Sorrowful-Wife — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$220

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

89.2%

Resolved

Trades

8,541

lifetime

Volume

$416.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

$37

1 position

First seen

2026-05-13

last 07-20 12:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 72% +$219

Other

10% 100% +$1

Politics

4% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 477 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes		+298	$51	12¢	$37	$-14	06-12 14:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	29	$3.7K	12,098	5,464	+6,634	open	—	06-12 06:45
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	40	$3.5K	3,911	3,671	+240	open	—	06-12 17:35
cs2 tyloo lvg 2026 06 05	3	$3.5K	2,742	2,742	+0	open	—	06-05 11:54
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	18	$3.3K	7,712	2,076	+5,636	open	—	06-05 03:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	15	$3.0K	4,221	4,221	-0	open	—	06-12 13:53
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	16	$2.5K	2,459	2,459	+0	open	—	06-12 13:46
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	2	$2.3K	3,571	3,571	+0	open	—	05-21 09:52
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	10	$2.2K	6,667	6,667	+0	open	—	06-07 21:38
bitcoin up or down on july 7 2026	17	$1.9K	1,698	1,698	+0	open	—	07-07 10:47
Ethereum Up or Down on May 21?	2	$1.9K	2,286	2,286	+0	open	—	05-21 09:25
Ethereum Up or Down on May 22?	2	$1.8K	2,188	2,188	+0	open	—	05-22 12:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	15	$1.5K	1,413	1,413	+0	open	—	06-11 13:55
bitcoin up or down on june 4 2026	8	$1.4K	706	706	+0	open	—	06-04 11:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	10	$1.1K	1,448	1,448	+0	open	—	06-11 23:17
fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	2	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-13 06:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$1.1K	1,380	1,380	+0	open	—	06-01 17:45
ethereum up or down on june 5 2026	10	$1.0K	513	513	+0	open	—	06-05 14:11
cs2 prv 9z 2026 06 11	3	$991	1,089	1,089	+0	open	—	06-11 03:46
lol ly tl2 2026 06 14 game1	2	$977	987	987	+0	open	—	06-14 18:25
will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 5	2	$950	969	0	+969	open	—	06-05 15:41
will ethereum dip to 1600 june 1 7 2026	2	$950	951	0	+951	open	—	06-05 14:06
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	7	$924	480	480	+0	open	—	06-12 14:31
dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06	2	$921	886	886	+0	open	—	06-06 08:07
bitcoin up or down on july 1 2026	1	$900	957	0	+957	open	—	07-01 14:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on June 2?	1	$900	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	06-02 19:28
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	2	$850	871	0	+871	open	—	05-19 00:07
cs2 mibr b8 2026 06 08	2	$825	717	717	+0	open	—	06-08 02:09
cs2 g2 m80 2026 06 06	2	$804	600	600	+0	open	—	06-06 04:34
fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	2	$750	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-13 00:30
cs2 zerote js1 2026 06 05	8	$736	600	600	+0	open	—	06-05 04:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 12:57:10	eth updown 15m 1784551500	Down	BUY	135	60¢	$81	0xcf9615…
07-20 12:57:10	eth updown 15m 1784551500	Down	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0xce834e…
07-20 12:57:10	eth updown 15m 1784551500	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xbcb5af…
07-20 12:57:10	eth updown 15m 1784551500	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x9946ed…
07-20 12:57:10	eth updown 15m 1784551500	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x92a701…
07-20 12:57:10	eth updown 15m 1784551500	Down	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0x853958…
07-20 12:57:10	eth updown 15m 1784551500	Down	BUY	31	60¢	$19	0x74b963…
07-20 12:57:10	eth updown 15m 1784551500	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x665ea0…
07-20 12:57:10	eth updown 15m 1784551500	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x63049c…
07-20 12:57:10	eth updown 15m 1784551500	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x37d54b…
07-20 12:57:10	eth updown 15m 1784551500	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x3496fb…
07-20 00:14:00	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 16	Yes	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x08ae0f…
07-19 08:48:04	xrp updown 5m 1784451000	Down	BUY	17	31¢	$5	0x779a59…
07-19 08:03:10	btc updown 5m 1784448300	Up	BUY	46	26¢	$12	0xe8c042…
07-19 08:03:07	btc updown 5m 1784448300	Up	BUY	39	31¢	$12	0x2338f6…
07-19 06:54:57	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0xbe1e43…
07-19 06:14:04	eth updown 15m 1784441700	Up	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0xdf88a9…
07-19 05:14:06	eth updown 15m 1784438100	Up	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0x117436…
07-19 04:14:04	eth updown 15m 1784434500	Down	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0x4622a6…
07-19 02:59:04	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x423b07…
07-19 02:39:10	eth updown 15m 1784429100	Up	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0xfa2055…
07-19 02:29:06	eth updown 15m 1784428200	Up	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0x5352d5…
07-19 02:14:31	xrp updown 15m 1784427300	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x2be55c…
07-19 02:11:57	sol updown 15m 1784427300	Up	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0xa2918c…
07-19 02:08:40	eth updown 15m 1784427300	Up	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0xc2e7c9…
07-19 01:59:18	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x07c58e…
07-19 00:29:28	eth updown 15m 1784421000	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x8932d7…
07-19 00:14:06	btc updown 15m 1784420100	Up	BUY	37	44¢	$16	0xa08243…
07-18 23:29:06	eth updown 15m 1784417400	Up	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0xe7fc9e…
07-18 23:29:06	btc updown 15m 1784417400	Up	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0xdfec14…
07-18 23:29:06	btc updown 15m 1784417400	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1761aa…
07-18 23:13:52	btc updown 15m 1784416500	Down	BUY	37	44¢	$16	0x60dba3…
07-18 22:55:13	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0xe24782…
07-18 22:14:06	eth updown 15m 1784412900	Up	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0x82c759…
07-18 22:11:18	btc updown 15m 1784412900	Up	BUY	37	44¢	$16	0x4cabf5…
07-18 21:54:46	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0x135703…
07-18 20:54:09	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0x0e816c…
07-18 20:49:21	xrp updown 5m 1784407800	Up	BUY	2	26¢	$0	0x35bfe4…
07-18 20:14:06	eth updown 15m 1784405700	Up	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0x89a550…
07-18 20:07:25	btc updown 5m 1784405400	Down	BUY	39	31¢	$12	0xe55155…
07-18 18:53:33	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0x4efc43…
07-18 17:53:30	btc updown 5m 1784397300	Down	BUY	39	31¢	$12	0x0cf7df…
07-18 17:44:19	xrp updown 15m 1784396700	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x03e1c9…
07-18 17:44:04	eth updown 15m 1784396700	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x8fff22…
07-18 17:14:21	btc updown 15m 1784394900	Up	BUY	37	44¢	$16	0x35dcc6…
07-18 17:14:04	eth updown 15m 1784394900	Up	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0xfdd71c…
07-18 16:59:30	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x1738c9…
07-18 16:58:31	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	38	44¢	$17	0x7e27e0…
07-18 16:37:55	btc updown 5m 1784392800	Down	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x99b372…
07-18 16:37:55	btc updown 5m 1784392800	Down	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x960300…
07-18 16:23:30	btc updown 5m 1784391900	Down	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x5915de…
07-18 16:23:30	btc updown 5m 1784391900	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x4f843c…
07-18 16:17:43	btc updown 5m 1784391600	Down	BUY	41	22¢	$9	0x6633fe…
07-18 16:17:42	btc updown 5m 1784391600	Down	BUY	39	31¢	$12	0xb34e78…
07-18 16:17:42	btc updown 5m 1784391600	Down	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x3bec95…
07-18 16:17:40	btc updown 5m 1784391600	Down	BUY	38	16¢	$6	0xd123a4…
07-18 14:48:34	btc updown 5m 1784386200	Up	BUY	21	31¢	$7	0xfc6cc2…
07-18 14:48:34	btc updown 5m 1784386200	Up	BUY	18	31¢	$6	0xca08cc…
07-18 14:47:22	xrp updown 5m 1784386200	Down	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0x43c4b4…
07-18 14:47:22	xrp updown 5m 1784386200	Down	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x3d8608…
07-18 14:29:04	eth updown 15m 1784385000	Up	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0x989348…
07-18 14:29:04	sol updown 15m 1784385000	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x7716dd…
07-18 14:12:42	btc updown 15m 1784384100	Up	BUY	37	44¢	$16	0x9e1270…
07-18 13:13:16	eth updown 15m 1784380500	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x07a090…
07-18 13:13:12	eth updown 15m 1784380500	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x973636…
07-18 13:13:07	eth updown 15m 1784380500	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x750207…
07-18 13:13:03	eth updown 15m 1784380500	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xff3bb9…
07-18 12:59:06	xrp up or down july 18 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa62d5f…
07-18 12:59:06	xrp up or down july 18 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x74301e…
07-18 12:44:19	btc updown 15m 1784378700	Up	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0xa8de7c…
07-18 12:44:18	btc updown 15m 1784378700	Up	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x3d662a…
07-18 12:29:06	eth updown 15m 1784377800	Down	BUY	15	44¢	$6	0x430329…
07-18 11:44:31	btc updown 15m 1784375100	Up	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0xbc58b2…
07-18 11:44:30	btc updown 15m 1784375100	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x011f69…
07-18 11:29:04	btc updown 15m 1784374200	Up	BUY	37	44¢	$16	0x3f0d4d…
07-18 10:22:51	btc updown 5m 1784370300	Down	BUY	39	31¢	$12	0x345107…
07-18 10:14:04	eth updown 15m 1784369700	Down	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0xeffe7f…
07-18 09:59:51	solana up or down july 18 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xd5fc75…
07-18 09:48:43	btc updown 5m 1784368200	Down	BUY	39	31¢	$12	0x8eab11…
07-18 09:44:18	xrp updown 15m 1784367900	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x241dbe…
07-18 09:37:06	btc updown 5m 1784367600	Down	BUY	39	31¢	$12	0x6c9f35…
07-18 06:14:19	xrp updown 15m 1784355300	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x62c605…
07-18 04:44:18	xrp updown 15m 1784349900	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x6dd537…
07-18 03:13:34	btc updown 5m 1784344200	Down	SELL	126	62¢	$78	0x2bd059…
07-18 03:08:22	btc updown 5m 1784344200	Down	BUY	41	22¢	$9	0xca8e43…
07-18 03:08:22	btc updown 5m 1784344200	Down	BUY	39	31¢	$12	0x98b880…
07-18 03:08:19	btc updown 5m 1784344200	Down	BUY	44	26¢	$11	0x59c637…
07-18 03:08:19	btc updown 5m 1784344200	Down	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x09e0ef…
07-18 00:57:19	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0x581ff7…
07-18 00:14:30	sol updown 15m 1784333700	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x8f86fe…
07-17 22:44:06	eth updown 15m 1784328300	Down	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0xf57b83…
07-17 18:55:51	xrp up or down july 17 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x9c8c6d…
07-17 18:55:36	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	46	40¢	$18	0x449c70…
07-17 18:14:22	btc updown 15m 1784312100	Up	BUY	37	44¢	$16	0xc32214…
07-17 17:55:12	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	46	41¢	$19	0x9998d6…
07-17 17:55:03	xrp up or down july 17 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xab5bf1…
07-17 17:55:03	xrp up or down july 17 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8616d1…
07-17 17:55:01	xrp up or down july 17 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x1f33bc…
07-17 17:29:13	btc updown 15m 1784309400	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x7dd063…
07-17 17:29:06	btc updown 15m 1784309400	Up	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x5cdb8c…