Ironclad-Ladder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,295

lifetime

Volume

$147.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$114

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 08-11 08:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

53% 14% $-37

Politics

25% 0% —

Sports

17% 25% $-12

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	33	$6.8K	15,482	9,937	+5,545	open	—	05-25 14:39
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	50	$5.8K	5,672	4,956	+717	open	—	06-12 10:22
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	42	$4.8K	4,381	4,381	+0	open	—	06-12 14:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	17	$4.5K	3,265	3,854	-590	open	—	06-12 11:18
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	5	$3.9K	3,151	3,151	+0	BetBoom Team	+$3	05-13 19:36
nba nyk atl 2026 04 23 total 216pt5	2	$3.5K	3,685	3,685	+0	open	—	04-23 15:53
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	12	$3.3K	3,538	3,538	+0	open	—	04-30 10:07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	34	$3.1K	3,059	3,059	+0	open	—	06-20 08:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$2.5K	2,062	2,062	+0	open	—	04-28 13:39
Fed rate hike in 2026?	17	$2.4K	2,651	2,651	+0	open	—	08-10 15:48
cs2 tyloo lvg 2026 06 05	2	$2.1K	1,676	1,676	+0	open	—	06-05 11:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	24	$2.0K	2,014	1,920	+94	open	—	06-19 07:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	15	$2.0K	2,748	2,748	+0	open	—	05-30 04:19
lol mkoi kc 2026 06 06	7	$1.9K	1,610	1,610	+0	open	—	06-06 14:14
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	2	$1.8K	2,561	2,561	+0	Sinners	+$0	05-12 20:00
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-04-25?	3	$1.7K	2,018	2,018	+0	open	—	04-25 11:44
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5	8	$1.6K	1,550	1,550	+0	open	—	05-23 23:30
Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs	2	$1.6K	1,946	1,946	+0	open	—	05-30 08:30
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2	2	$1.6K	1,835	1,835	+0	open	—	05-23 14:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	4	$1.6K	1,980	1,980	+0	open	—	05-03 07:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	10	$1.6K	1,439	1,438	+1	open	—	08-03 12:08
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In	2	$1.5K	1,162	1,162	+0	open	—	05-23 05:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	8	$1.5K	1,556	1,556	+0	open	—	08-02 02:10
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	4	$1.5K	1,082	1,082	+0	open	—	05-16 14:30
cs2 big5 b8 2026 06 09	4	$1.4K	1,391	1,391	+0	open	—	06-09 16:30
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	2	$1.4K	2,295	2,295	+0	open	—	05-27 16:53
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	2	$1.4K	1,104	1,104	+0	open	—	05-14 22:45
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$1.4K	975	975	+0	open	—	05-21 20:51
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-20 22:20
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	2	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-18 22:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 08:10:42	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	687	18¢	$124	0x42c289…
08-11 08:08:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	282	23¢	$65	0xa3c1c6…
08-11 08:08:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	405	24¢	$97	0x286474…
08-10 15:48:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	364	44¢	$160	0x81ea26…
08-10 15:45:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	364	44¢	$160	0x614b35…
08-10 13:57:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	215	71¢	$153	0x02825d…
08-10 13:54:21	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	215	78¢	$168	0xce00c0…
08-05 07:45:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	994	17¢	$167	0x03c9a0…
08-05 07:41:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	409	20¢	$82	0xc595e9…
08-05 07:41:44	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	585	21¢	$123	0x3e5eef…
08-03 12:08:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	255	78¢	$199	0xb44e33…
08-03 12:04:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	255	78¢	$199	0xa6fe07…
08-02 02:10:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	399	48¢	$192	0x71f110…
08-02 02:06:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	399	50¢	$200	0xa947d1…
07-30 01:22:45	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	118	78¢	$92	0x46e9d0…
07-30 01:22:26	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	202	78¢	$158	0x6906de…
07-30 01:21:02	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	320	78¢	$250	0xfa2e4a…
07-26 13:28:42	will russia capture bilytske by september 30 2026 564	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xb66aff…
07-25 19:15:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	400	44¢	$176	0x8aef7a…
07-25 19:12:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	400	45¢	$180	0x94f846…
07-23 22:01:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	385	47¢	$181	0x37c4df…
07-23 21:59:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	385	47¢	$181	0x17a062…
07-23 21:47:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	372	48¢	$179	0x6341f4…
07-23 21:44:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	372	49¢	$182	0x436ac3…
07-22 14:32:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	667	28¢	$187	0x8a4a99…
07-22 14:30:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	429	28¢	$120	0x599609…
07-22 14:30:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0xac37d9…
07-22 14:30:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	235	28¢	$66	0x7fb8a2…
07-20 09:53:39	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xfe3d81…
07-17 16:05:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	270	75¢	$202	0xee2adb…
07-17 16:02:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	270	76¢	$205	0x743748…
07-15 19:35:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	246	78¢	$192	0x28f13f…
07-15 19:33:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	246	82¢	$202	0x1d3e7c…
07-12 02:54:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	457	37¢	$169	0x932306…
07-12 02:52:20	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	457	44¢	$201	0xea92d8…
07-08 13:28:14	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	346	50¢	$173	0x184f57…
07-08 13:25:43	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	346	57¢	$197	0x64d7ad…
07-08 03:15:16	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	362	63¢	$228	0x12312d…
07-08 03:13:11	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	362	69¢	$250	0x281572…
07-04 20:48:07	jpm quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 14 2026 5pt68	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xa1212a…
07-03 11:19:35	will vucic officially leave office by july 17 20260629165804200	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x48f1ef…
07-03 11:18:47	fda approves viatris low dose estrogen weekly patch 07 30 2026	No	SELL	27	12¢	$3	0xf56ea9…
07-03 11:18:31	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	23	9¢	$2	0xe513a8…
07-03 11:17:37	will intercontinental exchange self certify sports event contracts by december 31 2026 20260630144618252	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xa79989…
07-03 11:16:59	will cap reach 0pt20 before 2027	Yes	SELL	42	5¢	$2	0x506ce2…
07-03 11:15:58	will cambria launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	14	25¢	$4	0xe26fb0…
07-03 11:15:29	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145718	Yes	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0x6253fd…
07-03 11:15:13	will cboe futures exchange self certify sports event contracts by december 31 2026 20260630144618251	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xe3ac4a…
07-03 11:14:56	will falcons make a roster change before august 20260610174825288	Yes	SELL	134	2¢	$3	0x5860ab…
07-03 11:14:26	will liudmila samsonova advance to the semifinals in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629193807020	Yes	SELL	28	7¢	$2	0x6aa33c…
07-03 11:13:23	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x61646d…
07-03 10:51:19	will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145717	Yes	SELL	17	28¢	$5	0x0ceaff…
07-03 10:51:02	will lionel messi score 8 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x1dcca6…
07-03 10:50:55	will usd fall to 1pt6m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325082	Yes	SELL	18	35¢	$6	0x730dc4…
07-03 10:50:50	will lab reach 18 before 2027	Yes	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x784384…
07-03 10:50:37	nathans famous hot dog eating contest total hdbs ou 704pt8 20260626152700921	Over	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x79b386…
07-03 10:50:31	california clinic funding proposition	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x1079e6…
07-03 10:50:25	will cloud9 make a roster change before septemeber 20260701210647118	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xae8d92…
07-03 10:50:14	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31	Yes	SELL	47	19¢	$9	0xfb0428…
07-03 10:50:10	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	114	9¢	$10	0xf37921…
07-03 10:49:58	will martin zubimendi score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	148	6¢	$8	0x9e6fce…
07-03 10:49:47	greek snap election scheduled in 2026 20260618181513020	Yes	SELL	51	16¢	$8	0xd26cc9…
07-03 10:49:35	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 95 mph 20260626193609215	No	SELL	23	67¢	$16	0xd6f785…
07-03 10:49:26	openai vs meta higher valuation on december 31	Meta	SELL	24	77¢	$18	0xc7b280…
07-03 10:49:20	ctas quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 15 2026 1pt23	Yes	SELL	25	75¢	$19	0xbf4daa…
07-03 10:12:10	kmi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 15 2026 0pt31	Yes	SELL	22	63¢	$14	0x0b07a7…
07-03 10:00:37	usb quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 16 2026 1pt27	No	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0x7f6147…
07-03 09:21:47	kmi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 15 2026 0pt31	Yes	BUY	22	73¢	$16	0xfe64e1…
07-03 09:16:34	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	47	19¢	$9	0x63422e…
07-03 08:26:10	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	29	50¢	$15	0x161f50…
07-03 08:13:29	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	29	39¢	$11	0xc07374…
07-03 05:41:47	usb quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 16 2026 1pt27	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x855907…
07-03 03:47:25	ctas quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 15 2026 1pt23	Yes	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x20c3d2…
07-03 01:51:35	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2027 20260702152126832	No	SELL	25	55¢	$14	0xbdfc00…
07-03 00:43:31	will ansem flip pump by june 30 2027 20260702152126831	Yes	SELL	22	16¢	$4	0x3dd848…
07-03 00:38:25	will ansem flip pump by june 30 2027 20260702152126831	Yes	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0x15b3df…
07-03 00:38:22	will ansem flip pump by june 30 2027 20260702152126831	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xaed987…
07-03 00:15:04	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2027 20260702152126832	No	BUY	25	70¢	$17	0x24146f…
07-03 00:10:17	openai vs meta higher valuation on december 31	Meta	BUY	24	81¢	$19	0x6c487d…
07-02 22:34:14	nasdaq round the clock trading by december 31 20260701160424096	No	SELL	17	28¢	$5	0x06040f…
07-02 22:27:11	fda approves viatris low dose estrogen weekly patch 07 30 2026	No	BUY	27	34¢	$9	0xf85870…
07-02 18:19:01	california high earner permanent tax proposition	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xd5b2b5…
07-02 15:29:01	california clinic funding proposition	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x51072b…
07-02 15:25:16	over 5m committed to the squid public sale	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xe1efbb…
07-02 14:53:50	over 6m committed to the squid public sale	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xc224cf…
07-02 14:40:31	over 6m committed to the squid public sale	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x49d202…
07-02 14:07:31	california affordable housing bond proposition	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xc7abbe…
07-02 13:55:58	california affordable housing bond proposition	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xff11e2…
07-02 13:51:05	california high earner permanent tax proposition	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x391b68…
07-02 11:58:13	over 5m committed to the squid public sale	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x83adb9…
07-02 11:44:07	will usd fall to 1pt6m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325082	Yes	SELL	18	43¢	$8	0x38fbae…
07-02 10:15:25	will aristotle self certify sports event contracts by december 31 2026 20260630144618249	Yes	SELL	23	63¢	$14	0x6d5ab3…
07-02 08:55:44	will lionel messi score 8 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xd6d01d…
07-02 08:48:22	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	33	35¢	$12	0xc4e0f1…
07-02 07:51:53	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	33	35¢	$12	0x56a98f…
07-02 06:22:11	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x00a8a5…
07-02 06:21:10	will cboe futures exchange self certify sports event contracts by december 31 2026 20260630144618251	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xe18a08…
07-02 05:30:53	will aristotle self certify sports event contracts by december 31 2026 20260630144618249	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x42efe2…
07-02 05:30:25	will aristotle self certify sports event contracts by december 31 2026 20260630144618249	Yes	BUY	4	59¢	$3	0x9c41d7…
07-02 05:30:25	will aristotle self certify sports event contracts by december 31 2026 20260630144618249	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x8dbc98…