Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9AM ET
open
Total volume
$1,803
Trades
106
Unique wallets
39
Liquidity
$8,467
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 13:56
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+15.9¢
(top1%: 35% YES on $589
vs crowd: 19% YES on $1.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $207 | $103 | +$103 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $36 | $417 | $381 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 33 | $94 | $896 | $802 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $207 | $382 | $175 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $54 | $464 | $410 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $2 | $13 | $10 |
| Median | 3 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 8 | $5 | $219 | $214 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $27 | $96 | $69 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $1 | $216 | $215 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $22 | $22 |
| unranked | 3 | $40 | — | +$40 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +605 | $207 | $207 | 18 | 05-14 13:38 |
| Optimal-Chili 0x9107…b6e0 | Down | +379 | $219 | $219 | 1 | 05-14 12:59 |
| Tired-Art 0xa64d…cad1 | Down | +314 | $279 | $279 | 6 | 05-14 13:36 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +233 | $103 | $103 | 10 | 05-14 13:51 |
| Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Up | +111 | $36 | $36 | 7 | 05-14 13:50 |
| Sandy-Precipitation 0x2ea0…d448 | Down | +110 | $105 | $105 | 1 | 05-14 13:53 |
| Tough-Drama-Mechanism 0x5d66…25e0 | Down | +110 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 05-14 13:53 |
| Lost-Prostacyclin 0x54d5…6844 | Up | +109 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-14 13:19 |
| Irresponsible-Machine 0xf609…7295 | Down | +109 | $103 | $103 | 1 | 05-14 13:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | Down | +106 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 05-13 02:41 |
| Evergreen-Willow 0xe036…447e | Down | +105 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-14 13:53 |
| Foolhardy-Store 0x160c…169f | Down | +104 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-14 13:53 |
| Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Down | +91 | $82 | $82 | 5 | 05-14 13:41 |
| Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Down | +68 | $53 | $53 | 5 | 05-14 13:49 |
| Bountiful-Beet 0x6346…4950 | Down | +40 | $29 | $29 | 4 | 05-14 13:50 |
| Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Down | +32 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-14 13:33 |
| Substantial-Asterisk 0x70b0…65c8 | Up | +28 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-14 13:20 |
| Mellow-Dandelion 0xcb91…0c8f | Up | +27 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 13:20 |
| Sniveling-Fringe 0x29c3…26b9 | Up | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 13:49 |
| Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a | Down | +13 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 13:33 |
| Thin-Hardboard 0xb34d…8387 | Down | +12 | $6 | $13 | 4 | 05-14 13:45 |
| Euphoric-Credibility 0xa6b7…c718 | Down | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 13:56 |
| Grown-Thunderstorm-Diarist 0xbacd…436d | Up | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 13:18 |
| Feisty-Time 0x800c…4866 | Up | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 13:33 |
| Substantial-Asterisk 0x70b0…65c8 | Down | +10 | $3 | $12 | 3 | 05-14 13:27 |
| Ordinary-Woman 0x7936…b12d | Up | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 13:09 |
| Insistent-Institution-Streetcar 0xd543…f65b | Down | +9 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-14 13:43 |
| Tired-Art 0xa64d…cad1 | Up | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 13:54 |
| Playful-Toll 0x52fc…7f0a | Down | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 13:20 |
| Woeful-Plagiarism 0xa69b…d844 | Down | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 13:36 |
| Dull-Termination 0xc8e4…ce17 | Down | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 13:45 |
| Awful-Prescription 0x87bd…9712 | Up | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 12:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Down | +4 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-14 13:51 |
| Perfumed-Sisterinlaw 0x5d14…b900 | Down | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 13:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x3115…75af | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 12:59 |
| Timely-Patina 0x7d47…15b5 | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 13:07 |
| General-Redesign 0x1591…9bc9 | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 13:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 13:56:05 | Euphoric-Credibility 0xa6b7…c718 | Down | BUY | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0xfda85c… |
| 05-14 13:54:16 | Tired-Art 0xa64d…cad1 | Up | BUY | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x22636a… |
| 05-14 13:53:20 | (anonymous) 0x015f…5c93 | Up | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x29e7f4… |
| 05-14 13:53:20 | Sandy-Precipitation 0x2ea0…d448 | Down | BUY | 110 | 95¢ | $105 | 0x54ab4e… |
| 05-14 13:53:17 | Tough-Drama-Mechanism 0x5d66…25e0 | Down | BUY | 110 | 94¢ | $104 | 0x76518b… |
| 05-14 13:53:15 | Irresponsible-Machine 0xf609…7295 | Down | BUY | 109 | 94¢ | $103 | 0x1f1bfb… |
| 05-14 13:53:15 | Foolhardy-Store 0x160c…169f | Down | BUY | 104 | 96¢ | $100 | 0x6ea0f1… |
| 05-14 13:53:13 | Evergreen-Willow 0xe036…447e | Down | BUY | 105 | 95¢ | $100 | 0xd2bf89… |
| 05-14 13:51:06 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x680aca… |
| 05-14 13:51:04 | (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Down | BUY | 3 | 78¢ | $2 | 0xd239ae… |
| 05-14 13:50:53 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0x63eac6… |
| 05-14 13:50:52 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Up | BUY | 10 | 29¢ | $3 | 0xbe3b55… |
| 05-14 13:50:52 | Bountiful-Beet 0x6346…4950 | Down | BUY | 10 | 73¢ | $7 | 0xf8592b… |
| 05-14 13:50:52 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 14 | 73¢ | $10 | 0x3c24a4… |
| 05-14 13:49:31 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Up | BUY | 14 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x28c96c… |
| 05-14 13:49:22 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Down | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0x92cf31… |
| 05-14 13:49:21 | Sniveling-Fringe 0x29c3…26b9 | Up | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x796327… |
| 05-14 13:48:12 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Up | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x9bf48f… |
| 05-14 13:46:06 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Up | BUY | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x15e38b… |
| 05-14 13:46:05 | Bountiful-Beet 0x6346…4950 | Down | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0x440479… |
| 05-14 13:46:05 | Bountiful-Beet 0x6346…4950 | Down | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0xef9fec… |
| 05-14 13:45:51 | (anonymous) 0x250e…fba3 | Down | SELL | 3 | 78¢ | $2 | 0x7498cf… |
| 05-14 13:45:49 | Dull-Termination 0xc8e4…ce17 | Down | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x331d14… |
| 05-14 13:45:45 | Thin-Hardboard 0xb34d…8387 | Down | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0xa829a5… |
| 05-14 13:44:28 | Bare-Belief 0x2fb3…2da0 | Down | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x7b1c06… |
| 05-14 13:43:04 | Insistent-Institution-Streetcar 0xd543…f65b | Down | BUY | 4 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x7b77f6… |
| 05-14 13:41:07 | Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Down | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0xc02509… |
| 05-14 13:41:05 | Insistent-Institution-Streetcar 0xd543…f65b | Down | BUY | 4 | 91¢ | $4 | 0x1f086e… |
| 05-14 13:41:00 | Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Down | BUY | 33 | 91¢ | $30 | 0x2b3723… |
| 05-14 13:40:58 | General-Redesign 0x1591…9bc9 | Down | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xccb8e8… |
| 05-14 13:40:57 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Up | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xabc999… |
| 05-14 13:40:55 | Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Down | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x48876a… |
| 05-14 13:40:51 | Rare-Law 0xb206…328e | Down | SELL | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0xf9983b… |
| 05-14 13:40:46 | Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Down | BUY | 18 | 91¢ | $17 | 0x5875a0… |
| 05-14 13:39:29 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Down | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x97329d… |
| 05-14 13:38:21 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x24a929… |
| 05-14 13:38:14 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 30 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xa5d086… |
| 05-14 13:36:10 | Tired-Art 0xa64d…cad1 | Down | BUY | 135 | 89¢ | $121 | 0xf7805a… |
| 05-14 13:36:08 | Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Down | BUY | 12 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x3440ba… |
| 05-14 13:36:06 | Perfumed-Sisterinlaw 0x5d14…b900 | Down | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $2 | 0xb65745… |
| 05-14 13:36:04 | Tired-Art 0xa64d…cad1 | Down | BUY | 66 | 89¢ | $59 | 0xe1da7e… |
| 05-14 13:36:04 | Tired-Art 0xa64d…cad1 | Down | BUY | 29 | 88¢ | $26 | 0x014ce1… |
| 05-14 13:36:04 | Tired-Art 0xa64d…cad1 | Down | BUY | 15 | 89¢ | $13 | 0x32b789… |
| 05-14 13:36:03 | Woeful-Plagiarism 0xa69b…d844 | Down | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x83ef72… |
| 05-14 13:36:03 | Tired-Art 0xa64d…cad1 | Down | BUY | 40 | 89¢ | $35 | 0x77dcc6… |
| 05-14 13:36:01 | Tired-Art 0xa64d…cad1 | Down | BUY | 29 | 88¢ | $25 | 0x91fd7c… |
| 05-14 13:35:50 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Down | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x243bdf… |
| 05-14 13:35:50 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Down | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0xc63567… |
| 05-14 13:35:50 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0xafaddb… |
| 05-14 13:33:23 | Bountiful-Beet 0x6346…4950 | Down | BUY | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0xa61d8e… |
| 05-14 13:33:23 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 25 | 31¢ | $8 | 0x47bf2f… |
| 05-14 13:33:22 | Feisty-Time 0x800c…4866 | Up | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x7d9f49… |
| 05-14 13:33:20 | Thin-Hardboard 0xb34d…8387 | Up | BUY | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x595459… |
| 05-14 13:33:20 | Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a | Down | BUY | 13 | 69¢ | $9 | 0xe78540… |
| 05-14 13:33:20 | Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Down | BUY | 32 | 68¢ | $22 | 0xbc968d… |
| 05-14 13:31:05 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Down | BUY | 13 | 59¢ | $8 | 0x038b6f… |
| 05-14 13:29:22 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 20 | 45¢ | $9 | 0x2ff247… |
| 05-14 13:27:40 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0x9c71d3… |
| 05-14 13:27:19 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0x985b13… |
| 05-14 13:27:18 | Substantial-Asterisk 0x70b0…65c8 | Down | SELL | 9 | 53¢ | $5 | 0xd17ba1… |
| 05-14 13:24:30 | Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Up | BUY | 18 | 63¢ | $11 | 0x93decd… |
| 05-14 13:24:24 | Thin-Hardboard 0xb34d…8387 | Down | BUY | 6 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x81b0cc… |
| 05-14 13:24:16 | Thin-Hardboard 0xb34d…8387 | Down | BUY | 6 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xbb3e84… |
| 05-14 13:24:07 | Guilty-Fertilizer 0x2f05…c7ee | Up | SELL | 10 | 58¢ | $6 | 0x0e0310… |
| 05-14 13:22:45 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 20 | 45¢ | $9 | 0x8e8a20… |
| 05-14 13:22:43 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 20 | 44¢ | $9 | 0x12952d… |
| 05-14 13:22:38 | Substantial-Asterisk 0x70b0…65c8 | Down | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x064f33… |
| 05-14 13:22:34 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0x7e5a99… |
| 05-14 13:22:32 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 38 | 45¢ | $17 | 0x20dd27… |
| 05-14 13:21:03 | (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Down | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0xf4a68e… |
| 05-14 13:20:56 | Mellow-Dandelion 0xcb91…0c8f | Up | BUY | 27 | 37¢ | $10 | 0x1bdebc… |
| 05-14 13:20:49 | Substantial-Asterisk 0x70b0…65c8 | Up | BUY | 16 | 37¢ | $6 | 0xd2056e… |
| 05-14 13:20:35 | Playful-Toll 0x52fc…7f0a | Down | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x0cf434… |
| 05-14 13:19:27 | Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Up | SELL | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0xb1ab44… |
| 05-14 13:19:25 | Lost-Prostacyclin 0x54d5…6844 | Up | BUY | 109 | 32¢ | $35 | 0x4af9d2… |
| 05-14 13:19:22 | Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Up | SELL | 35 | 31¢ | $11 | 0xd9508c… |
| 05-14 13:19:16 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0xda0dcf… |
| 05-14 13:19:15 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 18 | 33¢ | $6 | 0xa186c8… |
| 05-14 13:19:15 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x583e9c… |
| 05-14 13:19:13 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 36 | 32¢ | $12 | 0x9c61b1… |
| 05-14 13:19:13 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 16 | 33¢ | $5 | 0x9f448c… |
| 05-14 13:19:11 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 26 | 33¢ | $9 | 0x787e13… |
| 05-14 13:19:11 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x2374c2… |
| 05-14 13:19:09 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 109 | 34¢ | $37 | 0x215eec… |
| 05-14 13:19:08 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 136 | 34¢ | $47 | 0x39b2cc… |
| 05-14 13:19:06 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 18 | 34¢ | $6 | 0x39f2ee… |
| 05-14 13:19:04 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 25 | 34¢ | $8 | 0x70ba12… |
| 05-14 13:18:10 | Thin-Hardboard 0xb34d…8387 | Down | SELL | 6 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x933e5c… |
| 05-14 13:18:06 | Grown-Thunderstorm-Diarist 0xbacd…436d | Up | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x979988… |
| 05-14 13:17:56 | Substantial-Asterisk 0x70b0…65c8 | Up | BUY | 11 | 51¢ | $6 | 0x9c258e… |
| 05-14 13:16:04 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x3e51e0… |
| 05-14 13:16:04 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 80 | 32¢ | $26 | 0x6fdf37… |
| 05-14 13:16:02 | Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Up | BUY | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0xa59ab8… |
| 05-14 13:16:02 | Substantial-Asterisk 0x70b0…65c8 | Down | BUY | 9 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x095b28… |
| 05-14 13:15:57 | (anonymous) 0xbfea…1a6f | Up | SELL | 6 | 63¢ | $4 | 0xc6eca3… |
| 05-14 13:09:21 | Ordinary-Woman 0x7936…b12d | Up | BUY | 9 | 54¢ | $5 | 0xadb9bb… |
| 05-14 13:07:52 | Timely-Patina 0x7d47…15b5 | Up | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x353c44… |
| 05-14 13:06:04 | Thin-Hardboard 0xb34d…8387 | Up | SELL | 6 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x71a5b7… |
| 05-14 13:06:02 | Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Up | BUY | 6 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x74c2f1… |
| 05-14 13:05:51 | Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Up | BUY | 0 | 53¢ | $0 | 0x883025… |