Grown-Thunderstorm-Diarist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$77

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-14 14:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 18% $-3

Sports

2% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	2	$19	17	17	+0	open	—	05-14 06:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12AM ET	4	$9	17	10	+7	Down	+$3	05-09 04:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8AM ET	3	$9	15	9	+6	open	—	05-14 12:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	4	$8	8	8	+0	Down	+$4	05-09 06:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 13:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10AM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	05-14 14:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	4	$5	14	10	+5	Down	$-1	05-14 03:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1AM ET	2	$2	34	0	+34	open	—	05-14 05:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3AM ET	2	$2	8	0	+8	Up	$-2	05-09 07:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	2	$2	12	0	+12	Up	$-2	05-09 03:11
Ethereum Up or Down on May 9?	2	$2	7	7	+0	Up	$-0	05-09 06:53
UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-09 08:00
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	10	10	+0	open	—	05-09 07:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	1	$1	12	0	+12	Down	$-1	05-09 03:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10PM ET	1	$1	17	0	+17	Down	$-1	05-14 02:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	05-14 04:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-09 03:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	1	$1	33	0	+33	Down	$-1	05-09 03:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-09 03:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 14:09:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x681bb0…
05-14 13:18:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x979988…
05-14 12:33:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x44ef28…
05-14 12:30:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0x34e82e…
05-14 12:19:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x18f382…
05-14 06:59:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	17	72¢	$12	0xee486e…
05-14 06:04:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x669902…
05-14 05:35:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xec8d1d…
05-14 05:34:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xcb8d83…
05-14 04:09:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2f0781…
05-14 03:37:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x74e059…
05-14 03:36:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x579ec1…
05-14 03:21:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x063e21…
05-14 03:21:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x20f047…
05-14 02:43:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa09013…
05-09 08:00:59	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	No	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xd2dc31…
05-09 07:31:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3b14f8…
05-09 07:22:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6925e2…
05-09 07:17:00	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xe75d0a…
05-09 06:53:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x23be7e…
05-09 06:53:01	Ethereum Up or Down on May 9?	Down	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x392a7a…
05-09 06:51:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x48db35…
05-09 06:31:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0209ef…
05-09 06:25:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5d95f8…
05-09 06:20:06	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x44b066…
05-09 06:13:55	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7cf4c0…
05-09 05:52:16	Ethereum Up or Down on May 9?	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x5347da…
05-09 04:52:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3ee4af…
05-09 04:42:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x809e40…
05-09 04:39:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x463237…
05-09 04:08:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5cec16…
05-09 03:46:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa90449…
05-09 03:31:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1694bd…
05-09 03:28:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x47521e…
05-09 03:17:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3824c2…
05-09 03:11:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4dacf6…
05-09 03:08:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4ca46d…