Nimble-Deliberation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$72

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

576

Trades

2,528

lifetime

Volume

$6.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 06-13 19:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 60% $-64

Other

2% 0% $-8

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 388 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	26	$52	55	40	+15	open	—	04-30 03:33
btc updown 5m 1781378400	18	$50	89	0	+89	open	—	06-13 19:23
btc updown 5m 1781298000	22	$43	85	0	+85	open	—	06-12 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	7	$40	35	21	+14	open	—	05-03 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	11	$33	35	20	+15	open	—	04-30 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	3	$32	52	5	+47	open	—	05-16 01:04
btc updown 5m 1781295300	17	$31	81	0	+81	open	—	06-12 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	12	$29	30	18	+12	open	—	04-30 04:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	11	$26	30	25	+5	Down	$-2	05-13 04:34
Will LOUD qualify to MSI 2026?	2	$25	55	55	+0	open	—	04-20 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	10	$24	25	25	+0	open	—	05-16 00:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	13	$24	58	58	+0	open	—	05-08 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	5	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	05-03 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	7	$21	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	5	$20	15	10	+5	open	—	05-14 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	6	$20	65	15	+50	Up	+$0	05-12 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	10	$19	28	28	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	5	$19	15	10	+5	Up	+$2	05-13 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	6	$19	15	15	+0	Up	$-1	05-05 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$18	15	10	+5	Up	+$1	05-10 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	4	$18	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	4	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 02:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	6	$17	15	15	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	8	$17	20	20	+0	Down	$-2	05-13 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	8	$17	15	15	+0	Down	$-2	05-05 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	5	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	5	$17	15	10	+5	Down	$-1	05-12 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	4	$16	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 01:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 19:23:54	btc updown 5m 1781378400	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x88ded4…
06-13 19:23:54	btc updown 5m 1781378400	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x304ded…
06-13 19:23:48	btc updown 5m 1781378400	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xea6967…
06-13 19:23:37	btc updown 5m 1781378400	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xc19a95…
06-13 19:23:37	btc updown 5m 1781378400	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5afaca…
06-13 19:23:36	btc updown 5m 1781378400	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xb3b83c…
06-13 19:23:36	btc updown 5m 1781378400	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x21969f…
06-13 19:23:34	btc updown 5m 1781378400	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x94cb99…
06-13 19:22:42	btc updown 5m 1781378400	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x21476e…
06-13 19:21:58	btc updown 5m 1781378400	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf23f02…
06-13 19:21:57	btc updown 5m 1781378400	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4ee7b4…
06-13 19:21:54	btc updown 5m 1781378400	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x157b2a…
06-13 19:21:52	btc updown 5m 1781378400	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xfc5f7d…
06-13 19:21:48	btc updown 5m 1781378400	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x034a47…
06-13 19:21:40	btc updown 5m 1781378400	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc64552…
06-13 19:21:40	btc updown 5m 1781378400	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xa92178…
06-13 19:21:15	btc updown 5m 1781378400	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xf3e009…
06-13 19:20:37	btc updown 5m 1781378400	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x67769d…
06-12 21:03:21	btc updown 5m 1781298000	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb53724…
06-12 21:02:58	btc updown 5m 1781298000	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xbd5770…
06-12 21:02:58	btc updown 5m 1781298000	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xb41330…
06-12 21:02:58	btc updown 5m 1781298000	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x982fce…
06-12 21:02:52	btc updown 5m 1781298000	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5324d4…
06-12 21:02:51	btc updown 5m 1781298000	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x685402…
06-12 21:02:49	btc updown 5m 1781298000	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x59f23e…
06-12 21:02:46	btc updown 5m 1781298000	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x604917…
06-12 21:01:49	btc updown 5m 1781298000	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xaa2e1a…
06-12 21:01:46	btc updown 5m 1781298000	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x3acaf4…
06-12 21:01:39	btc updown 5m 1781298000	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x24b677…
06-12 21:01:15	btc updown 5m 1781298000	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x8dc5c3…
06-12 21:01:13	btc updown 5m 1781298000	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x334ebd…
06-12 21:01:12	btc updown 5m 1781298000	Down	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0xe1fc94…
06-12 21:01:12	btc updown 5m 1781298000	Down	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x9c22df…
06-12 21:01:10	btc updown 5m 1781298000	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xba4348…
06-12 21:01:04	btc updown 5m 1781298000	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x9cbbd9…
06-12 21:01:03	btc updown 5m 1781298000	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0xf807e1…
06-12 21:01:03	btc updown 5m 1781298000	Down	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x500926…
06-12 21:00:55	btc updown 5m 1781298000	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xf2c786…
06-12 21:00:55	btc updown 5m 1781298000	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xdc2274…
06-12 21:00:34	btc updown 5m 1781298000	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x344211…
06-12 20:18:19	btc updown 5m 1781295300	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x654fc3…
06-12 20:18:10	btc updown 5m 1781295300	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x4c2203…
06-12 20:18:09	btc updown 5m 1781295300	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x11c8e2…
06-12 20:18:07	btc updown 5m 1781295300	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc28069…
06-12 20:17:57	btc updown 5m 1781295300	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x3f70cf…
06-12 20:17:55	btc updown 5m 1781295300	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcb38aa…
06-12 20:17:36	btc updown 5m 1781295300	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x6ae25e…
06-12 20:17:18	btc updown 5m 1781295300	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xd6063b…
06-12 20:17:15	btc updown 5m 1781295300	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x0075f4…
06-12 20:17:10	btc updown 5m 1781295300	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc50c5e…
06-12 20:16:37	btc updown 5m 1781295300	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xfd4538…
06-12 20:16:36	btc updown 5m 1781295300	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xa22857…
06-12 20:16:09	btc updown 5m 1781295300	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9b4f3b…
06-12 20:15:34	btc updown 5m 1781295300	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xe7399b…
06-12 20:15:34	btc updown 5m 1781295300	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x3dab8f…
06-01 09:11:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xa6ce27…
06-01 07:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x87c511…
06-01 07:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xc1e5e0…
06-01 05:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x7f53e7…
06-01 05:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x69d55b…
06-01 05:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7e3afe…
06-01 05:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x07004a…
06-01 05:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x8484f9…
06-01 05:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x32b5df…
06-01 05:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xfcb30d…
06-01 05:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x17f43e…
06-01 05:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xaba1a6…
06-01 05:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf41312…
06-01 05:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x4944d1…
06-01 04:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xddd65f…
06-01 04:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x663558…
06-01 04:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x678792…
06-01 04:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd82cd6…
06-01 04:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x70d030…
06-01 04:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbcafce…
06-01 04:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xddfa09…
06-01 04:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xb75fe7…
06-01 04:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x489819…
06-01 04:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xb8ef21…
06-01 04:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa76fe3…
06-01 04:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7d4aca…
06-01 04:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe318b1…
06-01 04:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xec9074…
06-01 04:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x29ec5b…
06-01 04:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa04358…
06-01 04:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb427b3…
06-01 03:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe87e8f…
06-01 03:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4f5296…
06-01 03:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdde211…
06-01 03:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x840777…
06-01 03:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x678f6d…
06-01 03:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x72927f…
06-01 03:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x768809…
06-01 03:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x6c2e60…
06-01 03:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x5f2a77…
06-01 03:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x230d21…
06-01 03:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xf78c65…
06-01 03:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf2abc8…
06-01 03:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x26de6a…
06-01 03:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xfdb2fe…