Lumpy-Innovation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.9%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

1,135 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$141

$3.22K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 11-13 09:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 49% +$18

Other

8% 48% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	9	$42	44	44	+0	Up	-$2	05-11 02:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	8	$25	26	26	+0	Up	-$1	05-11 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	4	$22	20	20	+0	Down	+$2	05-04 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	4	$21	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	05-04 04:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	4	$21	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	05-04 04:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	4	$20	20	20	+0	Up	+$0	05-04 03:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	4	$20	20	20	+0	Up	+$0	05-04 04:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	6	$20	20	20	+0	Up	$0	05-04 03:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	5	$20	19	19	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	7	$20	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 14:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	5	$19	20	20	+0	Up	$0	05-04 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	5	$19	17	17	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 03:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	4	$18	18	18	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 03:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	4	$18	16	16	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	5	$18	16	16	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	6	$18	17	17	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	8	$17	17	17	+0	Down	$0	05-11 02:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	6	$17	17	17	+1	Up	+$1	05-11 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	5	$17	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	4	$17	17	16	+1	Up	$0	05-11 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	4	$17	17	16	+1	Up	+$0	05-11 02:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$17	16	16	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	5	$16	16	16	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	4	$16	17	16	+2	Up	+$1	05-07 06:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	5	$16	16	16	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	6	$16	17	16	+1	Down	-$1	05-11 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	4	$16	20	20	+0	Down	-$4	05-04 04:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	5	$15	16	16	+0	Up	-$1	05-09 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	6	$15	17	17	+0	Down	-$2	05-11 17:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	4	$15	15	15	+0	Down	$0	05-04 05:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 09:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7fd428…
11-13 00:40:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xf6acf4…
11-12 07:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x94fef3…
11-12 07:13:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xb4ee2b…
11-12 05:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x97367a…
11-11 20:08:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xdde6af…
11-11 19:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x06a094…
11-11 16:36:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x53910f…
11-11 13:56:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xe4ffc0…
11-11 08:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xf14697…
11-11 07:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xd462df…
11-11 07:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x250cbb…
11-11 04:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xa8e2af…
11-10 23:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x66e4b9…
11-10 15:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xcbbb91…
11-10 09:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xaf5954…
11-10 08:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd67dac…
11-10 07:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x5352b0…
11-10 03:31:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x633b99…
11-09 23:14:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x730b4b…
11-09 15:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x53cc0b…
11-09 14:35:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x229707…
11-07 19:43:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x6bf3b1…
11-07 18:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x01a7f9…
11-07 15:50:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x135b2f…
11-07 15:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x91ab06…
11-07 14:53:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x166c3e…
11-07 14:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xc5e8e9…
11-07 14:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x2c1a85…
11-07 14:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x59d598…
11-07 12:48:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x49faa2…
11-07 12:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x16e5b7…
11-07 11:28:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xa3e48a…
11-07 11:07:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xa3fa8d…
11-07 10:48:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x1205f7…
11-07 09:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x26ae6e…
11-07 08:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x86c274…
11-07 08:01:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x376fc7…
11-07 07:18:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x83532f…
11-07 06:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xd1fc32…
11-07 05:58:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x5cdc2a…
11-07 05:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x46ab75…
11-07 05:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x15d037…
11-07 03:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x14cfb3…
11-07 03:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xc0aafd…
11-07 02:32:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x2e9a18…
11-06 17:43:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x4d43e9…
11-06 02:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x6b551c…
11-05 13:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x5a973e…
11-05 12:40:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x1d0ed0…
11-05 09:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xd96d67…
11-05 07:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x042f08…
11-05 07:06:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x0a0e72…
11-05 04:37:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xc6ba65…
11-05 02:28:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x93a095…
11-04 21:48:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x9adb45…
11-04 17:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x9d21f4…
11-04 16:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xb27319…
11-04 14:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x6d0ba4…
11-04 12:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xba0d52…
11-04 05:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x86f316…
11-04 05:40:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x3e2b43…
11-04 03:05:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x167b1a…
11-03 16:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x145880…
11-03 16:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x19510e…
09-27 03:15:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xf1ca23…
09-27 02:01:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x324be2…
09-26 23:43:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x2cd37c…
09-26 22:56:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x8bbc6b…
09-26 22:30:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xe96faf…
09-26 21:46:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x5781b9…
09-26 20:50:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x32cf9d…
09-26 20:12:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x692112…
09-26 20:04:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4e6365…
09-26 18:32:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x8ab514…
09-26 18:01:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x4bebf2…
09-26 17:32:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x160fae…
09-26 16:50:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xc4dfb6…
09-26 16:15:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xa00cae…
09-26 15:45:20	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4da0ed…
09-26 15:23:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x883a74…
09-26 15:02:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x7e1d7a…
09-26 14:45:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xbdbed4…
09-26 14:17:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x7ee21a…
09-26 14:10:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x554982…
09-26 13:17:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x406f8f…
09-26 11:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x71ca61…
09-26 11:26:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xca7427…
09-26 10:56:50	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xc6fe6b…
09-26 10:55:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xf2776f…
09-26 10:31:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x643292…
09-26 10:23:20	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x644768…
09-26 10:07:33	Solana Up or Down - September 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x6e37ca…
09-26 09:03:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xe0ffe5…
09-26 08:45:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xdc0cf9…
09-26 07:51:35	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x3c2b86…
09-26 07:33:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x6027c9…
09-26 07:25:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x209dd3…
09-26 06:46:50	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x437eb5…
09-26 06:46:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1275ee…