Bleak-Screenwriting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.04K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.6%

Resolved

4,906

Trades

18,310

lifetime

Volume

$45.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 11-04 06:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 108 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 50% -$1,848

Other

4% 16% -$147

Politics

1% 12% -$42

Tech

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 1857 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 17:50 UTC	83	$274	536	0	+536	Down	-$7	06-23 17:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 20:30 UTC	70	$248	484	0	+484	Down	-$7	06-23 20:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 20:40 UTC	63	$224	439	0	+439	Down	-$11	06-23 20:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 20:35 UTC	61	$215	424	0	+424	Up	-$10	06-23 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 20:45 UTC	52	$200	390	0	+390	Down	-$7	06-23 20:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 17:15 UTC	53	$181	357	0	+357	Up	-$7	06-23 17:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 13:10 UTC	54	$174	350	0	+350	Up	-$5	06-23 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 18:05 UTC	94	$172	369	0	+369	Up	+$8	06-28 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 18:20 UTC	69	$145	300	0	+300	Down	+$5	06-28 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 10:30 UTC	75	$140	288	0	+288	Up	+$0	06-28 10:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 14:30 UTC	48	$132	258	0	+258	Down	-$1	07-06 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 17:45 UTC	43	$128	265	0	+265	Down	-$5	06-23 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 05:20 UTC	43	$118	240	0	+240	Up	-$4	06-24 05:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 20:40 UTC	42	$115	240	0	+240	Down	$0	06-26 20:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 15:15 UTC	51	$112	225	0	+225	Down	+$2	07-06 15:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 18:15 UTC	63	$112	230	0	+230	Down	+$3	06-28 18:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:15 UTC	50	$110	216	0	+216	Down	-$4	10-14 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 17:55 UTC	52	$107	228	0	+228	Down	+$13	06-28 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 18:45 UTC	60	$105	225	0	+225	Down	+$0	06-28 18:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 19:20 UTC	58	$105	234	0	+234	Up	+$4	06-28 19:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 20:05 UTC	27	$100	195	0	+195	Up	-$4	06-23 20:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 10:20 UTC	30	$96	194	0	+194	Up	-$3	06-24 10:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 03:40 UTC	47	$95	194	0	+194	Down	+$9	06-24 03:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 18:10 UTC	48	$95	205	0	+205	Down	$0	06-28 18:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 02:25 UTC	31	$95	199	0	+199	Up	-$1	06-24 02:27
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	9	$95	248	152	+95	No	-$5	08-31 03:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 06:30 UTC	31	$94	193	0	+193	Down	+$3	06-24 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	42	$92	191	0	+191	Down	+$3	10-15 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 05:55 UTC	29	$90	187	0	+187	Up	+$6	06-24 05:59
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10–$2.20 in August?	4	$90	60	60	+0	No	-$1	09-02 05:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 06:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6cec5a…
11-04 06:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3cb90e…
11-04 06:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xad00b6…
11-04 05:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xaa7a10…
11-04 05:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf21650…
11-04 05:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xccf94c…
11-04 05:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xaf7533…
11-04 05:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x910e17…
11-04 05:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x259389…
11-04 04:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3990fc…
11-04 04:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8f5481…
11-04 04:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd9a3ae…
11-04 04:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0d666e…
11-04 04:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3f265f…
11-04 04:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x76e117…
11-04 04:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5b4dae…
11-04 04:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf1aa50…
11-04 04:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9175f9…
11-04 03:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf994a7…
11-04 03:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb25af8…
11-04 02:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7c8e70…
11-04 02:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6a7ef9…
11-04 02:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd11ea0…
11-04 02:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0ea30e…
11-04 02:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x257b71…
11-04 02:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xef3d6d…
11-04 02:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x33daa7…
11-04 02:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	139	1¢	$1	0x3bf550…
11-04 02:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x108311…
11-04 02:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	116	1¢	$1	0x154412…
11-04 02:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x3ad126…
11-04 02:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x62a426…
10-26 02:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7fa31c…
10-26 02:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7417bf…
10-26 01:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x423ebb…
10-26 01:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x946428…
10-26 01:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x14c7a2…
10-25 11:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xbc76ad…
10-25 10:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x45352c…
10-25 09:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x085a86…
10-25 08:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0xfae0d3…
10-25 07:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x80123c…
10-25 06:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa8fe48…
10-25 05:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7c3d3d…
10-25 04:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x73aee2…
10-25 03:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa8c3c6…
10-25 02:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9df31f…
10-25 01:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb4e5a7…
10-25 00:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xc27500…
10-24 23:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xc7fa33…
10-24 20:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x80d027…
10-24 18:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x878f66…
10-24 17:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x54ac20…
10-24 15:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x59837c…
10-24 14:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8ef524…
10-24 13:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x78dd3d…
10-24 12:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xabfae4…
10-24 11:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x62c491…
10-24 10:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0db244…
10-24 09:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc5e767…
10-24 08:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x836aee…
10-24 07:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x4310ef…
10-24 07:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9a5a80…
10-24 05:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x222eff…
10-24 04:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf61117…
10-24 03:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9128f0…
10-24 02:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3c2700…
10-24 01:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xeba56a…
10-24 00:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf7792b…
10-23 23:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa90a97…
10-23 22:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x066bbf…
10-23 21:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1e4cdf…
10-23 20:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2428e5…
10-23 19:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x41d980…
10-23 18:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x43c33d…
10-23 17:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x530c32…
10-23 16:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1bc654…
10-23 15:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x919bd1…
10-23 14:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x996cb4…
10-23 13:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x25e127…
10-23 12:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x63bf8f…
10-23 11:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xcd96fd…
10-23 10:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x555f3f…
10-23 09:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xedda2f…
10-23 08:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x20ee4a…
10-23 08:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x263684…
10-23 07:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0272d1…
10-23 00:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xdb86f4…
10-23 00:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x571ab9…
10-22 18:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0xb833cd…
10-22 17:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x87bb12…
10-21 19:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	42	3¢	$1	0x5c0d49…
10-21 17:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcddaf1…
10-21 17:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x520801…
10-21 17:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x4d9954…
10-21 17:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0e183b…
10-21 16:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0xea55a3…
10-21 16:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8e3486…
10-21 16:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9fabbc…
10-21 13:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdc429c…