Piercing-Validate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$661

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

125

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$7.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 09-18 02:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

85% 44% -$513

Sports

7% 25% -$197

Politics

5% 100% +$61

Crypto

3% 0% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$399	242	242	+0	Yes	+$61	04-28 15:03
spx opens up or down on april 8 2026	2	$352	199	199	+0	Up	+$46	04-08 14:33
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 corners total 10pt5	2	$325	210	210	+0	Over	+$91	07-01 03:45
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 corners total 9pt5	3	$240	165	165	+0	Over	+$90	07-09 21:58
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	2	$198	159	159	+0	Yes	-$2	04-29 14:50
msft up or down on march 3 2026	2	$186	97	97	+0	Up	+$8	03-03 21:16
crwd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 03 2026 1pt1	2	$181	97	97	+0	Yes	-$3	03-03 17:53
tgt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 03 2026 2pt16	2	$179	98	98	+0	Yes	+$17	03-03 13:48
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	2	$158	269	0	+269	Paraguay	-$158	06-29 23:15
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team total away 2pt5	2	$152	102	102	+0	Over	+$52	07-06 02:25
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar	2	$135	151	0	+151	Jannik Sinner	+$16	04-29 14:50
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud	3	$131	112	112	+0	Casper Ruud	+$91	04-28 15:37
spx up or down on march 2 2026	3	$126	84	84	+0	Up	+$37	03-02 20:59
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$125	698	0	+698	Yes	-$125	09-16 17:39
spx up or down on april 7 2026	3	$120	93	93	+0	Up	+$64	04-07 20:16
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $230 in May?	2	$115	154	154	+0	No	-$85	05-18 19:49
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$100	252	0	+252	Yes	+$152	05-07 06:55
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	1	$100	156	0	+156	Over	-$100	04-28 19:14
atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12 set handicap home 1pt5	2	$97	201	1	+200	Sinner	-$96	07-12 18:25
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 corners total 8pt5	2	$92	59	59	+0	Over	+$26	07-09 21:58
cpb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 04 2026 0pt57	2	$90	55	55	+0	No	-$7	03-05 20:24
fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 corners team home 6pt5	2	$88	150	0	+150	Under	-$88	06-15 18:24
asan quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 02 2026 0pt07	3	$88	51	51	+0	Yes	+$1	03-02 20:47
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	2	$88	63	63	+0	Knicks	+$30	06-11 01:56
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners total 6pt5	2	$87	62	62	+0	Over	+$37	07-07 17:51
cost quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 05 2026 4pt54	2	$85	43	43	+0	Yes	+$2	03-05 21:26
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	2	$82	58	58	+0	Yes	+$23	06-15 02:32
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 corners total 12pt5	1	$80	126	0	+126	Over	+$46	07-06 02:54
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be greater than 65m	2	$79	47	47	+0	No	+$7	03-02 08:22
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 corners total 7pt5	2	$78	50	50	+0	Over	+$20	06-15 17:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 02:41:25	nfl det buf 2026 09 18 2plus td josh allen	Yes	SELL	104	1¢	$1	0x3b93a8…
09-17 23:40:18	nfl det buf 2026 09 18 2plus td josh allen	Yes	BUY	104	18¢	$19	0x956128…
09-16 17:39:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	198	15¢	$30	0x14a600…
09-11 18:18:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	500	19¢	$95	0x4c0c48…
07-12 18:25:37	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12 set handicap home 1pt5	Zverev	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x68715a…
07-12 17:40:01	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12 set handicap home 1pt5	Zverev	BUY	201	48¢	$96	0xd51d6a…
07-12 00:35:17	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11 totals 2pt5	Over	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x3802a3…
07-12 00:28:37	mlb ari lad 2026 07 11 spread home 1pt5	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xf29953…
07-11 23:39:40	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	64	6¢	$4	0xdf5b7c…
07-11 23:07:29	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xd66bb9…
07-11 22:16:55	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	32	44¢	$14	0x4bd9b1…
07-10 20:43:35	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xf3d8d1…
07-10 20:41:53	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	64	28¢	$18	0x95de6d…
07-09 21:58:43	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 corners total 9pt5	Over	SELL	165	100¢	$165	0xf8fd45…
07-09 21:58:32	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 corners total 8pt5	Over	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xe502ba…
07-09 21:49:17	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x18fbbe…
07-09 21:14:41	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	59	56¢	$33	0xbd58cf…
07-09 21:09:53	France vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x0ce075…
07-09 18:51:32	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	89	22¢	$20	0x1497a4…
07-09 18:50:22	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x0473d3…
07-09 18:48:56	France vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xfb248c…
07-09 18:45:08	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 corners total 11pt5	Over	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xbf0d0e…
07-09 17:02:10	mlb atl pit 2026 07 09 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xe44da0…
07-07 22:50:32	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5ce63d…
07-07 22:38:35	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xb6c8ef…
07-07 22:32:19	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xd7540f…
07-07 17:59:49	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x1713c3…
07-07 17:51:44	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners total 6pt5	Over	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x0e5786…
07-07 17:28:53	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x6357b5…
07-06 19:45:02	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 corners first half total 5pt5	Over	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xb5c023…
07-06 02:54:19	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	126	63¢	$80	0xd478d4…
07-06 02:40:40	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x247c29…
07-06 02:25:55	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team total away 2pt5	Over	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x82f509…
07-06 01:41:04	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x98e577…
07-06 01:04:52	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	51	45¢	$23	0x49d30f…
07-04 22:02:07	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 corners second half total 5pt5	Over	BUY	76	61¢	$46	0x8e119b…
07-04 22:00:46	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 corners total 8pt5	Over	SELL	48	95¢	$46	0x0c0cf3…
07-04 21:02:44	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x257c6b…
07-04 00:59:56	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 corners total 6pt5	Over	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xc0b9e5…
07-03 23:50:35	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xd4ce1f…
07-03 23:26:31	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xf3d165…
07-03 21:56:44	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 corners first half total 4pt5	Over	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xf82b97…
07-03 16:28:59	Australia vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xa71cb9…
07-03 01:03:13	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x319ebe…
07-02 22:12:10	mlb cws cle 2026 07 02 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	66	50¢	$33	0x57d9bf…
07-02 22:02:08	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xaa450c…
07-02 22:01:38	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0xba6b1a…
07-02 19:08:16	Spain vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	45	42¢	$19	0xc572ec…
07-01 22:40:22	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x0f6420…
07-01 22:12:59	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x8ee4a9…
07-01 03:45:08	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 corners total 10pt5	Over	SELL	210	99¢	$208	0x7e7308…
07-01 02:51:10	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	210	56¢	$117	0x1f303c…
06-30 22:15:31	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners team away 2pt5	Over	BUY	33	53¢	$17	0xa10062…
06-30 22:03:14	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners first half total 5pt5	Over	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x644940…
06-30 20:35:53	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners first half total 5pt5	Over	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x427916…
06-30 18:05:28	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 corners second half total 5pt5	Over	BUY	113	61¢	$69	0x4d176d…
06-30 17:16:19	Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x5a3b17…
06-29 23:15:26	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	166	59¢	$98	0x755fea…
06-29 23:13:47	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	103	58¢	$60	0x6a93d7…
06-29 18:30:02	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x8b4e8a…
06-29 17:08:29	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	33	40¢	$13	0x86dc21…
06-28 22:54:14	mlb nyy bos 2026 06 28 f5 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	33	58¢	$19	0x0e1d30…
06-28 10:02:49	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	80	60¢	$48	0xfd5630…
06-28 03:15:53	Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0xa50239…
06-28 03:07:08	Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x272303…
06-28 02:10:22	Algeria vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xda3feb…
06-27 21:02:11	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 goals harry kane gte2	Yes	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x78de9e…
06-25 23:54:25	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0x0f90e1…
06-25 22:46:16	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x8cb9b8…
06-25 20:50:26	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 first half team total away 1pt5	Under	SELL	39	99¢	$38	0x87bba2…
06-25 20:18:53	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xa4f71e…
06-25 20:12:16	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 first half team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0x6d0e31…
06-24 00:51:28	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 corners total 8pt5	Over	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xfed736…
06-24 00:33:26	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xdefdc0…
06-23 20:50:01	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 first half total 1pt5	Under	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xb69aab…
06-23 20:06:52	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	36	67¢	$24	0x08018c…
06-21 04:42:34	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0x598ad7…
06-21 04:03:11	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	44	66¢	$29	0x87ee65…
06-19 02:16:20	Mexico to score first vs. Czechia?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9a804f…
06-19 01:55:52	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x8b1fbe…
06-19 01:53:43	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 first half total 0pt5	Under	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x1059e6…
06-19 01:26:05	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xd7b64b…
06-18 15:14:20	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	53	53¢	$28	0xaa43d7…
06-17 19:58:53	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	28	60¢	$17	0x8c841b…
06-17 19:57:56	Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	17,996	0¢	$18	0x2eda9c…
06-17 19:29:04	spy up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	585	1¢	$6	0x179fba…
06-17 19:28:25	Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5,999	0¢	$6	0xdefcc2…
06-16 22:09:43	Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	23,995	0¢	$48	0x04039d…
06-16 21:03:11	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	125	12¢	$15	0x2b3afc…
06-16 18:29:10	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	174	14¢	$24	0x1f4a3b…
06-16 00:19:16	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	91	54¢	$49	0x7278bd…
06-15 20:47:55	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	83	47¢	$39	0x8528fe…
06-15 18:24:24	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 corners team home 6pt5	Over	BUY	53	53¢	$28	0x8a7784…
06-15 18:22:34	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 corners team home 6pt5	Over	BUY	97	62¢	$60	0xe2c5c1…
06-15 17:57:24	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 corners total 10pt5	Over	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x14aaf4…
06-15 17:44:01	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x99252b…
06-15 17:42:40	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 corners total 7pt5	Over	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xe4acef…
06-15 16:42:28	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0xef7c7f…
06-15 05:06:16	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe5a748…
06-15 02:34:10	Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	81	64¢	$52	0x5b43ad…