Piercing-Validate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.0%

Resolved

Trades

114

lifetime

Volume

$4.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 07-03 23:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

86% 25% +$23

Sports

7% 0% $-56

Crypto

4% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx opens up or down on april 8 2026	2	$352	199	199	+0	open	—	04-08 14:33
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 corners total 10pt5	2	$325	210	210	+0	open	—	07-01 03:45
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	2	$198	159	159	+0	open	—	04-29 14:50
msft up or down on march 3 2026	2	$186	97	97	+0	open	—	03-03 21:16
crwd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 03 2026 1pt1	2	$181	97	97	+0	open	—	03-03 17:53
tgt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 03 2026 2pt16	2	$179	98	98	+0	open	—	03-03 13:48
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$169	242	0	+242	open	—	04-16 20:19
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	2	$158	269	0	+269	open	—	06-29 23:15
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar	2	$135	151	0	+151	open	—	04-29 14:50
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud	3	$131	112	112	+0	open	—	04-28 15:37
spx up or down on march 2 2026	3	$126	84	84	+0	open	—	03-02 20:59
spx up or down on april 7 2026	3	$120	93	93	+0	open	—	04-07 20:16
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $230 in May?	2	$115	154	154	+0	open	—	05-18 19:49
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$100	252	0	+252	Yes	+$152	05-07 06:55
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	1	$100	156	0	+156	open	—	04-28 19:14
cpb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 04 2026 0pt57	2	$90	55	55	+0	open	—	03-05 20:24
fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 corners team home 6pt5	2	$88	150	0	+150	open	—	06-15 18:24
asan quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 02 2026 0pt07	3	$88	51	51	+0	open	—	03-02 20:47
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	2	$88	63	63	+0	open	—	06-11 01:56
cost quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 05 2026 4pt54	2	$85	43	43	+0	open	—	03-05 21:26
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be greater than 65m	2	$79	47	47	+0	open	—	03-02 08:22
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 corners total 7pt5	2	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	06-15 17:42
orcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 09 2026 1pt71	3	$73	43	43	+0	open	—	03-10 20:43
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners first half total 5pt5	2	$71	51	51	+0	open	—	06-30 22:03
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 corners total 10pt5	2	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	06-15 17:57
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 corners second half total 5pt5	1	$69	113	0	+113	open	—	06-30 18:05
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 corners total 6pt5	2	$68	48	48	+0	open	—	07-04 00:59
fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 corners total 8pt5	2	$62	42	42	+0	open	—	06-24 00:51
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli	2	$60	206	0	+206	open	—	04-28 20:33
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 first half total 1pt5	2	$60	36	36	+0	open	—	06-23 20:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 00:59:56	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 corners total 6pt5	Over	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xc0b9e5…
07-03 23:26:31	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xf3d165…
07-03 21:56:44	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 corners first half total 4pt5	Over	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xf82b97…
07-03 01:03:13	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x319ebe…
07-02 22:12:10	mlb cws cle 2026 07 02 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	66	50¢	$33	0x57d9bf…
07-02 22:01:38	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0xba6b1a…
07-01 22:40:22	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x0f6420…
07-01 22:12:59	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x8ee4a9…
07-01 03:45:08	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 corners total 10pt5	Over	SELL	210	99¢	$208	0x7e7308…
07-01 02:51:10	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	210	56¢	$117	0x1f303c…
06-30 22:15:31	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners team away 2pt5	Over	BUY	33	53¢	$17	0xa10062…
06-30 22:03:14	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners first half total 5pt5	Over	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x644940…
06-30 20:35:53	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners first half total 5pt5	Over	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x427916…
06-30 18:05:28	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 corners second half total 5pt5	Over	BUY	113	61¢	$69	0x4d176d…
06-29 23:15:26	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	166	59¢	$98	0x755fea…
06-29 23:13:47	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	103	58¢	$60	0x6a93d7…
06-29 17:08:29	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	33	40¢	$13	0x86dc21…
06-28 22:54:14	mlb nyy bos 2026 06 28 f5 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	33	58¢	$19	0x0e1d30…
06-27 21:02:11	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 goals harry kane gte2	Yes	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x78de9e…
06-25 23:54:25	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0x0f90e1…
06-25 22:46:16	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x8cb9b8…
06-25 20:50:26	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 first half team total away 1pt5	Under	SELL	39	99¢	$38	0x87bba2…
06-25 20:12:16	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 first half team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0x6d0e31…
06-24 00:51:28	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 corners total 8pt5	Over	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xfed736…
06-24 00:33:26	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xdefdc0…
06-23 20:50:01	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 first half total 1pt5	Under	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xb69aab…
06-23 20:06:52	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	36	67¢	$24	0x08018c…
06-19 01:53:43	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 first half total 0pt5	Under	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x1059e6…
06-19 01:26:05	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xd7b64b…
06-17 19:29:04	spy up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	585	1¢	$6	0x179fba…
06-15 20:47:55	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	83	47¢	$39	0x8528fe…
06-15 18:24:24	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 corners team home 6pt5	Over	BUY	53	53¢	$28	0x8a7784…
06-15 18:22:34	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 corners team home 6pt5	Over	BUY	97	62¢	$60	0xe2c5c1…
06-15 17:57:24	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 corners total 10pt5	Over	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x14aaf4…
06-15 17:44:01	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x99252b…
06-15 17:42:40	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 corners total 7pt5	Over	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xe4acef…
06-15 16:42:28	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0xef7c7f…
06-15 05:06:16	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe5a748…
06-13 01:49:42	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0xb6bb67…
06-12 23:42:16	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x01dd32…
06-12 20:20:22	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	77	64¢	$49	0xe96d8c…
06-12 02:04:42	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x85a7f0…
06-11 20:19:25	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	93	38¢	$36	0xb2d127…
06-11 19:08:24	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x2f5170…
06-11 01:56:01	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	SELL	63	93¢	$59	0xe7f6d0…
06-10 22:53:19	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	63	46¢	$29	0xf72d1f…
06-10 01:30:43	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 09	New York Yankees	BUY	58	85¢	$49	0x193b65…
06-09 21:00:57	mlb lad pit 2026 06 09 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	92	63¢	$58	0xce0dba…
06-09 04:08:30	wwcquefa nor aus 2026 06 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	58	50¢	$30	0x570517…
06-09 00:59:16	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	79	61¢	$48	0x228b18…
05-18 19:50:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	81	18¢	$15	0x512726…
05-18 19:49:32	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $230 in May?	Yes	SELL	154	10¢	$15	0x6aedd9…
05-12 05:58:53	Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Musetti (+1.5)	Musetti	BUY	67	61¢	$41	0xfab9b1…
05-12 04:26:03	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xca8def…
05-12 02:14:49	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xbf8526…
05-12 01:09:50	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x3cb8c6…
05-11 23:25:43	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $230 in May?	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x60a446…
05-09 16:36:02	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	107	55¢	$59	0xdb0733…
05-08 17:54:41	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xe32fc9…
05-08 17:50:39	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xd32c16…
05-07 06:55:01	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x3ccabe…
05-07 06:24:43	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0xb17003…
05-04 03:14:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	84	12¢	$10	0x3730f1…
04-29 14:50:44	Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar	Jannik Sinner	BUY	96	94¢	$90	0x720448…
04-29 14:50:26	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	SELL	159	62¢	$98	0xdc5c44…
04-29 14:35:04	Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar	Jannik Sinner	BUY	55	82¢	$45	0x020b81…
04-29 14:33:14	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x077bed…
04-28 20:33:40	Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x9ac6f6…
04-28 19:45:00	Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x9fc560…
04-28 19:14:48	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x0f3562…
04-28 15:37:08	Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	SELL	112	99¢	$111	0xb60dcb…
04-28 15:08:10	Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xc384d7…
04-28 15:05:44	Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xcbf583…
04-16 20:19:18	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	242	70¢	$169	0x52b357…
04-08 16:19:51	atp cobolli blockx 2026 04 08 first set winner Cobolli vs Blockx	Cobolli	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x1b45cf…
04-08 14:34:39	spx up or down on april 8 2026	Down	BUY	251	2¢	$5	0xc06be9…
04-08 14:33:27	spx opens up or down on april 8 2026	Up	SELL	199	100¢	$199	0xf100c5…
04-07 22:05:21	spx opens up or down on april 8 2026	Up	BUY	199	77¢	$153	0x0d877d…
04-07 20:16:45	spx up or down on april 7 2026	Up	SELL	93	100¢	$92	0xe56ca2…
04-07 19:55:13	spx up or down on april 7 2026	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x077f5c…
04-07 17:57:45	spx up or down on april 7 2026	Up	BUY	62	29¢	$18	0x155fbe…
03-12 04:01:05	bbw quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 12 2026 1pt27	Yes	BUY	33	89¢	$30	0x288dc5…
03-12 04:00:07	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	Yes	SELL	41	72¢	$30	0x80c6a5…
03-11 22:08:27	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	Yes	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0x6a7dcd…
03-11 18:57:43	spx up or down on march 11 2026	Up	BUY	87	27¢	$23	0xa559a9…
03-11 15:54:43	spx up or down on march 11 2026	Up	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x997a5a…
03-10 20:45:41	cxm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 11 2026 0pt1	Yes	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x02f468…
03-10 20:43:57	orcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 09 2026 1pt71	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xaf2c15…
03-10 19:38:07	spx up or down on march 10 2026	Up	BUY	30	25¢	$7	0x3d8c99…
03-10 19:36:29	orcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 09 2026 1pt71	Yes	SELL	11	69¢	$7	0x793989…
03-10 18:27:31	orcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 09 2026 1pt71	Yes	BUY	43	79¢	$34	0x79ce88…
03-09 22:41:35	unfi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 10 2026 0pt51	Yes	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0x87bd67…
03-06 16:03:53	spx up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x6b2ac1…
03-05 23:22:31	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xc111a1…
03-05 21:26:39	cost quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 05 2026 4pt54	Yes	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x8fb28e…
03-05 20:26:25	cost quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 05 2026 4pt54	Yes	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0xee4506…
03-05 20:24:25	cpb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 04 2026 0pt57	Yes	SELL	55	76¢	$41	0xe3913d…
03-04 13:58:53	cpb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 04 2026 0pt57	Yes	BUY	55	89¢	$49	0x968a9c…
03-03 23:52:05	spx opens up or down on march 4 2026	Down	BUY	70	69¢	$48	0xf2e4e4…
03-03 21:16:31	msft up or down on march 3 2026	Up	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x212947…