Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$61

Unrealized P&L

-$36

Hit rate

81.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$544

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$64

3 positions

First seen

2026-06-08

last 08-31 17:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Sports

29% 25% +$40

Other

28% 38% +$11

Crypto

24% 100% +$0

Politics

12% 100% +$5

Tech

6% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+80	$40	32¢	$26	-$14	08-31 17:05
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+116	$40	18¢	$22	-$18	08-31 17:05
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+45	$20	36¢	$16	-$4	08-10 15:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$117	100	100	+0	Yes	+$83	07-19 23:07
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$45	28	28	+0	Yes	+$5	06-08 20:30
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	2	$40	40	40	+0	Yes	+$29	07-15 20:53
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$40	116	0	+116	open	—	08-31 17:05
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$40	80	0	+80	open	—	08-31 17:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$30	41	0	+41	Yes	+$11	07-27 23:20
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	07-18 23:02
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$20	45	0	+45	open	—	08-10 15:39
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	1	$20	27	0	+27	Yes	+$7	07-30 14:58
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	2	$18	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	06-12 18:10
Will Argentina win the World Cup?	1	$17	38	0	+38	No	-$17	07-15 21:06
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$16	100	0	+100	No	-$16	06-12 18:19
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$3	06-12 18:10
bitcoin above 54k on june 12 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	+$0	06-10 21:09
xrp above 0pt9 on june 14 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	+$0	06-12 18:16
ethereum above 1300 on june 12 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	Yes	+$0	06-10 21:10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$10	345	0	+345	No	-$10	07-30 14:56
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?	1	$10	125	0	+125	No	-$10	07-27 17:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$10	22	0	+22	No	-$10	07-30 14:56
bitcoin above 52k on june 12 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	06-10 21:10
xrp above 1 on june 11 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	06-10 21:10
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	1	$5	20	0	+20	No	-$5	06-23 21:50
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	1	$5	23	0	+23	No	-$5	07-30 14:58
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	1	$5	56	0	+56	No	-$5	07-15 20:53
Will France vs. England end in a draw?	2	$3	6	6	+0	No	+$1	07-18 22:31
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	1	$1	200	0	+200	No	-$1	07-15 20:57
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?	1	$1	79	0	+79	No	-$1	07-27 23:22
Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?	1	$1	29	0	+29	No	-$1	07-30 14:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 17:05:30	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	34¢	$40	0x5b2501…
08-31 17:05:25	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x478464…
08-10 15:39:37	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x9120c9…
07-30 14:58:27	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x61eae7…
07-30 14:58:03	Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xc67845…
07-30 14:57:53	Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xe63cca…
07-30 14:56:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xce6416…
07-30 14:56:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	345	3¢	$10	0x62a3fa…
07-27 23:22:27	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	79	1¢	$1	0xd14806…
07-27 23:20:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0xf76066…
07-27 17:25:48	NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x5c77f0…
07-19 23:07:36	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xf71ffd…
07-18 23:02:46	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6dcc32…
07-18 22:31:18	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x156915…
07-18 22:17:36	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0d0e15…
07-18 22:16:13	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xa9c419…
07-15 21:06:22	Will Argentina win the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	38	46¢	$17	0x87fbae…
07-15 20:57:04	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x088b3a…
07-15 20:53:58	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x5bb423…
07-15 20:53:41	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	SELL	40	86¢	$35	0xaad5f4…
07-15 20:49:13	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0xb2f488…
06-23 21:50:34	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5c7533…
06-12 18:19:13	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x9ff795…
06-12 18:18:28	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xadb89a…
06-12 18:16:52	xrp above 0pt9 on june 14 2026	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x3618f4…
06-12 18:10:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xb09551…
06-12 18:10:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe38c76…
06-12 15:33:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xa85819…
06-12 15:33:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xa08a57…
06-10 21:10:07	xrp above 1 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf6be41…
06-10 21:10:04	bitcoin above 52k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9c51a3…
06-10 21:10:01	ethereum above 1300 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5fe06a…
06-10 21:09:45	bitcoin above 54k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xdfe437…
06-08 20:30:54	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0x34e2e8…
06-08 14:34:28	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x170ca0…