Self-Assured-Galoshes — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$233

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 16:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$42	24	24	+0	open	—	05-05 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$25	17	25	-9	open	—	05-05 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$24	0	33	-33	open	—	05-05 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$16	18	6	+12	open	—	05-05 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$15	38	0	+38	open	—	05-05 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$13	0	20	-20	open	—	05-05 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	05-05 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	05-05 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	05-05 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	05-05 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$8	0	54	-54	Up	+$8	05-04 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$8	0	10	-10	Up	$-2	05-04 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$7	0	10	-10	Up	$-3	05-04 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$6	0	6	-6	Up	$-0	05-04 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$6	40	0	+40	open	—	05-05 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	05-05 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$5	30	0	+30	open	—	05-05 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-05 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$3	0	45	-45	Down	+$3	05-05 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$1	0	8	-8	Down	+$1	05-04 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$0	0	7	-7	open	—	05-05 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$0	0	31	-31	Down	+$0	05-04 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$0	0	15	-15	open	—	05-05 16:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 16:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0xa630ae…
05-05 16:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0xb0d88a…
05-05 16:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xfbd683…
05-05 16:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x0b3731…
05-05 15:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	33	74¢	$24	0xb18831…
05-05 14:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xb87350…
05-05 14:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x15940b…
05-05 13:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5a5307…
05-05 13:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe64a10…
05-05 13:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x19b68b…
05-05 13:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x75a8f5…
05-05 13:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	24	92¢	$22	0xbc1bd9…
05-05 13:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x0e7382…
05-05 13:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xb663ba…
05-05 12:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xbfe5ff…
05-05 12:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x6f18fa…
05-05 12:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x8db681…
05-05 12:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	25	59¢	$15	0x465e0d…
05-05 12:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x546d9d…
05-05 12:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xea4740…
05-05 00:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	45	7¢	$3	0xc7e6a0…
05-04 23:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x23263b…
05-04 23:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0xbff12a…
05-04 21:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x49cd2a…
05-04 20:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x09ea9a…
05-04 20:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	54	16¢	$8	0x13e38f…
05-04 20:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0x1eb8e0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	22	$3.71K	114	05-05 16:59
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	17	$988	82	05-05 16:59
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	17	$637	53	05-05 16:59
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	16	$1.94K	69	05-05 16:57
Angry-Culvert 0xa867…f165	16	$1.49K	259	05-05 16:59
Suspicious-Comedy 0x6e58…b5b1	16	$700	49	05-05 16:57
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	13	$1.11K	56	05-05 16:57
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	13	$1.10K	55	05-05 16:59