Nimble-Deliberation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$72

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

576

Trades

2,471

lifetime

Volume

$6.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 06-01 09:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 60% $-64

Other

2% 0% $-8

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 388 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	26	$52	55	40	+15	open	—	04-30 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	7	$40	35	21	+14	open	—	05-03 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	11	$33	35	20	+15	open	—	04-30 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	3	$32	52	5	+47	open	—	05-16 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	12	$29	30	18	+12	open	—	04-30 04:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	11	$26	30	25	+5	Down	$-2	05-13 04:34
Will LOUD qualify to MSI 2026?	2	$25	55	55	+0	open	—	04-20 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	10	$24	25	25	+0	open	—	05-16 00:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	13	$24	58	58	+0	open	—	05-08 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	5	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	05-03 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	7	$21	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	5	$20	15	10	+5	open	—	05-14 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	6	$20	65	15	+50	Up	+$0	05-12 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	10	$19	28	28	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	5	$19	15	10	+5	Up	+$2	05-13 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	6	$19	15	15	+0	Up	$-1	05-05 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$18	15	10	+5	Up	+$1	05-10 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	4	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 02:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	4	$18	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	6	$17	15	15	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	8	$17	20	20	+0	Down	$-2	05-13 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	8	$17	15	15	+0	Down	$-2	05-05 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	5	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	5	$17	15	10	+5	Down	$-1	05-12 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	4	$16	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	4	$16	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-14 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	4	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	6	$16	15	10	+5	open	—	04-30 04:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 09:11:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xa6ce27…
06-01 07:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x87c511…
06-01 07:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xc1e5e0…
06-01 05:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x7f53e7…
06-01 05:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x69d55b…
06-01 05:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7e3afe…
06-01 05:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x07004a…
06-01 05:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x8484f9…
06-01 05:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x32b5df…
06-01 05:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xfcb30d…
06-01 05:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x17f43e…
06-01 05:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xaba1a6…
06-01 05:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf41312…
06-01 05:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x4944d1…
06-01 04:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xddd65f…
06-01 04:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x663558…
06-01 04:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x678792…
06-01 04:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd82cd6…
06-01 04:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x70d030…
06-01 04:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbcafce…
06-01 04:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xddfa09…
06-01 04:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xb75fe7…
06-01 04:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x489819…
06-01 04:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xb8ef21…
06-01 04:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa76fe3…
06-01 04:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7d4aca…
06-01 04:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe318b1…
06-01 04:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xec9074…
06-01 04:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x29ec5b…
06-01 04:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa04358…
06-01 04:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb427b3…
06-01 03:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe87e8f…
06-01 03:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4f5296…
06-01 03:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdde211…
06-01 03:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x840777…
06-01 03:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x678f6d…
06-01 03:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x72927f…
06-01 03:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x768809…
06-01 03:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x6c2e60…
06-01 03:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x5f2a77…
06-01 03:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x230d21…
06-01 03:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xf78c65…
06-01 03:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf2abc8…
06-01 03:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x26de6a…
06-01 03:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xfdb2fe…
06-01 03:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x28dbdb…
06-01 03:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x52aa19…
06-01 03:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9fc96b…
06-01 03:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd42ca0…
06-01 03:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x98fbfd…
06-01 03:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xe7dbdc…
06-01 03:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x1d36f3…
06-01 03:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x210cba…
06-01 03:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb5be31…
05-31 17:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x1d1eef…
05-31 17:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x8a4d30…
05-31 17:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xa1d565…
05-31 17:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x9e4b39…
05-31 17:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xca8b78…
05-31 17:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xbd8df3…
05-31 17:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe72bb0…
05-31 17:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x7f522b…
05-31 17:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1552c6…
05-31 16:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xa29ac1…
05-31 16:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1e1b0e…
05-31 16:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xda6315…
05-31 16:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x3e3a35…
05-31 16:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x46b236…
05-31 16:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa44d70…
05-31 16:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x2ffacd…
05-31 08:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x826b6a…
05-31 08:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0x222e00…
05-31 08:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5dc844…
05-31 08:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x6d14a2…
05-31 08:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	56¢	$0	0xcd24da…
05-28 09:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2dd527…
05-28 09:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb663fe…
05-28 08:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x53a571…
05-26 19:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x4e9f80…
05-26 19:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd394d9…
05-25 21:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9616b3…
05-25 21:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8defff…
05-25 21:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x755395…
05-25 21:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc6e1c9…
05-25 20:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x90836e…
05-25 20:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x859e3c…
05-25 20:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5aac88…
05-25 19:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x157cb6…
05-25 19:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x532907…
05-18 21:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xc8d9ca…
05-17 04:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4c660f…
05-17 04:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbb794b…
05-17 04:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe38e26…
05-17 03:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xfb6902…
05-17 03:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc9e5d3…
05-17 03:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9f2ee5…
05-17 03:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x28f638…
05-17 03:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa5533b…
05-17 03:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x86fa46…
05-17 03:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc3c238…