Querulous-Accuracy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.0%

Resolved

Trades

130

lifetime

Volume

$2.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 10-08 08:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 56% +$6

Other

1% 67% +$5

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Sports

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	5	$229	147	147	+0	Up	+$40	05-06 14:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	5	$199	129	129	+0	Up	+$29	05-06 07:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	11	$120	90	90	+0	Down	+$57	05-06 13:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	5	$99	341	341	+0	Down	-$1	05-06 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	10	$76	51	51	+0	Up	+$24	05-06 06:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$75	51	51	+0	Down	+$25	05-06 13:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$75	50	50	+0	Up	+$24	05-06 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$74	49	49	+0	Up	+$24	05-06 06:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	4	$73	48	48	+0	Down	+$23	05-06 13:26
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	2	$73	48	48	+0	Down	+$23	05-06 08:30
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	3	$73	48	48	+0	Down	+$23	05-06 04:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	2	$71	47	47	+0	Up	+$23	05-06 06:41
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$70	48	48	+0	Down	+$20	05-06 04:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$60	63	0	+63	Down	-$60	05-06 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	4	$57	47	47	+0	Down	+$7	05-04 03:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$55	103	0	+103	Down	-$55	05-06 17:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$47	86	0	+86	Down	-$47	05-06 17:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	3	$46	90	0	+90	Down	-$46	05-06 16:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	4	$36	70	0	+70	Down	-$36	05-06 16:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	6	$34	65	0	+65	Down	-$34	05-06 15:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	5	$34	65	0	+65	Up	+$31	05-06 15:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	3	$31	60	0	+60	Up	+$29	05-06 15:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	3	$31	60	0	+60	Up	+$29	05-06 15:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	4	$31	60	0	+60	Down	-$31	05-06 15:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 11:00 UTC	2	$30	20	20	+0	Down	+$10	06-18 11:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 10:45 UTC	2	$27	18	18	+0	Up	+$7	06-18 10:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$26	50	0	+50	Down	-$26	05-06 05:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$26	50	0	+50	Down	-$26	05-06 14:22
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	6	$25	50	0	+50	Down	+$24	05-06 04:43
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	6	$25	50	0	+50	Down	+$24	05-06 04:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 08:44:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x9e6d81…
10-08 08:36:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x6784fc…
10-08 08:34:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xa4eee3…
08-22 06:14:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xe4d1b5…
08-22 06:08:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x6ace72…
08-03 06:46:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd36fd6…
07-07 09:34:44	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x2b9307…
07-07 09:34:32	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x86af50…
06-18 11:14:20	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 11:00 UTC	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xee85b9…
06-18 10:52:29	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x77ea62…
06-18 10:52:02	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 10:45 UTC	Up	SELL	18	93¢	$17	0x11ce56…
06-18 10:45:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x4f0240…
05-13 15:25:19	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x6311fe…
05-07 02:07:03	Goyang vs. KCC Egis	KCC Egis	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x27e6c2…
05-06 17:18:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	86	54¢	$47	0x00dabb…
05-06 17:06:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	103	54¢	$55	0x076edc…
05-06 16:45:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	75	51¢	$38	0xe51806…
05-06 16:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdca2fd…
05-06 16:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x321033…
05-06 16:12:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	52¢	$17	0x67a659…
05-06 16:10:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xde656e…
05-06 16:10:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x7329d0…
05-06 16:10:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x5519d7…
05-06 15:58:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3fc8ac…
05-06 15:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x40652b…
05-06 15:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x31b43f…
05-06 15:48:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb892d2…
05-06 15:48:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8aa22f…
05-06 15:45:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0xf3f21c…
05-06 15:45:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x602901…
05-06 15:44:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x19b650…
05-06 15:38:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xaa2349…
05-06 15:37:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb94e74…
05-06 15:31:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x3e8317…
05-06 15:29:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xc654ca…
05-06 15:29:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xca1821…
05-06 15:28:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x825b00…
05-06 15:13:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x34d9de…
05-06 15:00:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7fba00…
05-06 15:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcdae5a…
05-06 15:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	46	51¢	$23	0x5bd7d6…
05-06 15:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x243d7d…
05-06 14:55:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x836f68…
05-06 14:54:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x43656b…
05-06 14:42:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xe4551e…
05-06 14:42:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xa41f9f…
05-06 14:41:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	97	92¢	$89	0xae1878…
05-06 14:37:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0x94c645…
05-06 14:35:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0xb5b52a…
05-06 14:22:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x8a6dc8…
05-06 13:42:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xa55562…
05-06 13:42:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	80	98¢	$78	0xfe2e51…
05-06 13:31:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x15e975…
05-06 13:31:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xcbdc29…
05-06 13:31:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x1d1d4b…
05-06 13:31:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0xb09fb9…
05-06 13:31:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x432383…
05-06 13:31:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$3	0x3f2e6c…
05-06 13:31:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xa51f2f…
05-06 13:31:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x585963…
05-06 13:31:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x043922…
05-06 13:26:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x2516a3…
05-06 13:26:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1d7f6b…
05-06 13:26:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0682d5…
05-06 13:09:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x1a01ba…
05-06 12:59:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xfd21fe…
05-06 12:58:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x3ced44…
05-06 12:58:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xd3fb65…
05-06 12:57:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xd56b35…
05-06 12:56:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	33	7¢	$2	0x814be9…
05-06 12:56:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	281	7¢	$20	0xa8e8ad…
05-06 12:56:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	314	8¢	$25	0x4c0df8…
05-06 08:30:10	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0x9e87d9…
05-06 07:43:40	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x13b9b2…
05-06 07:43:12	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x07f1bf…
05-06 07:41:24	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x0dd171…
05-06 07:40:48	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x6929d5…
05-06 07:40:30	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x945855…
05-06 07:39:54	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xae29c5…
05-06 07:24:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	33	86¢	$28	0x90c6fb…
05-06 07:22:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x48ff1c…
05-06 07:22:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	96	90¢	$86	0x5fbdef…
05-06 07:21:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc47f84…
05-06 07:20:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	87	58¢	$50	0x97aba1…
05-06 07:19:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	59	24¢	$14	0x09a3aa…
05-06 07:18:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xa4a541…
05-06 07:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x77b869…
05-06 07:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x3c5e3a…
05-06 06:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x89505a…
05-06 06:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd90b77…
05-06 06:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x875f00…
05-06 06:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6aacae…
05-06 06:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaf842d…
05-06 06:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x432e62…
05-06 06:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xa9cbb6…
05-06 06:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x0b5898…
05-06 06:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0d41a8…
05-06 06:41:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x4a1970…
05-06 06:29:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xc1c092…
05-06 06:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0x751388…