Stable-Holiday — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$126

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 15:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 38% $-21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$10	20	+20	open	—	05-05 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$10	20	+20	open	—	05-05 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$10	20	+20	open	—	05-05 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$7	16	+16	Down	$-7	05-05 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$6	11	+11	Down	$-6	05-05 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Up	+$3	05-05 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	$-5	05-05 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$5	12	+12	open	—	05-05 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	05-05 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-05 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	$-5	05-05 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$5	9	+9	Up	+$4	05-04 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	05-05 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Down	$-4	05-04 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Down	+$4	05-05 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$4	8	+8	open	—	05-05 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Down	+$3	05-05 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Down	$-4	05-05 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$4	7	+7	Down	+$3	05-05 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$4	7	+7	Down	+$4	05-04 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Up	$-3	05-05 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$3	6	+6	open	—	05-05 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$3	6	+6	open	—	05-05 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	$-3	05-05 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-05 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-05 02:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 15:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb9ed69…
05-05 12:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xfb00e2…
05-05 12:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7dc6ff…
05-05 12:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x64bb8e…
05-05 12:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x85848e…
05-05 12:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x1ff07b…
05-05 12:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x90d5da…
05-05 12:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x84ac93…
05-05 08:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x4d723f…
05-05 07:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x3429e3…
05-05 07:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x0390a5…
05-05 07:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x5f3078…
05-05 06:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x464640…
05-05 06:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xfb2a65…
05-05 05:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xdbaced…
05-05 05:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6a32cb…
05-05 05:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0x6edc40…
05-05 03:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x96da60…
05-05 03:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x01f9a1…
05-05 02:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7a1828…
05-05 02:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd8b266…
05-05 00:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xa0206d…
05-05 00:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x58abdc…
05-05 00:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x101073…
05-05 00:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1d0d33…
05-05 00:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0xa43add…
05-04 23:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xbbf153…
05-04 23:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0xef783a…
05-04 23:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x5ee13e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	26	$4.02K	120	05-05 15:09
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	22	$1.21K	74	05-05 15:07
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	21	$3.56K	92	05-05 15:09
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	21	$1.08K	67	05-05 15:07
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	20	$2.39K	43	05-05 15:09
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	18	$687	60	05-05 15:09
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	18	$583	56	05-05 15:09
Aromatic-Freedom 0xc547…7b30	15	$1.01K	18	05-05 15:07