Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$144

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

31.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-25

last 09-04 10:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

74% 43% -$150

Other

26% 67% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No		+0	$0	60¢	$0	+$0	09-04 10:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	39	$792	5,059	1,580	+3,479	Yes	-$156	03-24 21:09
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$106	105	105	+0	No	-$4	03-02 14:50
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	3	$101	111	111	+0	Yes	+$1	02-03 18:24
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$88	68	68	+0	Yes	+$2	02-28 15:01
Will American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$70	75	0	+75	Yes	+$5	09-04 10:08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	2	$64	80	80	+0	open	—	09-04 10:07
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	3	$59	52	52	+0	Yes	-$1	02-03 18:24
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	4	$55	66	66	+0	No	-$5	03-13 14:08
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$54	77	77	+0	Yes	+$8	02-19 13:16
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?	2	$40	28	28	+0	Yes	+$16	02-28 08:15
Will Asana (ASAN) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$36	38	0	+38	Yes	+$3	09-02 08:47
Will GitLab (GTLB) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$33	36	0	+36	Yes	+$3	08-31 17:29
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$27	21	21	+0	No	$0	03-13 12:25
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	2	$26	52	52	+0	Yes	-$2	02-25 16:54
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	2	$24	44	44	+0	Yes	$0	02-26 23:32
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$23	17	17	+0	Yes	+$3	03-03 16:18
orcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 09 2026 1pt71	2	$23	13	13	+0	Yes	+$3	03-10 21:43
will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	2	$23	795	795	+0	No	-$3	02-11 21:59
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$22	25	25	+0	No	+$2	03-11 23:18
adbe quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 12 2026 5pt87	2	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	03-07 18:01
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	2	$20	47	47	+0	Yes	+$2	01-25 22:58
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	2	$20	23	23	+0	No	$0	03-11 11:25
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$19	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$19	01-31 21:02
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	2	$4	5	5	+0	No	$0	02-01 15:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 10:08:00	Will American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0x1a972b…
09-04 10:07:10	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	40¢	$32	0x3e4522…
09-02 08:47:27	Will Asana (ASAN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	38	93¢	$36	0x6c5400…
08-31 17:30:58	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	80	40¢	$32	0x3abe2c…
08-31 17:29:54	Will GitLab (GTLB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	36	93¢	$33	0xa583f1…
03-24 21:09:23	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	2,710	0¢	$8	0xa2296f…
03-23 14:44:41	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	769	1¢	$10	0xb03208…
03-22 11:31:53	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	719	2¢	$12	0x888781…
03-21 19:01:17	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	112	14¢	$16	0x105bc3…
03-20 13:56:11	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xb5c3b3…
03-19 19:21:45	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	39	27¢	$10	0x53b5f7…
03-19 19:21:13	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	47	27¢	$13	0xed1ab2…
03-19 19:20:31	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	95	27¢	$26	0x9a102d…
03-18 21:58:57	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	226	27¢	$61	0x68bdbe…
03-16 06:51:11	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	193	30¢	$57	0x64c4b0…
03-15 22:13:59	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	77	37¢	$29	0xdf5190…
03-15 22:13:35	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	77	37¢	$29	0x4b1165…
03-15 19:41:51	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	154	33¢	$50	0x872ddb…
03-15 19:12:03	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	124	41¢	$51	0x0b8223…
03-15 05:02:21	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	91	36¢	$33	0x588536…
03-14 16:08:31	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x7c3536…
03-14 15:53:03	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	153	28¢	$43	0x03aff0…
03-14 10:03:43	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0x2f0901…
03-13 14:08:09	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	34	35¢	$12	0xbc8a0b…
03-13 12:25:55	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	39	33¢	$13	0x6167ba…
03-13 12:25:43	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	21	63¢	$13	0x9c902b…
03-12 20:34:03	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x049a02…
03-12 19:13:47	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x58b0f5…
03-12 15:40:15	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x22f701…
03-12 14:09:03	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xe489cf…
03-12 05:55:53	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	32	42¢	$13	0xa5c297…
03-12 05:45:07	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0xb53acc…
03-11 23:18:23	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	25	47¢	$12	0x2ea04c…
03-11 21:55:27	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xa62e75…
03-11 19:30:07	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	30	29¢	$9	0x2d3ff5…
03-11 19:03:45	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x7e170f…
03-11 11:27:11	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	21	64¢	$13	0x058b3f…
03-11 11:25:07	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	SELL	23	41¢	$10	0x71540e…
03-11 11:14:43	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x248ca9…
03-11 08:52:17	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	95	43¢	$41	0x5ef3a1…
03-10 21:43:55	orcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 09 2026 1pt71	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x3cffb7…
03-10 13:54:35	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	34	38¢	$13	0x90a50c…
03-09 22:55:41	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x943a5b…
03-09 20:44:45	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x9edfb5…
03-09 19:58:53	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	62	43¢	$27	0x5eeda7…
03-09 12:20:37	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x19f4ad…
03-08 23:17:59	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	98	38¢	$37	0xc209a8…
03-07 18:01:41	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	32	34¢	$11	0x54dc02…
03-07 18:01:27	adbe quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 12 2026 5pt87	Yes	SELL	12	90¢	$10	0x9f2db8…
03-07 15:38:45	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	33	33¢	$11	0x8b055d…
03-07 00:08:27	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x071a6c…
03-06 23:47:33	orcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 09 2026 1pt71	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x324400…
03-06 23:34:49	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	32	30¢	$10	0x37ab3a…
03-06 09:50:43	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x3f541a…
03-06 08:38:47	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	111	29¢	$32	0x26ef91…
03-05 16:04:35	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	58	19¢	$11	0xf3fb2e…
03-05 09:49:35	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	53	15¢	$8	0x11cb08…
03-03 16:53:37	adbe quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 12 2026 5pt87	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xd58692…
03-03 16:18:09	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	17	76¢	$13	0x97fc78…
03-02 22:10:13	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa28c69…
03-02 14:50:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	32	78¢	$26	0x6a6c63…
03-01 13:14:25	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	33	77¢	$25	0x500670…
03-01 00:14:49	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	72	36¢	$26	0xf84a0d…
02-28 19:50:49	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	72	41¢	$30	0x4c752b…
02-28 15:01:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	49	61¢	$30	0x3330d3…
02-28 13:42:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	27	67¢	$18	0x208710…
02-28 10:49:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xe626b5…
02-28 08:15:07	US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xcf4761…
02-27 20:01:51	US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0x123a53…
02-26 23:32:30	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	44	27¢	$12	0x94aaa5…
02-25 21:37:02	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	44	27¢	$12	0x3e4c8a…
02-25 16:54:14	US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	23¢	$12	0xa4038e…
02-23 04:43:02	US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	27¢	$14	0x21eefd…
02-23 04:41:58	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	19	78¢	$15	0x86d898…
02-19 13:20:52	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xaa0563…
02-19 13:16:34	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	56	27¢	$15	0x7d38a3…
02-11 22:00:25	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xa68bcf…
02-11 21:59:59	will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	Yes	SELL	795	1¢	$10	0x26212c…
02-11 21:18:51	will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	Yes	BUY	795	2¢	$13	0x2178fd…
02-03 18:24:38	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	22	72¢	$16	0x7849b6…
02-03 18:24:30	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	52	56¢	$29	0x4ee965…
02-03 18:24:22	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	111	46¢	$51	0x9da622…
02-02 15:54:52	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x7ad3aa…
02-02 15:54:26	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	85	47¢	$40	0xb98e09…
02-01 15:20:56	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x41ee8a…
02-01 15:20:42	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x76db25…
02-01 15:19:36	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1114f2…
02-01 13:09:46	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x840603…
02-01 13:09:38	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd18c00…
01-31 21:02:10	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$19	0x73d239…
01-26 20:54:47	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0x735f62…
01-25 22:58:42	will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	No	SELL	47	23¢	$11	0xda7742…
01-25 21:54:50	will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	No	BUY	47	19¢	$9	0xe9d855…