Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$170

Hit rate

75.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$38.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$674

Open exposure

$480

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 09-19 02:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

99% 77% +$13,743

Other

1% 0% -$95

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+25,064	$500	2¢	$439	-$61	05-02 21:22
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes		+1,071	$150	4¢	$41	-$109	05-02 21:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	20	$10.2K	19,283	0	+19,283	Yes	+$9,060	02-01 10:08
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$4.8K	8,000	0	+8,000	Yes	+$3,230	01-31 23:02
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$4.0K	7,026	0	+7,026	Yes	-$4,000	04-01 21:26
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	11	$3.3K	6,716	0	+6,716	Yes	+$3,387	02-01 05:08
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	1	$3.0K	4,762	0	+4,762	Yes	-$3,000	04-01 21:18
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	3	$2.6K	5,304	0	+5,304	Yes	+$2,739	02-01 23:46
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	1	$2.0K	4,255	0	+4,255	Yes	-$2,000	04-01 21:18
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$2.0K	3,089	0	+3,089	Yes	+$1,089	04-01 21:19
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	1	$1.5K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$520	01-31 23:03
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	4	$1.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$1,000	02-03 23:23
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$1000	1,471	0	+1,471	No	+$471	03-10 02:16
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$1000	1,818	0	+1,818	Yes	+$818	04-01 21:20
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	1	$1000	1,429	0	+1,429	No	+$429	03-10 02:14
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$500	25,064	0	+25,064	open	—	05-02 21:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$305	762	476	+286	Yes	-$95	09-13 21:56
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$150	1,071	0	+1,071	open	—	05-02 21:27
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	1	$93	517	0	+517	open	—	09-19 02:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 02:37:01	Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	517	18¢	$93	0x8e4337…
09-13 21:56:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	476	22¢	$105	0x3be75a…
09-12 21:02:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x2bcd08…
09-10 19:54:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x651feb…
05-02 21:27:20	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,071	14¢	$150	0x8a77da…
05-02 21:22:12	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	25,064	2¢	$500	0xfac495…
04-01 21:26:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	4,839	62¢	$3,000	0xbc4ea6…
04-01 21:20:25	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,818	55¢	$1,000	0x2fc951…
04-01 21:19:55	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3,089	65¢	$2,000	0x9b884f…
04-01 21:18:53	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	4,762	63¢	$3,000	0xa9badf…
04-01 21:18:13	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	4,255	47¢	$2,000	0x007627…
03-10 02:16:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	2,188	46¢	$1,000	0xf9f378…
03-10 02:16:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1,471	68¢	$1,000	0xd4ae2e…
03-10 02:14:31	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	1,429	70¢	$1,000	0x541a4e…
02-03 23:23:48	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,403	50¢	$701	0x9a9866…
02-03 23:22:04	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	50¢	$59	0xa659a0…
02-03 23:20:40	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	50¢	$75	0x96aa1f…
02-03 23:09:58	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	329	50¢	$165	0x3f2e2c…
02-01 23:46:42	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,400	44¢	$1,056	0x7582ab…
02-01 23:45:44	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	904	43¢	$389	0xbb98da…
02-01 10:08:32	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,660	50¢	$1,330	0xe1f12f…
02-01 09:40:44	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1170ce…
02-01 09:29:12	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	480	50¢	$240	0xc0625e…
02-01 09:04:20	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0x0b1921…
02-01 08:35:20	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3a6506…
02-01 08:28:48	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0xd54ef9…
02-01 08:19:40	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3b604e…
02-01 07:56:02	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x410ae2…
02-01 07:50:08	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6d582b…
02-01 07:49:58	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	50¢	$1,000	0xe82bef…
02-01 06:45:12	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,916	50¢	$958	0x2233d5…
02-01 05:28:34	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	56¢	$1,120	0x98ad90…
02-01 05:08:30	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	259	46¢	$119	0x97c470…
02-01 04:56:20	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	53¢	$530	0x8038f9…
02-01 04:43:10	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0x15f77f…
02-01 04:31:28	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xf2d73d…
02-01 04:27:08	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	53¢	$59	0xa7163d…
02-01 04:09:52	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	53¢	$28	0x1e49bb…
02-01 03:38:58	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$10	0x9adf9e…
02-01 03:29:38	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	53¢	$8	0x7c90d0…
02-01 03:13:52	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0xa0fc73…
02-01 03:07:54	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x82c209…
02-01 02:23:08	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xd9d417…
02-01 02:22:56	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	46¢	$36	0xe5d34d…
02-01 02:22:56	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	46¢	$55	0x5b9016…
02-01 02:22:56	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	46¢	$41	0x2184c5…
02-01 02:22:52	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	865	46¢	$398	0x4bd9db…
02-01 01:06:16	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,000	56¢	$3,360	0xfa1622…
01-31 23:03:32	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	74¢	$1,480	0x81b32c…
01-31 23:02:42	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,961	59¢	$1,747	0x305463…
01-31 22:56:06	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	60¢	$1,800	0xdc4dfb…
01-31 22:55:32	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	59¢	$23	0x0ed0bb…
01-31 22:53:58	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	51¢	$2,040	0x24b6dd…
01-31 22:52:18	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,200	55¢	$1,210	0x5c5a43…
01-31 22:51:20	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,857	54¢	$1,003	0xa9414e…
01-31 22:46:10	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	60¢	$1,200	0xa3c1f3…
01-31 22:42:00	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x471593…