Piercing-Validate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 06-12 23:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

81% 25% +$23

Sports

8% 0% $-56

Crypto

6% — —

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx opens up or down on april 8 2026	2	$352	199	199	+0	open	—	04-08 14:33
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	2	$198	159	159	+0	open	—	04-29 14:50
msft up or down on march 3 2026	2	$186	97	97	+0	open	—	03-03 21:16
crwd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 03 2026 1pt1	2	$181	97	97	+0	open	—	03-03 17:53
tgt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 03 2026 2pt16	2	$179	98	98	+0	open	—	03-03 13:48
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$169	242	0	+242	open	—	04-16 20:19
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar	2	$135	151	0	+151	open	—	04-29 14:50
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud	3	$131	112	112	+0	open	—	04-28 15:37
spx up or down on march 2 2026	3	$126	84	84	+0	open	—	03-02 20:59
spx up or down on april 7 2026	3	$120	93	93	+0	open	—	04-07 20:16
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $230 in May?	2	$115	154	154	+0	open	—	05-18 19:49
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	1	$100	156	0	+156	open	—	04-28 19:14
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$100	252	0	+252	Yes	+$152	05-07 06:55
cpb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 04 2026 0pt57	2	$90	55	55	+0	open	—	03-05 20:24
asan quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 02 2026 0pt07	3	$88	51	51	+0	open	—	03-02 20:47
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	2	$88	63	63	+0	open	—	06-11 01:56
cost quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 05 2026 4pt54	2	$85	43	43	+0	open	—	03-05 21:26
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be greater than 65m	2	$79	47	47	+0	open	—	03-02 08:22
orcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 09 2026 1pt71	3	$73	43	43	+0	open	—	03-10 20:43
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli	2	$60	206	0	+206	open	—	04-28 20:33
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Shelton	1	$59	107	0	+107	Nikoloz Basilashvili	$-59	05-09 16:36
mlb lad pit 2026 06 09 total 9pt5	1	$58	92	0	+92	open	—	06-09 21:00
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	2	$51	137	0	+137	Cavaliers	$-51	05-12 02:14
fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 first half total 1pt5	1	$50	66	0	+66	open	—	06-12 23:42
fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 first half total 1pt5	1	$50	65	0	+65	open	—	06-11 19:08
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	2	$50	41	41	+0	open	—	03-12 04:00
mlb nyy cle 2026 06 09	1	$49	58	0	+58	open	—	06-10 01:30
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	1	$49	77	0	+77	open	—	06-12 20:20
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$48	79	0	+79	open	—	06-09 00:59
spx opens up or down on march 4 2026	1	$48	70	0	+70	open	—	03-03 23:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 01:49:42	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0xb6bb67…
06-12 23:42:16	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x01dd32…
06-12 20:20:22	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	77	64¢	$49	0xe96d8c…
06-12 02:04:42	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x85a7f0…
06-11 20:19:25	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	93	38¢	$36	0xb2d127…
06-11 19:08:24	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x2f5170…
06-11 01:56:01	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	SELL	63	93¢	$59	0xe7f6d0…
06-10 22:53:19	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	63	46¢	$29	0xf72d1f…
06-10 01:30:43	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 09	New York Yankees	BUY	58	85¢	$49	0x193b65…
06-09 21:00:57	mlb lad pit 2026 06 09 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	92	63¢	$58	0xce0dba…
06-09 04:08:30	wwcquefa nor aus 2026 06 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	58	50¢	$30	0x570517…
06-09 00:59:16	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	79	61¢	$48	0x228b18…
05-18 19:50:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	81	18¢	$15	0x512726…
05-18 19:49:32	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $230 in May?	Yes	SELL	154	10¢	$15	0x6aedd9…
05-12 05:58:53	Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Musetti (+1.5)	Musetti	BUY	67	61¢	$41	0xfab9b1…
05-12 04:26:03	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xca8def…
05-12 02:14:49	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xbf8526…
05-12 01:09:50	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x3cb8c6…
05-11 23:25:43	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $230 in May?	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x60a446…
05-09 16:36:02	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	107	55¢	$59	0xdb0733…
05-08 17:54:41	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xe32fc9…
05-08 17:50:39	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xd32c16…
05-07 06:55:01	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x3ccabe…
05-07 06:24:43	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0xb17003…
05-04 03:14:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	84	12¢	$10	0x3730f1…
04-29 14:50:44	Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar	Jannik Sinner	BUY	96	94¢	$90	0x720448…
04-29 14:50:26	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	SELL	159	62¢	$98	0xdc5c44…
04-29 14:35:04	Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar	Jannik Sinner	BUY	55	82¢	$45	0x020b81…
04-29 14:33:14	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x077bed…
04-28 20:33:40	Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x9ac6f6…
04-28 19:45:00	Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x9fc560…
04-28 19:14:48	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x0f3562…
04-28 15:37:08	Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	SELL	112	99¢	$111	0xb60dcb…
04-28 15:08:10	Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xc384d7…
04-28 15:05:44	Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xcbf583…
04-16 20:19:18	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	242	70¢	$169	0x52b357…
04-08 16:19:51	atp cobolli blockx 2026 04 08 first set winner Cobolli vs Blockx	Cobolli	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x1b45cf…
04-08 14:34:39	spx up or down on april 8 2026	Down	BUY	251	2¢	$5	0xc06be9…
04-08 14:33:27	spx opens up or down on april 8 2026	Up	SELL	199	100¢	$199	0xf100c5…
04-07 22:05:21	spx opens up or down on april 8 2026	Up	BUY	199	77¢	$153	0x0d877d…
04-07 20:16:45	spx up or down on april 7 2026	Up	SELL	93	100¢	$92	0xe56ca2…
04-07 19:55:13	spx up or down on april 7 2026	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x077f5c…
04-07 17:57:45	spx up or down on april 7 2026	Up	BUY	62	29¢	$18	0x155fbe…
03-12 04:01:05	bbw quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 12 2026 1pt27	Yes	BUY	33	89¢	$30	0x288dc5…
03-12 04:00:07	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	Yes	SELL	41	72¢	$30	0x80c6a5…
03-11 22:08:27	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	Yes	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0x6a7dcd…
03-11 18:57:43	spx up or down on march 11 2026	Up	BUY	87	27¢	$23	0xa559a9…
03-11 15:54:43	spx up or down on march 11 2026	Up	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x997a5a…
03-10 20:45:41	cxm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 11 2026 0pt1	Yes	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x02f468…
03-10 20:43:57	orcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 09 2026 1pt71	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xaf2c15…
03-10 19:38:07	spx up or down on march 10 2026	Up	BUY	30	25¢	$7	0x3d8c99…
03-10 19:36:29	orcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 09 2026 1pt71	Yes	SELL	11	69¢	$7	0x793989…
03-10 18:27:31	orcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 09 2026 1pt71	Yes	BUY	43	79¢	$34	0x79ce88…
03-09 22:41:35	unfi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 10 2026 0pt51	Yes	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0x87bd67…
03-06 16:03:53	spx up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x6b2ac1…
03-05 23:22:31	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xc111a1…
03-05 21:26:39	cost quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 05 2026 4pt54	Yes	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x8fb28e…
03-05 20:26:25	cost quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 05 2026 4pt54	Yes	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0xee4506…
03-05 20:24:25	cpb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 04 2026 0pt57	Yes	SELL	55	76¢	$41	0xe3913d…
03-04 13:58:53	cpb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 04 2026 0pt57	Yes	BUY	55	89¢	$49	0x968a9c…
03-03 23:52:05	spx opens up or down on march 4 2026	Down	BUY	70	69¢	$48	0xf2e4e4…
03-03 21:16:31	msft up or down on march 3 2026	Up	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x212947…
03-03 17:55:39	msft up or down on march 3 2026	Up	BUY	97	92¢	$89	0x014c27…
03-03 17:53:13	crwd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 03 2026 1pt1	Yes	SELL	97	92¢	$89	0x798267…
03-03 17:47:45	crwd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 03 2026 1pt1	Yes	BUY	97	95¢	$92	0x7a4036…
03-03 17:45:29	spx up or down on march 3 2026	Up	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xddf40e…
03-03 13:55:29	spx up or down on march 3 2026	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x683fec…
03-03 13:48:27	tgt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 03 2026 2pt16	Yes	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xc696e5…
03-02 21:05:05	tgt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 03 2026 2pt16	Yes	BUY	98	83¢	$81	0xc636c1…
03-02 20:59:23	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Up	SELL	84	97¢	$81	0x4ea646…
03-02 20:47:25	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Up	BUY	52	65¢	$34	0xea461f…
03-02 20:47:03	asan quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 02 2026 0pt07	Yes	SELL	39	88¢	$34	0x4160ae…
03-02 15:46:47	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Up	BUY	31	34¢	$11	0x0a19e8…
03-02 15:46:17	asan quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 02 2026 0pt07	Yes	SELL	13	83¢	$11	0x14b7ac…
03-02 08:22:41	asan quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 02 2026 0pt07	Yes	BUY	51	84¢	$43	0xa3b9b1…
03-02 08:22:01	will scream 7 opening weekend box office be greater than 65m	No	SELL	47	92¢	$43	0x69165a…
02-23 08:06:48	will scream 7 opening weekend box office be greater than 65m	No	BUY	47	76¢	$36	0xf5d5b5…