Showy-Gaffe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-17 15:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 100% +$0

Politics

9% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	6	$41	5,123	5,123	+0	open	—	03-16 12:41
ethereum above 2400 on april 11	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	04-11 14:15
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$38	39	0	+39	open	—	04-10 09:55
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	04-09 14:01
bitcoin above 76k on april 8	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	04-08 09:39
bitcoin above 74k on april 7	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	04-07 09:51
bitcoin above 76k on april 6	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	04-05 18:24
will bitcoin reach 73k on april 4	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	04-04 16:20
bitcoin above 64k on april 3	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	04-03 15:00
bitcoin above 74k on april 1	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	04-01 04:04
bitcoin above 72k on march 31	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	03-31 08:09
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	03-30 11:12
bitcoin above 70k on march 29	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	03-29 10:23
ethereum above 2200 on march 28	2	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	03-28 12:20
bitcoin above 62k on march 27	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	03-27 13:20
bitcoin above 76k on march 26	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	03-26 10:47
ethereum above 1900 on march 25	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	03-25 07:27
bitcoin above 76k on march 24	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	03-24 09:15
bitcoin above 74k on march 23	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	03-23 09:45
bitcoin above 72k on march 22	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	03-22 15:12
ethereum above 2300 on march 21	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	03-21 13:14
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	1	$37	38	0	+38	open	—	03-20 10:11
bitcoin above 74k on march 19	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	03-19 12:08
will bitcoin reach 81k on march 18	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	03-18 18:24
will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	03-04 10:18
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	03-07 20:52
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-11 09:51
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	03-06 08:35
bitcoin above 80k on march 17	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-17 08:43
bitcoin above 62k on march 16	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-16 01:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 15:00:19	ethereum above 1900 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0c9bf1…
06-14 11:20:46	ethereum above 1900 on june 14 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x994c5c…
06-14 11:05:49	ethereum above 1100 on june 14 2026	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x61c08e…
06-12 12:49:18	ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2178b5…
06-11 00:55:18	bitcoin above 68k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf1e832…
06-06 11:58:52	ethereum above 1800 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa544c1…
06-04 10:46:27	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x186252…
05-28 02:32:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x69edc0…
05-26 13:39:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8788fe…
05-23 11:50:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 23?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2f21bb…
05-21 12:42:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x167f0c…
05-14 09:07:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcca9a6…
05-10 10:31:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa2368f…
05-07 13:54:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xadbec5…
05-05 13:03:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x53fcec…
05-03 09:16:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x50f7b4…
04-27 10:26:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x89d619…
04-26 13:02:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 26?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf7ba10…
04-24 10:44:58	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x365d34…
04-23 13:12:04	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4254fa…
04-22 14:36:06	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb615a9…
04-20 14:28:36	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe1f409…
04-19 13:21:22	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x710d07…
04-16 15:28:36	bitcoin above 76k on april 16	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x85f8a0…
04-15 09:35:00	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xde78da…
04-14 12:24:49	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd99148…
04-13 09:34:27	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e77d4…
04-13 01:19:47	will bitcoin reach 76k april 6 12	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x156fac…
04-11 14:15:37	ethereum above 2400 on april 11	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x4683a1…
04-10 09:55:39	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	39	100¢	$38	0x0ed72d…
04-09 14:01:25	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x013a52…
04-08 09:39:07	bitcoin above 76k on april 8	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x1bee82…
04-07 09:51:27	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x00e91e…
04-05 18:24:15	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xd98228…
04-04 16:20:41	will bitcoin reach 73k on april 4	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x9594dd…
04-03 15:00:31	bitcoin above 64k on april 3	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x63f497…
04-01 04:04:33	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xd627c4…
03-31 08:09:51	bitcoin above 72k on march 31	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x0bbda1…
03-30 11:12:24	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x517db9…
03-29 10:23:58	bitcoin above 70k on march 29	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x127cfb…
03-28 12:20:53	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe52b5e…
03-28 12:12:19	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa560e9…
03-27 13:20:21	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x8e7c89…
03-26 10:47:01	bitcoin above 76k on march 26	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xf8369c…
03-25 07:27:27	ethereum above 1900 on march 25	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xeeabc5…
03-24 09:15:51	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x747c57…
03-23 09:45:07	bitcoin above 74k on march 23	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xd077cd…
03-22 15:12:55	bitcoin above 72k on march 22	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x0d30ae…
03-21 13:14:27	ethereum above 2300 on march 21	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x5d4108…
03-20 10:11:01	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$37	0xf78f02…
03-19 12:08:07	bitcoin above 74k on march 19	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xeb499a…
03-18 18:24:55	will bitcoin reach 81k on march 18	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xda2144…
03-17 08:43:09	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x844046…
03-16 13:23:31	will bitcoin reach 81k on march 16	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x67b684…
03-16 12:41:43	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	2,005	0¢	$8	0xa1152c…
03-16 07:48:03	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	2,005	0¢	$8	0x0af8b3…
03-16 01:13:45	bitcoin above 62k on march 16	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x31e928…
03-11 09:51:19	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xb0cc6b…
03-10 12:32:31	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	1,715	0¢	$7	0xa3880c…
03-09 13:57:33	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	1,715	0¢	$7	0x7e024a…
03-07 20:52:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x7bb2fe…
03-06 08:35:27	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x5bda9f…
03-04 10:18:35	will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xcc7208…
03-03 15:48:17	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	1,403	0¢	$6	0xb76d45…
03-03 13:26:55	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	1,403	0¢	$6	0x069ca3…