(anonymous) 0xbae1ac…4089bd
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$957
Unrealized P&L
+$516
Hit rate
86.1%
Resolved
19
Trades
90
lifetime
Volume
$20.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$222
Open exposure
$7.38K
21 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 10-27 13:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Politics
63% 78% +$852
Other
36% 40% +$105
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +2,532 $2,000 88¢ $2.2K +$241 10-22 01:26
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,417 $800 68¢ $957 +$157 10-22 01:26
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,829 $750 13¢ $761 +$11 09-14 21:49
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,782 $375 12¢ $567 +$192 09-14 21:51
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +715 $328 64¢ $461 +$133 10-27 13:19
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -423 -$393 92¢ $-387 +$6 09-23 08:29
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +577 $300 64¢ $372 +$72 09-08 15:03
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,576 $375 19¢ $303 -$72 09-14 21:51
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +405 $300 74¢ $302 +$2 10-07 11:31
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes +400 $250 68¢ $272 +$22 08-13 17:58
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +714 $250 28¢ $196 -$54 09-08 15:03
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +267 $80 38¢ $103 +$23 10-22 00:28
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +312 $125 32¢ $102 -$23 09-29 11:25
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -583 -$84 16¢ $-94 -$10 07-17 20:59
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +462 $120 18¢ $85 -$35 08-08 19:32
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? Yes +550 $104 8¢ $44 -$60 09-04 08:05
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +200 $60 22¢ $43 -$17 09-15 09:08
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +282 $50 15¢ $42 -$8 09-08 15:13
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +396 $40 9¢ $37 -$3 10-08 15:22
Plague pandemic in 2026? Yes +581 $25 2¢ $11 -$14 10-06 22:19
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +500 $50 0¢ $2 -$48 09-08 15:13