$43	08-28 02:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:20 UTC	5	$849	2,216	1,217	+999	Up	+$159	08-22 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	4	$803	1,420	683	+737	Up	+$61	09-12 02:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	3	$759	3,069	1,513	+1,556	Down	-$21	10-10 02:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:45 UTC	4	$748	802	802	+0	Up	+$357	08-20 22:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 23:30 UTC	6	$728	2,255	1,370	+885	Down	+$230	08-24 23:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 23:20 UTC	6	$728	1,181	1,181	+0	Up	+$143	08-21 23:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 04:40 UTC	8	$716	1,425	909	+516	Down	+$268	08-22 04:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:20 UTC	5	$692	1,655	822	+833	Down	+$94	08-28 02:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:25 UTC	5	$673	1,266	1,266	+0	Down	+$73	08-20 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	5	$654	1,152	869	+283	Up	+$59	09-11 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	3	$652	1,388	885	+503	Up	+$154	09-12 02:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 04:05 UTC	5	$649	1,530	729	+802	Down	+$60	08-22 04:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 19:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	466	14¢	$65	0xf027aa…
10-30 19:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	900	1¢	$9	0x4564a1…
10-30 19:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	283	6¢	$17	0xfb00bc…
10-30 19:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	422	12¢	$49	0x14c04d…
10-30 19:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	192	19¢	$36	0x144b2d…
10-30 16:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	317	61¢	$193	0x326652…
10-30 16:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	317	8¢	$25	0x2b9b3a…
10-30 16:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	59	48¢	$28	0x3c03b3…
10-30 16:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	59	26¢	$15	0xee9b58…
10-30 16:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	160	5¢	$8	0x2f802e…
10-30 16:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	978	3¢	$29	0x7c7100…
10-30 15:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	233	3¢	$7	0x0e50fa…
10-30 15:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	259	19¢	$48	0xa53961…
10-30 15:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1,167	3¢	$35	0xe56154…
10-30 15:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x642edf…
10-30 15:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	299	4¢	$12	0x80a4da…
10-30 15:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0x5fde41…
10-30 15:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	235	45¢	$106	0xda5d8a…
10-30 15:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	316	32¢	$102	0x0b2999…
10-30 15:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	551	5¢	$25	0x21652b…
10-10 03:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	237	26¢	$61	0x7083e2…
10-10 03:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	118	15¢	$18	0x8116b4…
10-10 03:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1,260	12¢	$148	0x94e73b…
10-10 03:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1,259	10¢	$129	0x729f18…
10-10 03:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	709	46¢	$326	0xd09003…
10-10 03:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	709	26¢	$184	0x62746e…
10-10 03:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1,262	6¢	$80	0xf780d6…
10-10 03:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	857	34¢	$292	0xe580cd…
10-10 03:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	857	21¢	$181	0x2db8bc…
10-10 02:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1,556	10¢	$150	0x4b4211…
10-10 02:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1,513	24¢	$369	0x71ab84…
10-10 02:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,513	16¢	$240	0x99e0cd…
10-10 02:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1,507	8¢	$123	0xf55e25…
10-10 02:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1,507	10¢	$150	0x007a4d…
10-10 02:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	529	17¢	$88	0x6406dd…
10-10 02:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	116	18¢	$21	0xf12c86…
10-10 02:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	805	26¢	$207	0xc74759…
10-10 02:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1,450	14¢	$209	0x6f6f7d…
10-10 02:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	785	30¢	$233	0x3e031e…
10-10 02:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	785	25¢	$196	0x3d90c7…
10-10 02:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	737	8¢	$61	0x195c4b…
10-10 02:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	432	65¢	$279	0x3097f5…
10-10 02:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	432	22¢	$95	0x6ccd23…
10-10 02:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	823	3¢	$22	0x80862f…
10-10 02:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc3312a…
10-10 02:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	546	27¢	$148	0x4597fb…
10-10 02:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	219	27¢	$59	0x9bcca1…
10-10 02:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	316	14¢	$45	0x185bea…
10-10 02:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	230	18¢	$42	0x15241c…
10-10 02:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x470fbd…
10-10 02:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1,971	2¢	$46	0x3bdfbf…
10-10 02:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	437	11¢	$50	0xadae39…
10-10 02:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	675	46¢	$310	0x269e94…
10-10 02:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	675	13¢	$88	0x39a910…
10-10 02:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	508	33¢	$170	0xcd9c7f…
10-10 02:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	455	50¢	$229	0x40a124…
10-10 02:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x39c3ff…
10-10 02:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	279	35¢	$98	0xc6e1ae…
10-10 02:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	279	21¢	$59	0x525fe0…
10-10 02:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	350	17¢	$59	0x402936…
10-10 02:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1,029	10¢	$100	0x71be8c…
10-10 02:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	197	56¢	$110	0xa8226f…
10-10 02:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	197	22¢	$43	0x3fcda6…
10-10 01:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	450	14¢	$63	0x4c409d…
10-10 01:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	246	47¢	$117	0x655153…
10-10 01:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	246	24¢	$59	0xec0454…
10-10 01:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	306	20¢	$60	0x2a8dac…
10-10 01:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1,094	9¢	$100	0x8c5d1e…
10-10 01:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	202	55¢	$111	0xa14fe9…
10-10 01:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	202	29¢	$59	0x29204a…
10-10 01:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	641	9¢	$58	0x3f8312…
10-10 01:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	127	3¢	$4	0x5d574d…
10-10 01:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	772	7¢	$55	0xb262cb…
10-10 01:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2,351	10¢	$236	0x0be9c1…
10-10 01:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1,070	25¢	$263	0xf32bd2…
10-10 01:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2,873	14¢	$395	0xaa0bb2…
10-10 01:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1,061	67¢	$709	0x2fe234…
10-10 01:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1,061	28¢	$295	0x7ebfc5…
10-10 00:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1,464	4¢	$58	0x6a72e6…
10-10 00:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x5e050b…
10-10 00:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	695	8¢	$58	0x73db6b…
10-10 00:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1,648	4¢	$58	0xd8a194…
10-10 00:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	906	6¢	$54	0x4ffd8e…
10-10 00:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	212	29¢	$61	0xcd61ad…
10-10 00:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	212	23¢	$49	0x0f603e…
10-10 00:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	157	34¢	$54	0xc30fee…
10-10 00:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	157	38¢	$60	0x33cfb1…
10-10 00:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x9ac3c4…
10-10 00:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	827	30¢	$244	0x8a7bcf…
10-10 00:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	104	31¢	$32	0x42f2bc…
10-10 00:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	996	12¢	$124	0x4a9f83…
10-10 00:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	526	77¢	$405	0x0e719f…
10-10 00:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0x3cd06e…
10-10 00:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	476	29¢	$138	0x1d094f…
10-10 00:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	476	18¢	$84	0x278d4d…
10-10 00:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	350	2¢	$7	0x2b7daf…
10-10 00:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	265	25¢	$67	0x4fda67…
10-10 00:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	904	20¢	$177	0xaeb90a…
10-10 00:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	647	9¢	$58	0xa561be…
10-10 00:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	257	22¢	$57	0x8037f6…