Happy-Shaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$568

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

62.4%

Resolved

1,209

Trades

4,064

lifetime

Volume

$47.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$48

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 11-06 11:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 251 days

Categories

Other

89% 42% -$236

Sports

9% 40% -$285

Crypto

1% 43% -$21

Politics

0% 11% -$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Prelims)	Murtazali Magomedov	+61	$31	48¢	$29	-$2	11-03 08:30
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	-15	-$13	99¢	$-15	-$1	05-10 11:38
Will Afghanistan win?	Yes	+24	$11	16¢	$4	-$7	11-05 08:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
crint npl sco 2026 02 17	13	$2.4K	1,654	1,579	+75	Nepal	+$82	02-17 16:46
crint aus lka 2026 02 16	11	$1.5K	1,564	1,330	+234	Sri Lanka	-$93	02-16 15:50
crint lka zwe 2026 02 19	13	$1.5K	1,354	1,295	+58	Zimbabwe	-$31	02-19 12:56
crint nzl zaf 2026 02 14	14	$1.5K	1,149	1,149	+0	South Africa	+$44	02-14 15:49
crint gbr ind 2026 03 05	26	$1.3K	1,235	1,176	+59	India	-$40	03-05 17:02
crint zaf nzl 2026 03 04	31	$970	1,841	988	+852	New Zealand	+$225	03-04 16:09
crint bgd pak 2026 03 11	28	$843	676	676	+0	Bangladesh	+$46	03-11 11:15
crint gbr nzl 2026 02 27	16	$686	843	843	+0	England	-$4	02-27 16:52
crint aus zwe 2026 02 13	9	$685	440	440	+0	Zimbabwe	-$10	02-13 09:28
ucl qar1 new 2026 02 18 new	7	$674	376	376	+0	Yes	+$3	02-18 18:17
crint can are 2026 02 13	16	$638	483	483	+0	UAE	+$16	02-13 13:01
crint nam usa 2026 02 15	9	$603	513	513	+0	USA	+$13	02-15 12:28
crint zwe wst 2026 02 23	7	$582	433	358	+75	West Indies	-$9	02-23 14:53
ucl bog1 int2 2026 02 18 bog1	5	$575	352	352	+0	Yes	+$23	02-18 21:46
ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 rma	4	$523	334	334	+0	Yes	+$18	02-17 21:53
crint ind nld 2026 02 18	7	$512	478	478	+0	India	+$0	02-18 15:10
crint lka pak 2026 02 28	5	$500	313	313	+0	Pakistan	+$35	02-28 16:11
crint afg can 2026 02 19	10	$446	283	283	+0	Afghanistan	-$1	02-19 14:28
crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 14	23	$426	401	371	+30	India	+$10	07-14 16:35
crint afg zaf 2026 02 11	13	$415	360	360	+0	South Africa	+$41	02-11 09:46
crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	15	$367	1,521	1,521	+0	India	-$33	03-08 16:38
crint zwe2 bgd2 2026 07 15	13	$344	323	305	+18	Zimbabwe	+$26	07-15 13:46
crint ind wst 2026 03 01	16	$326	298	298	+0	India	+$9	03-01 17:11
cricpsl mul hyd 2026 04 01	37	$322	440	383	+57	Multan Sultans	+$9	04-01 17:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 02:30 UTC	5	$302	230	225	+5	Up	$0	02-15 02:38
Pakistan Super League: Islamabad United vs Multan Sultans	35	$287	242	240	+2	Islamabad United	$0	04-26 17:23
crint gbr wst 2026 02 11	6	$272	268	200	+68	West Indies	+$8	02-11 16:45
crint ita npl 2026 02 12	3	$250	257	200	+57	Italy	+$14	02-12 11:29
crint aus ind 2026 02 28	2	$249	128	128	+0	Australia	+$0	03-01 08:17
Pakistan Super League: Quetta Gladiators vs Karachi Kings	28	$243	267	264	+3	Karachi Kings	+$23	04-25 12:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 11:44:52	Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Sixers	Sydney Sixers	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd11183…
11-06 10:49:37	Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Sixers	Sydney Sixers	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x909441…
11-06 09:40:48	Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Sixers	Sydney Sixers	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0x6c9b04…
11-05 11:10:55	Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Thunder vs Perth Scorchers	Perth Scorchers	SELL	9	84¢	$7	0x347bef…
11-05 11:07:13	Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Thunder vs Perth Scorchers	Perth Scorchers	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x95ad50…
11-05 10:52:39	Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Thunder vs Perth Scorchers	Perth Scorchers	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0x54d255…
11-05 08:08:24	Will Afghanistan win?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x6f07fa…
11-05 08:07:18	Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Thunder vs Perth Scorchers	Perth Scorchers	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xda7a88…
11-05 08:06:37	Big Bash League, Women: Adelaide Strikers vs Brisbane Heat	Brisbane Heat	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x66600b…
11-05 06:33:49	Will Afghanistan win?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x73ede0…
11-05 06:25:55	Big Bash League, Women: Adelaide Strikers vs Brisbane Heat	Brisbane Heat	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xb4109d…
11-04 19:40:12	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x869707…
11-04 19:21:28	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	16	16¢	$3	0x82d393…
11-04 08:01:48	Big Bash League, Women: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades	Hobart Hurricanes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xd6828d…
11-04 08:01:12	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x964df1…
11-04 02:53:49	India Tour of New Zealand ODIs: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb95abd…
11-04 02:14:34	India Tour of New Zealand ODIs: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	29	45¢	$13	0x3380fc…
11-03 20:56:33	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x4e5f32…
11-03 20:56:21	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	28	52¢	$14	0x2ab8aa…
11-03 20:54:57	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	28	48¢	$13	0x127642…
11-03 20:14:09	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x4510df…
11-03 19:46:07	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x03edc1…
11-03 12:50:06	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	26	41¢	$11	0x6b508b…
11-03 12:49:43	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xed6275…
11-03 08:30:25	UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Prelims)	Murtazali Magomedov	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2323dc…
11-02 22:15:28	UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Prelims)	Murtazali Magomedov	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x997be3…
11-02 22:14:58	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x29ffa5…
11-02 22:13:42	UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Prelims)	Murtazali Magomedov	BUY	37	52¢	$19	0x4cedd3…
11-02 22:01:09	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xce2c34…
11-02 21:55:15	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xa8cad2…
11-02 21:44:36	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x62bb2f…
11-02 20:43:16	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x391fcb…
11-02 11:20:34	Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Perth Scorchers	Perth Scorchers	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4719b9…
11-02 11:17:10	Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Perth Scorchers	Perth Scorchers	SELL	34	80¢	$27	0xc26148…
11-02 10:38:19	Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Perth Scorchers	Perth Scorchers	BUY	7	21¢	$2	0x601d90…
11-02 10:24:21	Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Perth Scorchers	Perth Scorchers	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x8913db…
11-02 10:23:27	Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Perth Scorchers	Perth Scorchers	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xe85e97…
11-01 18:16:54	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0x8ec24c…
11-01 18:15:31	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Liverpool FC O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0xdef7a2…
11-01 17:56:51	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb54b9a…
11-01 17:55:12	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Liverpool FC O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xaad2e2…
11-01 17:53:18	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	33	64¢	$21	0xd13290…
11-01 14:51:46	Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xf29f0b…
11-01 10:42:51	Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Perth Scorchers	Perth Scorchers	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xd397e7…
11-01 10:37:49	Ireland Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs Ireland	Ireland	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x7003ec…
11-01 10:15:01	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x02cafc…
11-01 10:14:43	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	36	38¢	$14	0x7da5bb…
11-01 09:57:31	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	SELL	22	79¢	$17	0xdfa0fb…
11-01 09:15:55	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0x5e2eda…
11-01 09:15:45	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	SELL	16	59¢	$10	0x1847c0…
11-01 04:26:10	ufc ces2 don13 2026 11 14	Donte Johnson	BUY	59	58¢	$34	0x7d3c51…
11-01 02:49:06	UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)	Tom Nolan	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xce6c89…
11-01 02:48:42	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x242c67…
11-01 02:42:43	UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)	Tom Nolan	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x445d57…
11-01 02:42:28	UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)	Tom Nolan	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xedcd06…
11-01 02:34:03	UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)	Tom Nolan	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x3aa68d…
11-01 02:13:34	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xdaf841…
11-01 02:13:16	UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)	Tom Nolan	BUY	71	45¢	$32	0xc08698…
11-01 01:43:28	UFC Fight Night: Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)	Randy Brown	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x3845ee…
11-01 01:42:10	UFC Fight Night: Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)	Randy Brown	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3c2deb…
11-01 01:42:03	UFC Fight Night: Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)	Randy Brown	BUY	38	29¢	$11	0xc0a630…
11-01 01:41:51	Will the fight be won by submission?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x90c3ce…
11-01 01:41:19	Will Jacobe Smith win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0xedeb1b…
11-01 01:31:36	UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ode' Osbourne	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x49e983…
11-01 01:25:21	UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ode' Osbourne	BUY	36	25¢	$9	0xb306f5…
11-01 01:13:57	UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ode' Osbourne	SELL	29	47¢	$14	0x488515…
11-01 01:07:36	UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ode' Osbourne	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfca958…
11-01 01:07:25	UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ode' Osbourne	BUY	27	48¢	$13	0x00201f…
11-01 01:02:21	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Yana Santos	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0x706a5b…
10-31 16:19:34	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0x949406…
10-31 16:10:43	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0x30d013…
10-31 16:05:45	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0x336b51…
10-31 15:48:40	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xb6d201…
10-31 15:48:27	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x5e7d63…
10-31 15:47:46	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0x5a459c…
10-31 15:36:48	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x65aa46…
10-31 15:13:31	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	SELL	23	77¢	$17	0x8a3939…
10-31 14:09:22	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0x8ee275…
10-31 13:49:04	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	25	72¢	$18	0xbf6406…
10-31 13:03:21	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7d6637…
10-31 13:02:48	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	SELL	54	76¢	$41	0xdc6964…
10-31 11:37:21	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xa28c70…
10-31 10:29:51	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x073333…
10-31 09:30:04	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xb58e71…
10-31 09:12:42	Will Australia win?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0xd904fb…
10-31 09:12:16	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x1b7798…
10-31 09:12:09	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0x8b3cac…
10-31 09:11:48	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x93567a…
10-31 09:11:18	Will Australia win?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x819042…
10-31 09:10:51	Cricket World Cup League 2: UAE vs Netherlands	Netherlands	SELL	19	67¢	$13	0xff5545…
10-30 18:26:37	Will Australia win?	Yes	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0xf3f4db…
10-30 18:04:34	Cricket World Cup League 2: UAE vs Netherlands	Netherlands	BUY	19	64¢	$12	0x4a1e89…
10-30 18:04:01	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xc660ed…
10-30 17:59:48	Will South Africa win?	Yes	SELL	41	46¢	$19	0xbeb8f8…
10-30 17:59:21	Will South Africa win?	Yes	SELL	44	46¢	$20	0x44eda1…
10-30 15:08:21	Will South Africa win?	Yes	SELL	35	42¢	$15	0x8adcbd…
10-30 14:44:31	Will Australia win?	Yes	BUY	44	16¢	$7	0x81a87f…
10-30 13:29:57	Will South Africa win?	Yes	SELL	33	40¢	$13	0xdc3e5e…
10-29 16:51:16	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x48533e…
10-29 16:49:35	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0x7357b0…