Worse-Amount — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

91.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$50.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$970

Open exposure

$35

1 position

First seen

2026-03-09

last 07-01 08:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 100% +$3

Politics

26% 0% —

Other

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No		-36	$-35	99¢	$-35	$-1	06-15 01:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	9	$7.5K	4,638	3,572	+1,066	open	—	03-13 13:27
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	16	$4.3K	2,243	2,243	+0	open	—	03-13 05:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	1	$3.3K	3,269	0	+3,269	open	—	04-29 01:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	1	$3.3K	3,266	0	+3,266	open	—	04-27 01:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 26?	1	$3.3K	3,263	0	+3,263	open	—	04-25 01:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 3?	1	$3.3K	3,262	0	+3,262	open	—	05-01 09:23
bitcoin above 68k on april 24	1	$3.3K	3,260	0	+3,260	open	—	04-23 01:13
bitcoin above 66k on april 22	1	$3.3K	3,257	0	+3,257	open	—	04-21 01:09
ethereum above 2000 on april 20	1	$3.3K	3,254	0	+3,254	open	—	04-20 07:50
will ethereum reach 2700 april 13 19	1	$3.2K	3,251	0	+3,251	open	—	04-19 06:29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$3.2K	3,221	0	+3,221	open	—	05-15 12:41
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$2.1K	1,416	1,416	+0	open	—	03-13 13:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 6?	1	$2.0K	2,020	0	+2,020	Yes	+$2	05-04 01:36
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	1	$1.1K	1,123	0	+1,123	open	—	03-09 07:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 6?	1	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Yes	+$1	05-04 01:36
bitcoin above 62k on march 12	1	$1.1K	1,064	0	+1,064	open	—	03-12 10:02
bitcoin above 84k on march 11	1	$1.1K	1,063	0	+1,063	open	—	03-10 10:07
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	2	$310	155	155	+0	No	+$0	05-07 01:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	2	$308	154	154	+0	No	+$0	05-04 01:53
Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026?	2	$83	49	49	+0	open	—	07-01 01:11
will city protocol launch a token by june 30 2026	2	$72	37	37	+0	open	—	06-16 05:53
will epic games valuation hit high 13pt5 by july 31 20260629184732965	1	$44	84	0	+84	open	—	07-01 08:01
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	03-16 07:56
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	1	$35	0	36	-36	open	—	06-15 01:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 08:01:55	will epic games valuation hit high 13pt5 by july 31 20260629184732965	Yes	BUY	84	53¢	$44	0xd767ce…
07-01 01:11:31	Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	49	91¢	$45	0xed3822…
06-18 10:21:07	Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	49	77¢	$38	0xea8895…
06-16 05:53:30	will city protocol launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0x1588ea…
06-16 04:48:45	will city protocol launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x5ae4bd…
06-15 01:25:24	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0xcc9977…
05-15 12:41:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3,221	100¢	$3,217	0x429cab…
05-07 01:58:37	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0xe33132…
05-04 02:27:12	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x83b44b…
05-04 01:53:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	SELL	154	100¢	$154	0xef6a3d…
05-04 01:36:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0x83d22a…
05-04 01:36:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1,100	100¢	$1,099	0xe53f4d…
05-04 01:36:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2,020	100¢	$2,018	0xef3580…
05-01 09:23:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	3,262	100¢	$3,259	0x4a6905…
04-29 01:20:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	BUY	3,269	100¢	$3,266	0x84646d…
04-27 01:23:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3,266	100¢	$3,263	0x8f802f…
04-25 01:01:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	3,263	100¢	$3,260	0x7785d8…
04-23 01:13:02	bitcoin above 68k on april 24	Yes	BUY	3,260	100¢	$3,257	0x25eb9d…
04-21 01:09:10	bitcoin above 66k on april 22	Yes	BUY	3,257	100¢	$3,254	0x078341…
04-20 07:50:38	ethereum above 2000 on april 20	Yes	BUY	3,254	100¢	$3,251	0x5bd4a0…
04-19 06:29:20	will ethereum reach 2700 april 13 19	No	BUY	3,251	100¢	$3,248	0xdec26d…
03-16 07:56:17	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x75e571…
03-13 13:27:43	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	1,066	97¢	$1,034	0x9fb66a…
03-13 13:06:39	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	1,416	73¢	$1,034	0xfd1b03…
03-13 11:52:05	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	1,416	75¢	$1,062	0x51c66c…
03-13 07:30:29	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	SELL	1,104	96¢	$1,062	0x1b45a9…
03-13 07:22:31	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	524	96¢	$505	0xf0882d…
03-13 06:53:13	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	380	96¢	$366	0xbbe9eb…
03-13 05:57:07	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	200	97¢	$193	0xfa12cb…
03-13 05:08:39	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x1fc8ce…
03-13 04:36:27	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x6eb65a…
03-13 04:33:41	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x1dc527…
03-13 03:19:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x74ab6b…
03-13 03:16:43	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0xeab15c…
03-13 03:16:43	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0xd829c8…
03-13 03:16:43	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	23	95¢	$21	0x9e0e76…
03-13 03:16:43	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	99	95¢	$94	0x5b11f6…
03-13 03:16:43	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x141f44…
03-13 03:16:43	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x0f890a…
03-13 03:06:37	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	921	95¢	$874	0x0d4818…
03-13 02:58:57	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	310	95¢	$294	0xbc390f…
03-13 02:58:27	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x07f7a5…
03-13 02:58:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xcfcfdf…
03-13 02:57:49	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	602	95¢	$571	0x0d0e15…
03-13 02:44:39	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	922	95¢	$874	0xeef324…
03-12 10:02:21	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	Yes	BUY	1,064	100¢	$1,063	0xc5aef2…
03-10 10:07:09	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	No	BUY	1,063	100¢	$1,061	0x75fabc…
03-10 01:19:37	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	SELL	1,220	87¢	$1,061	0xfb315c…
03-10 01:19:07	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	1,220	90¢	$1,098	0xf987ba…
03-10 01:18:15	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	SELL	1,248	88¢	$1,098	0x71cd2d…
03-10 01:17:51	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	1,248	90¢	$1,123	0x322cd6…
03-09 07:58:39	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	1,123	100¢	$1,122	0xf40fc8…