Honest-Adult — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 06-27 14:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 100% +$0

Other

26% — —

Politics

22% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	2	$209	105	105	+0	open	—	03-23 06:31
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$208	117	117	+0	open	—	03-25 14:46
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$154	162	162	+0	open	—	05-14 12:39
solana above 130 on april 12	1	$129	129	0	+129	open	—	04-09 13:22
ethereum above 1800 on april 7	1	$128	129	0	+129	open	—	04-07 05:39
will ethereum reach 2400 on april 3	1	$128	128	0	+128	open	—	04-03 04:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$128	128	0	+128	open	—	03-29 07:34
ethereum above 1700 on april 16	1	$113	113	0	+113	open	—	04-14 15:31
Will Solana reach $110 April 20-26?	1	$107	107	0	+107	open	—	04-26 04:24
ethereum above 2800 on april 24	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	04-23 09:28
will ethereum reach 2500 february 23 march 1	1	$98	98	0	+98	open	—	02-25 06:18
will bitcoin reach 80k june 1 7 2026	1	$88	88	0	+88	open	—	06-04 13:11
will the price of solana be greater than 130 on april 21	1	$78	78	0	+78	open	—	04-19 15:34
will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	1	$76	76	0	+76	open	—	06-27 14:32
xrp above 1pt6 on june 16 2026	1	$76	76	0	+76	open	—	06-13 14:42
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 13?	1	$75	75	0	+75	No	+$0	05-10 16:03
will solana reach 95 on april 4	1	$71	71	0	+71	open	—	04-04 16:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	04-27 17:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	1	$68	68	0	+68	open	—	05-29 16:48
will solana dip to 20 in march 2026	2	$65	33	33	+0	open	—	03-21 15:57
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on May 8?	1	$63	63	0	+63	No	+$0	05-06 06:34
will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	2	$52	49	49	+0	open	—	03-21 17:03
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-03 06:11
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 23corhigher	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-04 16:02
will solana reach 130 february 23 march 1	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	02-25 06:19
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$35	116	0	+116	open	—	05-14 12:40
btc updown 5m 1773630000	4	$32	35	0	+35	open	—	03-16 03:04
ethereum above 1700 on march 3	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	03-03 06:15
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	03-03 06:09
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-27 17:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 14:32:59	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x8d28fd…
06-13 14:42:00	xrp above 1pt6 on june 16 2026	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x719152…
06-04 13:11:42	will bitcoin reach 80k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x03f451…
06-04 13:10:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x5cf076…
05-29 16:48:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x3604da…
05-14 12:40:50	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	116	30¢	$35	0x30fcd9…
05-14 12:39:42	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	162	23¢	$37	0x73b275…
05-14 00:38:47	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	162	72¢	$117	0xb916e9…
05-10 16:03:11	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 13?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xc31d85…
05-06 06:34:16	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on May 8?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x5fd17d…
05-02 05:06:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xfc26ee…
04-27 17:27:50	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7e408b…
04-27 17:27:00	50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ad48c…
04-27 17:21:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xb02763…
04-27 17:20:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x14327e…
04-26 04:24:36	Will Solana reach $110 April 20-26?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x3a325f…
04-26 04:23:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xef6823…
04-24 16:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x210f17…
04-23 09:28:18	ethereum above 2800 on april 24	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x864983…
04-19 15:34:06	will the price of solana be greater than 130 on april 21	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xc9d6c9…
04-18 14:21:44	highest temperature in nyc on april 18 2026 54 55f	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x026583…
04-18 14:21:12	highest temperature in chicago on april 18 2026 62 63f	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xab1164…
04-16 07:49:04	highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 21corbelow	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x322c98…
04-14 15:31:33	ethereum above 1700 on april 16	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x9982ae…
04-09 13:22:55	solana above 130 on april 12	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xff5587…
04-07 05:39:49	ethereum above 1800 on april 7	Yes	BUY	129	100¢	$128	0x19a1fb…
04-04 16:05:41	will solana reach 95 on april 4	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xe60d74…
04-04 16:04:45	btc updown 5m 1775318400	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x3d2123…
04-04 16:02:47	highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 23corhigher	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xeede20…
04-03 04:33:45	will ethereum reach 2400 on april 3	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xaba4a3…
03-29 07:34:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xfaef92…
03-25 14:46:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	117	88¢	$103	0xd33a91…
03-23 06:31:35	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	117	89¢	$105	0xbcf09e…
03-23 06:31:05	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x75ccce…
03-21 17:04:39	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 20 2026 353	Yes	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0x938a75…
03-21 17:03:11	will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	No	SELL	49	39¢	$19	0x20f4a9…
03-21 15:59:35	will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	No	BUY	49	66¢	$32	0x7867d2…
03-21 15:57:11	will solana dip to 20 in march 2026	No	SELL	33	100¢	$32	0xef58ef…
03-16 03:08:39	will solana dip to 20 in march 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0x592418…
03-16 03:05:59	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x4fbd2d…
03-16 03:04:59	btc updown 5m 1773630000	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2cd30c…
03-16 03:04:49	btc updown 5m 1773630000	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x39b2f0…
03-16 03:04:21	btc updown 5m 1773630000	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x87c78c…
03-16 03:02:13	btc updown 5m 1773630000	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x36bb65…
03-03 06:15:23	ethereum above 1700 on march 3	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xccf8d2…
03-03 06:14:27	xrp above 1pt1 on march 3	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0616af…
03-03 06:11:41	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5d98e3…
03-03 06:11:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa5df11…
03-03 06:10:29	us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x718507…
03-03 06:09:21	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x332235…
02-25 06:19:02	will solana reach 130 february 23 march 1	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xbac5eb…
02-25 06:18:42	will ethereum reach 2500 february 23 march 1	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xc05971…