Lumpy-Innovation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$46

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved

125

Trades

625

lifetime

Volume

$1.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-13 02:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% $-46

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	9	$42	44	44	+0	Up	$-2	05-11 02:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	8	$25	26	26	+0	Up	$-1	05-11 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	4	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	05-04 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	4	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	05-04 04:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	4	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	05-04 04:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	4	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	05-04 03:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	4	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	05-04 04:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	6	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	05-04 03:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	5	$20	19	19	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	7	$20	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	5	$19	17	17	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 03:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	4	$18	18	18	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 03:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	4	$18	16	16	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	5	$18	16	16	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	6	$18	17	17	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	8	$17	17	17	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 02:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	6	$17	17	17	+1	Up	+$1	05-11 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	5	$17	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	4	$17	17	16	+1	Up	$-0	05-11 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	4	$17	17	16	+1	Up	+$0	05-11 02:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$17	16	16	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	5	$16	16	16	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	4	$16	17	16	+2	Up	+$1	05-07 06:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	5	$16	16	16	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	6	$16	17	16	+1	Down	$-1	05-11 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	4	$16	20	20	+0	open	—	05-04 04:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	5	$15	16	16	+0	Up	$-1	05-09 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	6	$15	17	17	+0	Down	$-2	05-11 17:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	4	$15	15	15	+0	open	—	05-04 05:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	4	$15	15	15	+0	open	—	05-04 05:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 02:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x43938f…
05-13 02:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xe700d5…
05-13 02:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0xfd61de…
05-13 02:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xb7babb…
05-13 02:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xb6a1d8…
05-13 02:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x583df9…
05-13 02:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x8b8553…
05-13 02:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x9340ad…
05-13 02:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xcb5f6d…
05-13 02:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc78961…
05-13 02:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xc1cc90…
05-13 02:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x20e01c…
05-13 02:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xac56f5…
05-13 02:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x63c404…
05-13 02:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x56387c…
05-13 02:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x37749f…
05-13 02:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x7e3974…
05-13 02:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x82f2e3…
05-13 02:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6d3458…
05-13 02:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xf33e94…
05-13 02:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x69fcaf…
05-13 02:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xdc9f12…
05-13 02:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x2a662f…
05-13 02:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x5fc61a…
05-13 01:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x5350c9…
05-13 01:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xc967dc…
05-13 01:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x10d8b4…
05-13 01:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x7d18f8…
05-13 01:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x02a811…
05-12 22:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xfa0e53…
05-12 22:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x4d1baf…
05-12 22:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xea540e…
05-12 22:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x562965…
05-12 22:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xc58c0b…
05-12 22:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x079fad…
05-12 22:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x23d47a…
05-12 22:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x739686…
05-12 22:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x8e84a1…
05-12 22:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x3abc59…
05-12 22:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xd2116b…
05-12 22:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xb5a80a…
05-12 22:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xd760a3…
05-12 22:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9f74f6…
05-12 21:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0xd6aad9…
05-12 21:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x865985…
05-12 21:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xb23ed5…
05-12 21:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xbe39aa…
05-12 21:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa4c33c…
05-12 21:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xd8adae…
05-12 21:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x2a429d…
05-12 21:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x518bd2…
05-12 21:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x35c7d0…
05-12 21:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xc1d2a4…
05-12 21:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x17c700…
05-12 21:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x023696…
05-12 21:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xf4b7bf…
05-12 21:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x85702d…
05-12 21:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcbabea…
05-12 21:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x078e63…
05-12 21:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x638ba2…
05-12 21:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x73447b…
05-12 21:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe765ab…
05-12 21:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x173590…
05-12 21:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x53978d…
05-12 21:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xb82bab…
05-12 21:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x13d355…
05-12 21:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x0d9f5e…
05-12 21:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x75585e…
05-12 21:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x5e90d3…
05-12 21:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xede7ff…
05-12 21:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0xd19d74…
05-12 21:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x394835…
05-12 21:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xb3490f…
05-12 21:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xa0b7af…
05-12 21:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7a49df…
05-12 17:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x8a90ef…
05-12 17:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x2cb910…
05-12 17:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xa3ca54…
05-12 17:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0x103c45…
05-12 17:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x41f1c8…
05-12 17:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa7b268…
05-12 17:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x3ff2a7…
05-12 17:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x738e55…
05-12 17:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xbd3d0c…
05-12 17:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0xf7f023…
05-12 17:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x728bfe…
05-12 17:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x1f82ed…
05-12 17:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x0c2259…
05-12 16:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x739adb…
05-12 16:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x8fdb99…
05-12 15:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0x6f6b8f…
05-12 15:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x21410c…
05-12 15:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xcc542d…
05-12 15:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xbb91b0…
05-12 15:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x9e0ea0…
05-12 15:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x3f3bf8…
05-12 15:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0xf0563a…
05-12 15:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x633653…
05-12 15:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x003a5b…
05-12 15:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x107c64…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	176	$50.8K	7,774	05-13 02:44
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	176	$46.7K	6,933	05-13 02:44
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	176	$46.4K	13,028	05-13 02:44
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	176	$41.5K	11,480	05-13 02:44
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	174	$105.1K	15,827	05-13 02:44
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	173	$185.1K	5,995	05-13 02:45
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	173	$69.1K	6,132	05-13 02:44
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	170	$20.3K	2,255	05-13 02:44