Qualified-Burro — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$584

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 06-21 00:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

51% 100% +$16

Other

36% — —

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

4% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No		+10	$5	40¢	$4	$-1	06-06 01:35
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?	Yes		+3	$1	30¢	$1	$-0	06-21 00:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	02-26 19:13
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	2	$54	31	31	+0	open	—	02-28 23:31
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$43	468	468	+0	open	—	03-19 20:12
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	1	$38	0	45	-45	open	—	06-14 23:16
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$36	48	48	+0	open	—	06-01 14:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$25	32	0	+32	open	—	02-28 17:51
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	3	$24	3,018	3,018	+0	open	—	03-11 03:27
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$22	38	38	+0	open	—	02-28 23:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-01 07:21
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$15	21	0	+21	open	—	02-28 17:52
will trump say fake news during the 2026 state of the union address	1	$15	29	0	+29	open	—	02-24 22:32
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$11	27	0	+27	open	—	02-24 19:18
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$10	31	0	+31	open	—	03-02 05:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-01 06:54
will donald trumps tie be red	1	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	02-24 23:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	04-23 21:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$10	26	0	+26	Yes	+$16	02-25 07:25
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	03-11 02:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-01 06:54
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-11 02:32
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	06-15 02:56
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	02-24 22:36
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-11 02:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	06-06 01:36
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-06 01:35
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-15 02:57
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	03-11 02:30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-01 08:55
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-30 20:35
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-30 20:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 00:57:59	Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x489f10…
06-15 02:57:09	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x466b58…
06-15 02:56:36	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xea7db9…
06-14 23:16:42	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	45	85¢	$38	0xab7226…
06-06 01:36:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xf33496…
06-06 01:35:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa7f05b…
06-01 14:20:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	65¢	$31	0xf8dd40…
06-01 08:55:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x258ad7…
06-01 08:54:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0x856a98…
05-30 20:35:43	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xf68dd2…
05-30 20:35:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf9ebc4…
05-30 20:34:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0bd2d0…
05-30 20:34:47	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfc05f7…
05-23 21:21:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x316074…
05-23 21:21:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xb032be…
05-19 05:51:00	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x369339…
05-09 18:50:58	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xfc20e0…
05-01 06:54:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x7b777c…
05-01 06:54:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xff5809…
04-23 21:15:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x620cff…
03-19 20:12:37	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	468	2¢	$8	0x0c8b91…
03-14 08:50:59	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	329	8¢	$25	0x273043…
03-14 06:42:27	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	139	7¢	$10	0xc47ab4…
03-11 03:27:43	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	No	SELL	3,018	0¢	$9	0xa6b4da…
03-11 02:33:27	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xecad21…
03-11 02:33:03	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x42f2c1…
03-11 02:32:31	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xf68bc1…
03-11 02:32:13	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xdf7926…
03-11 02:31:37	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	No	BUY	1,018	0¢	$5	0x663ffd…
03-11 02:30:37	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc13ced…
03-02 05:26:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x4443f1…
03-01 07:21:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2a18a8…
02-28 23:32:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	SELL	38	30¢	$12	0x74d5be…
02-28 23:31:03	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	SELL	31	93¢	$29	0x647940…
02-28 19:47:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf28e7a…
02-28 17:52:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xd08bef…
02-28 17:51:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x272921…
02-28 17:51:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x612474…
02-26 19:13:00	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x170b54…
02-25 07:25:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x4947d0…
02-25 07:23:50	dota2 liquid pari 2026 02 25	Team Liquid	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x9b0f4f…
02-24 23:53:10	will donald trumps tie be red	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xe86400…
02-24 22:36:38	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd9c290…
02-24 22:32:58	will trump say fake news during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xc05af4…
02-24 19:18:52	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xe9bb19…
02-23 05:06:28	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x844745…
02-22 18:22:54	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x807ba4…
02-22 18:19:44	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xcffeb6…
02-22 18:19:34	US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xaed480…
02-22 18:19:22	US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x401dc1…
02-22 18:19:12	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xdf510b…
02-22 18:19:02	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x73bbbe…
02-22 18:18:54	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x309114…
02-22 18:18:40	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x853c83…
02-22 18:18:30	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7ea295…
02-22 18:18:20	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd04902…
02-22 18:18:08	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x31e700…
02-22 18:17:58	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe0fc92…