Reasonable-Jalapeño — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.0%

Resolved

Trades

238

lifetime

Volume

$1.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 07-01 17:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

68% 50% +$0

Sports

28% 55% +$8

Politics

3% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$87	77	77	+0	open	—	06-30 15:31
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	4	$82	56	56	+0	open	—	06-24 21:30
another gta vi trailer released by june 30	6	$67	67	67	+0	open	—	06-22 19:46
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$44	25	25	+0	open	—	04-12 18:07
will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	1	$40	56	0	+56	open	—	06-24 21:35
fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 2pt5	2	$39	22	22	+0	open	—	06-18 22:36
will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	4	$36	32	32	+0	open	—	06-30 15:39
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	2	$30	26	26	+0	open	—	06-17 04:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	2	$30	29	29	+0	open	—	06-17 00:10
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 team total away 0pt5	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	06-20 02:34
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 3pt5	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	06-14 18:45
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	06-22 20:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$18	21	21	+0	open	—	04-17 20:03
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	2	$18	13	13	+0	open	—	04-12 15:56
fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 goals erling haaland gte1	3	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	06-23 01:16
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	06-16 21:16
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5	3	$14	9	9	+0	Under	+$4	05-07 00:58
lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game handicap away 2pt5	3	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	07-01 10:26
world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	2	$14	11	11	+0	open	—	06-28 05:30
fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 btts	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	06-24 00:55
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-16 05:47
will rafael leo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	06-23 19:47
fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 total 1pt5	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	06-24 00:55
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	4	$11	32	32	+0	open	—	04-25 11:01
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 2pt5	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	06-14 18:16
nba phx okc 2026 04 19 points shai gilgeous alexander 30pt5	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-19 07:59
fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 corners total 9pt5	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	06-18 22:05
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 goals kylian mbappe gte3	2	$9	20	20	+0	open	—	06-23 00:30
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	2	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	05-12 18:07
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	2	$9	14	14	+0	open	—	06-24 23:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 17:32:41	mlb tb kc 2026 07 01	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x91971b…
07-01 17:22:19	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 extra time	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x52e126…
07-01 17:20:22	wta krejcik andreev 2026 07 01 set handicap away 1pt5	Krejcikova	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x6de5be…
07-01 10:30:28	wta krejcik andreev 2026 07 01 set handicap away 1pt5	Krejcikova	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x116d88…
07-01 10:26:37	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game handicap away 2pt5	T1	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf13fb5…
07-01 02:44:44	btc updown 5m 1782873900	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xf1fba2…
07-01 02:44:23	btc updown 5m 1782873600	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1cf002…
07-01 02:41:34	btc updown 5m 1782873600	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xc13098…
06-30 20:02:47	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 shots viktor gyokeres gte2	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xa06375…
06-30 18:51:28	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4a7c21…
06-30 16:14:31	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xf2fb64…
06-30 15:43:19	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x91e291…
06-30 15:40:20	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game handicap away 2pt5	T1	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x1e360c…
06-30 15:39:34	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	SELL	32	63¢	$20	0x6ac37f…
06-30 15:38:49	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game handicap away 2pt5	T1	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf735a7…
06-30 15:31:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x042b17…
06-29 19:27:19	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2d847b…
06-29 16:30:59	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb0c6d2…
06-28 10:08:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x0bf787…
06-28 05:30:34	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x74c12b…
06-26 00:06:25	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x6fd9c5…
06-26 00:06:07	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 first half total 0pt5	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfa6b9d…
06-25 23:22:31	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x94858d…
06-25 16:09:49	dota2 vp vsn2 2026 06 25	Virtus.pro	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x3a15f5…
06-25 10:22:17	atp darderi borges 2026 06 25 set handicap away 1pt5	Borges	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x043c54…
06-24 23:25:07	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0xd35dac…
06-24 23:08:20	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x017533…
06-24 21:35:01	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0x54cb15…
06-24 21:30:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	19	70¢	$13	0x4a614c…
06-24 21:30:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	70	53¢	$37	0x1f02fb…
06-24 06:28:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0xa16e26…
06-24 03:19:38	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 shots cedric bakambu gte2	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xd5809d…
06-24 02:52:53	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 first half total 0pt5	Under	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xadb815…
06-24 02:09:32	mlb bal laa 2026 06 23	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	9	28¢	$2	0x3394fd…
06-24 02:06:56	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe6dfa3…
06-24 01:49:50	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 shots cedric bakambu gte2	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa63c03…
06-24 00:55:50	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 total 1pt5	Under	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2f6748…
06-24 00:55:40	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 btts	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x485289…
06-23 23:20:37	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 btts	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x8a2b6a…
06-23 23:20:04	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x55848c…
06-23 22:00:58	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 1pt5	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7adc0b…
06-23 21:45:56	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 0pt5	Under	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x1880f7…
06-23 21:43:13	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x36bcae…
06-23 21:40:58	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x10d2bf…
06-23 20:35:32	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xebf097…
06-23 20:34:29	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0xd2e708…
06-23 20:33:34	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 team total home 2pt5	Over	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x6b219b…
06-23 20:13:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x5903ba…
06-23 20:02:11	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7b4492…
06-23 19:59:23	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf48566…
06-23 19:47:11	will rafael leo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x29cb6a…
06-23 18:03:46	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 assists bruno fernandes gte1	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7bcffc…
06-23 15:11:07	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 assists bruno fernandes gte1	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x4b5977…
06-23 15:08:34	mlb bal laa 2026 06 23	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x3177d7…
06-23 15:06:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	37	76¢	$28	0x51a8ac…
06-23 04:53:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	37	71¢	$26	0x8e04ff…
06-23 01:16:16	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe7f7be…
06-23 01:16:11	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 corners second half total 4pt5	Over	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xe4492b…
06-23 00:39:47	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0d16fe…
06-23 00:37:20	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 corners second half total 4pt5	Over	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x80a4e2…
06-23 00:30:13	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 goals kylian mbappe gte3	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x93a8a7…
06-23 00:16:46	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa4e81b…
06-22 20:54:35	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xb9b65a…
06-22 20:54:17	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 goals kylian mbappe gte3	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x5b9f5a…
06-22 20:52:16	Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0xd61b54…
06-22 19:47:16	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x800eea…
06-22 19:46:41	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x362865…
06-22 19:46:05	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	Yes	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0xf787ba…
06-22 05:13:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x734c9b…
06-22 02:33:01	Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x99ed10…
06-22 00:25:46	starmer out by june 23 2026	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xfa6a9e…
06-21 20:34:46	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x296c77…
06-20 21:21:52	ufc all2 mit2 2026 06 20	Allan Nascimento	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x3088ff…
06-20 21:21:07	mlb bal lad 2026 06 20 k yoshinobu yamamoto 6pt5	Over	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x551566…
06-20 05:00:55	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 goals kenan yldz gte1	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0xedac69…
06-20 02:34:50	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 team total away 0pt5	Under	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x360b69…
06-20 01:50:11	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 shots hakan calhanoglu gte3	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x2d78a1…
06-20 01:40:02	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 goals kenan yldz gte1	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xc37fc2…
06-20 01:11:08	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x524280…
06-19 19:11:35	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x86ec48…
06-18 23:58:52	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x040010…
06-18 23:18:26	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 team total away 0pt5	Under	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xb40948…
06-18 23:18:23	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 corners team away 2pt5	Under	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0x7da271…
06-18 22:36:19	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 2pt5	Canada	SELL	22	86¢	$19	0xe37894…
06-18 22:32:46	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 2pt5	Canada	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x92b6c1…
06-18 22:23:58	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 corners team away 2pt5	Under	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7d01b5…
06-18 22:20:43	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xce90bb…
06-18 22:16:08	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	No	SELL	53	21¢	$11	0x0dd85e…
06-18 22:05:10	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 corners total 9pt5	Over	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0xa03b76…
06-18 21:45:20	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x57fa71…
06-18 04:56:47	mlb min tex 2026 06 18	Minnesota Twins	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xd92a1f…
06-18 03:41:32	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 team total away 1pt5	Over	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xff1fbb…
06-17 22:49:35	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0x05b93e…
06-17 13:33:20	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x0aff64…
06-17 04:36:10	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	No	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x033c51…
06-17 04:15:52	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x81e467…
06-17 04:09:56	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	SELL	26	59¢	$15	0x4b3c3a…
06-17 03:55:28	will rafael leo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb829c4…
06-17 02:44:13	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 goals julian alvarez gte1	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0xe9e3fb…
06-17 00:39:29	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 goals julian alvarez gte1	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8392b8…