Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.59K

Unrealized P&L

-$57

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

267

Trades

861

lifetime

Volume

$24.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-21 14:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Politics

39% 28% -$663

Other

36% 38% -$470

Sports

18% 42% -$453

Crypto

6% 28% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No		+439	$68	2¢	$11	-$57	10-19 22:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	20	$2.7K	2,509	2,509	+0	Yes	+$317	02-28 19:33
fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 btts	4	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$267	06-13 22:25
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	17	$1.0K	3,016	2,856	+160	No	-$203	01-31 20:42
nba den uta 2026 03 02	15	$1.0K	2,430	1,974	+457	Nuggets	-$142	03-03 04:36
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	9	$934	3,009	556	+2,454	No	-$756	06-13 23:58
fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 btts	3	$721	526	526	+0	Yes	+$321	06-13 21:02
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	10	$697	541	541	+0	Yes	+$17	03-03 14:24
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	4	$587	463	463	+0	No	+$207	03-03 14:25
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	4	$585	1,290	733	+557	No	-$175	01-30 17:05
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	4	$523	400	400	+0	Yes	+$23	06-14 02:25
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	4	$500	430	430	+0	Yes	+$100	06-13 01:47
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	10	$441	2,350	2,350	+0	No	-$109	03-18 00:06
nhl ana sj 2026 04 01	4	$440	316	316	+0	Sharks	+$40	04-02 03:15
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	19	$390	649	649	+0	No	-$18	03-28 02:08
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	2	$389	463	463	+0	Yes	-$11	02-27 17:07
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	14	$325	6,427	2,020	+4,407	No	-$117	01-23 14:08
nhl pit bos 2026 03 03	5	$303	592	130	+462	Bruins	-$103	03-04 02:30
fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 btts	2	$258	250	250	+0	No	-$12	06-14 01:07
will hezbollah disarm by march 31	12	$257	3,417	3,417	+0	No	-$65	03-18 19:39
fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 btts	4	$246	171	171	+0	Yes	+$96	06-18 21:05
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	12	$242	1,625	1,625	+0	No	-$116	04-18 19:00
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	13	$233	1,760	1,760	+0	No	-$167	03-08 15:15
nhl det nsh 2026 03 02	2	$228	128	128	+0	Red Wings	+$28	03-02 21:47
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	3	$228	154	154	+0	Yes	+$78	06-17 20:36
cs2 prv lgc 2026 03 03	3	$222	208	208	+0	Legacy	+$2	03-03 14:35
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	4	$222	157	157	+0	Yes	+$90	06-16 21:00
nhl stl ana 2026 04 03	5	$219	167	167	+0	Blues	+$59	04-04 03:49
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	3	$218	204	204	+0	No	-$2	06-12 18:05
nba hou mia 2026 02 28	5	$210	471	0	+471	Heat	-$210	02-28 22:56
mlb min kc 2026 04 02	8	$207	248	243	+5	Minnesota Twins	+$19	04-02 20:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 14:46:02	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0x93d1bd…
10-20 18:21:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	77	3¢	$2	0xb52a59…
10-19 22:29:56	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0xc82890…
10-19 22:29:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	SELL	600	4¢	$26	0x6bd535…
10-19 17:10:05	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	283	4¢	$10	0xb84133…
10-19 17:09:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	214	14¢	$30	0x64a790…
10-19 17:08:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	317	3¢	$10	0x1f6e81…
09-29 23:15:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	68	19¢	$13	0xfb9995…
09-29 23:13:53	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	1,750	1¢	$13	0x099bb3…
09-24 19:18:32	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4b5773…
09-24 17:03:41	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	58	5¢	$3	0xd642a0…
09-24 17:02:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	96	5¢	$5	0x0f1dae…
09-24 17:00:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	582	5¢	$30	0x01fea9…
09-24 17:00:42	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,136	2¢	$28	0xefc480…
09-24 17:00:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?	Yes	SELL	3,393	0¢	$10	0x1fcc9f…
09-23 22:29:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	BUY	169	6¢	$10	0xc79f7d…
09-23 22:26:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	BUY	385	5¢	$20	0xf38035…
09-23 22:26:26	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	60¢	$32	0xbd682c…
09-20 21:02:07	Capitals vs. Bruins	Capitals	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa570bb…
09-19 23:06:46	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,061	0¢	$5	0x1a3609…
09-19 23:06:21	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0xa72892…
09-19 23:05:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x656c22…
09-19 21:38:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	133	8¢	$10	0x27ad99…
09-19 21:37:54	Bengals vs. Texans	Texans	SELL	34	58¢	$20	0xa36889…
09-19 21:25:30	Bengals vs. Texans	Texans	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xe3f3c6…
09-19 21:24:15	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x8e0cb1…
09-19 21:24:08	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xb9f62f…
09-19 21:24:02	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xbf755a…
09-18 23:22:22	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	303	3¢	$10	0x903c5f…
09-18 17:30:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x3c84db…
09-17 00:46:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xc61708…
09-17 00:42:40	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	4¢	$5	0x84264c…
09-16 14:19:43	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x191bd3…
09-16 14:19:18	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x995ebe…
09-16 14:14:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	176	17¢	$30	0x1e1007…
09-16 02:23:58	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,082	1¢	$10	0xccd51d…
09-16 02:22:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x6fd306…
09-16 02:22:04	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x312d03…
09-15 23:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xdc4a72…
09-15 23:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x975b0b…
09-15 23:23:58	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xa1885f…
09-15 23:21:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	176	17¢	$30	0x6952d7…
09-15 23:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	37	32¢	$12	0x91f028…
09-15 23:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5c350d…
09-15 23:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xc1a9c6…
08-01 00:59:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xaf5037…
07-31 23:58:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	181	0¢	$1	0x75d1c2…
07-31 21:19:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	No	SELL	372	0¢	$0	0x3119ce…
07-29 23:21:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x1dbf8e…
07-29 15:05:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x2ba02e…
07-29 14:56:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x73fdba…
07-29 13:40:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	BUY	187	3¢	$5	0x149e74…
07-29 02:41:23	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?	No	BUY	84	6¢	$5	0x4cbb10…
07-29 02:41:17	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?	No	BUY	87	6¢	$5	0x3d7876…
07-29 02:39:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?	No	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0x9a9290…
07-29 02:39:32	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?	No	BUY	112	5¢	$6	0x1b0ea5…
07-29 02:36:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	No	SELL	114	22¢	$25	0x37dffd…
07-29 02:35:59	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	No	SELL	128	14¢	$18	0x3c2ebd…
07-29 02:35:53	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?	No	SELL	180	4¢	$7	0x8f35e6…
07-29 02:35:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?	No	SELL	103	2¢	$2	0x96e74a…
07-28 01:43:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	No	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0x25cdd8…
07-28 01:43:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xcdea71…
07-28 01:31:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xb7dcaa…
07-28 01:31:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x806801…
07-28 01:28:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	128	8¢	$10	0xf04666…
07-28 01:27:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x263188…
07-28 01:27:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0x62f3e1…
07-28 01:27:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	118	2¢	$2	0x891bfb…
07-27 20:16:54	will trump say supreme court during michigan remarks 20260724162420375	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0x1e950b…
07-27 19:21:01	will trump say supreme court during michigan remarks 20260724162420375	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xbcda1e…
07-27 19:20:42	will trump say ethanol during michigan remarks 20260724162420359	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x0a7d62…
07-27 19:18:27	will trump say motor city during michigan remarks 20260724162420357	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x3bf2b0…
07-03 20:22:11	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8904e1…
07-03 20:21:50	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xca11fd…
07-03 19:59:50	Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xd2e7a1…
07-03 19:59:31	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xb1ccbe…
07-03 19:48:16	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0xb0974f…
07-03 18:58:01	Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x45fa00…
07-03 18:57:49	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0x364c3b…
06-20 22:12:35	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x19e2e3…
06-20 22:12:11	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7e22c0…
06-20 18:21:34	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x8f9a05…
06-20 18:21:05	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd44eb4…
06-20 17:39:25	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x96a51a…
06-18 23:41:25	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x18649a…
06-18 23:40:50	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0x685b6b…
06-18 21:05:50	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	SELL	171	100¢	$171	0x087615…
06-18 20:29:50	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xef97d9…
06-18 18:52:05	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x2a2900…
06-18 18:09:37	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	102	51¢	$52	0xd3d45e…
06-18 17:53:25	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xeb96af…
06-18 17:47:11	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x736352…
06-18 15:47:08	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x717043…
06-18 15:46:59	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xf44b36…
06-18 03:23:14	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0xe5e2f2…
06-18 03:22:28	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	278	7¢	$20	0xc54db7…
06-18 03:22:10	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	SELL	118	99¢	$117	0x10e43b…
06-18 02:02:23	Uzbekistan to score first vs. Colombia?	Yes	BUY	57	26¢	$15	0x66bfa2…
06-18 01:51:28	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x417bc0…
06-18 01:51:23	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x5df09c…