Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

58.1%

Resolved

141

Trades

147

lifetime

Volume

$149

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

7 positions

First seen

2026-09-14

last 11-06 13:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

96% 58% +$9

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 0% -$1

Crypto

1% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	+2	$1	100¢	$2	+$1	11-06 02:45
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	+2	$1	78¢	$1	+$0	11-05 18:06
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	11-05 10:04
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 12, 2026?	Yes	+5	$1	25¢	$1	+$0	11-06 13:21
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	+1	$1	95¢	$1	+$0	11-01 05:46
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	Yes	+3	$1	35¢	$1	$0	11-06 21:49
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?	No	+1	$1	64¢	$1	$0	11-03 17:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 21:49:42	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd8e00c…
11-06 13:21:27	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe9a172…
11-06 02:45:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xde096a…
11-05 18:06:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6631b8…
11-05 10:05:33	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4f3336…
11-05 10:04:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x270c72…
11-05 01:34:01	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x557285…
11-03 17:11:45	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x01e023…
11-03 09:03:36	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x92becb…
11-03 01:03:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x73ce2f…
11-01 15:55:39	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8f5fd6…
11-01 05:46:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5a2051…
10-31 20:44:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8b131a…
10-30 16:03:28	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xffbc8b…
10-28 19:07:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9f4258…
10-28 11:01:47	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x99cd45…
10-28 03:01:21	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6a0a4b…
10-27 19:00:57	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6590e2…
10-27 10:58:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa72440…
10-25 02:05:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x67df95…
10-24 17:12:11	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x02bc00…
10-24 08:24:41	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa1f182…
10-23 12:22:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0c2583…
10-21 16:03:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcac31f…
10-21 16:03:14	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xca2be1…
10-21 07:46:29	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6d0b95…
10-20 23:41:29	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfd47c1…
10-20 15:29:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2605e8…
10-20 07:29:05	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x89b71a…
10-19 23:27:12	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x89fad4…
10-19 15:25:27	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb36c05…
10-19 06:57:33	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x91a7ef…
10-18 22:57:30	United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3f9f1f…
10-18 14:55:29	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd7c20c…
10-18 06:54:30	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4e6955…
10-17 20:06:39	United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5f1805…
10-17 12:04:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6c8100…
10-17 01:25:33	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x847cf5…
10-16 16:01:15	wti closes above 97 on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf05bda…
10-16 07:47:51	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 15% to 17.5%?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6d696d…
10-15 23:40:07	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdfc447…
10-15 12:49:35	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9ba80a…
10-15 04:46:56	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x81ee4c…
10-14 20:46:48	will nextera energy nee q3 operating revenue be above 20261008120020000 8b	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb3e91d…
10-13 23:03:28	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb05cb6…
10-13 15:01:43	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0033d7…
10-13 07:00:19	Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x31b101…
10-12 23:00:12	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6272e3…
10-12 15:00:03	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x887422…
10-10 17:33:03	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xceead3…
10-09 19:11:56	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4b8dd2…
10-09 11:10:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4bb0f1…
10-09 03:10:44	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1753b0…
10-08 19:10:20	Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbac890…
10-08 11:01:38	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x76d1fb…
10-08 03:01:23	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x00a3bb…
10-07 14:52:37	Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb20d00…
10-07 14:17:49	SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x72db9d…
10-06 15:59:08	Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xafd040…
10-06 11:48:10	Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xaab925…
10-06 07:56:18	Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Bedford Town FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb31284…
10-05 13:17:20	Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4fa016…
10-04 20:08:19	Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa2fd56…
10-04 18:26:34	Will El Salvador win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb924df…
10-04 16:34:16	Costa Rica vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x84ef84…
10-04 07:57:22	Will Atletico de Rafaela win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x57a1c1…
10-04 07:57:19	Will CA Colegiales win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x55afbb…
10-04 07:20:49	Malta vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x67ed47…
10-04 06:47:52	Will Girona FC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa22f33…
10-04 06:47:50	Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xfa36ba…
10-04 06:06:35	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0ed53d…
10-04 06:06:32	Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. RB Ōmiya Ardija: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x39b00f…
10-04 05:25:05	VVV Venlo vs. Roda JC Kerkrade: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5eeee1…
10-03 15:13:00	Inter Toronto FC vs. Cavalry FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x61fce5…
10-03 13:04:35	Will Tonbridge Angels FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8f0f16…
10-03 11:33:20	Will Cliftonville FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xdd7412…
10-03 04:27:48	Will Plymouth Parkway FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x899853…
10-03 03:59:36	Will Torquay United FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xcce588…
10-03 03:29:26	Will Clachnacuddin FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4fc8dc…
10-03 03:29:24	Will South Shields FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xac68e5…
10-03 02:53:54	Will Finland win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x04bad7…
10-02 20:56:38	Will Montedio Yamagata win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xdb9ae5…
10-02 18:36:38	Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4c4908…
10-02 14:34:02	Will Limavady United FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x098209…
10-02 13:28:35	Will Crewe Alexandra FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x5d69dc…
10-02 11:46:41	Will Rotherham United FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x97fc91…
10-02 07:17:33	Accrington Stanley FC vs. Cheltenham Town FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2235fd…
10-02 07:17:32	Will Cheltenham Town FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x588ce2…
10-02 05:28:18	Will Ceará SC win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xadfd5b…
10-01 22:00:08	Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1c3852…
10-01 10:10:33	Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x755e36…
10-01 09:42:30	Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9ec559…
10-01 05:53:41	CD Eldense vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd6b42b…
09-30 13:37:47	Will CA Platense vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf2a6a7…
09-30 11:22:45	argcopa pla elp 2026 10 01 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x847a33…
09-30 08:55:14	Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc9eb6d…
09-30 07:40:57	Will Once Caldas win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x405a56…
09-30 07:20:36	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa5a0ed…
09-30 06:39:30	OL Lyonnes vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2829c5…
09-30 05:22:44	Will Internacional de Bogotá win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3be7a3…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E35?	1	$2	6	+6	No	+$4	09-17 09:11
Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E37?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	09-20 02:17
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-21 07:46
Will Detroit City FC win on 2026-09-30?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-29 04:50
Will Rotherham United FC win on 2026-10-03?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-02 11:46
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 15% to 17.5%?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	10-16 07:47
Fram Reykjavik vs. Breidablik Kopavogur: O/U 4.5	1	$1	3	+3	Under	-$1	09-15 14:20
Curaçao vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 2.5	1	$1	2	+2	Under	+$1	09-30 04:53
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	1	$1	3	+3	Up	-$1	10-28 19:07
Will Montedio Yamagata win on 2026-10-03?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-02 20:56
Will South Shields FC win on 2026-10-03?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-03 03:29
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	10-20 07:29
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	1	$1	3	+3	Up	+$2	10-15 12:49
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	11-03 09:03
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	11-05 10:04
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	10-25 02:05
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 2.5	1	$1	1	+1	Over	+$0	09-14 13:15
Will CD Godoy Cruz win on 2026-09-27?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-26 12:45
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-28 03:01
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	11-06 02:45
Will Clachnacuddin FC win on 2026-10-03?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-03 03:29
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	11-03 01:03
Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-10-04?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-04 06:47
Will Cliftonville FC win on 2026-10-03?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-03 11:33
Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-29 19:22
Spread: Instituto AC Córdoba (-1.5)	1	$1	3	+3	AA Estudiantes	-$1	09-14 07:02
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-08 03:01
Will Montevideo Wanderers win on 2026-09-28?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-27 04:45
Will Beijing Guoan win on 2026-09-15?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-15 11:27
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-09 03:10