Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1.03K
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,007
lifetime
Volume
$885.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$879
Open exposure
$14.3K
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-13
last 06-09 18:47
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
97%
Other
3%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 204 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +16,040 $10,000 62¢ $10.0K +$25 06-09 13:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +4,866 $3,725 82¢ $4.0K +$290 06-03 07:34
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +370 $100 28¢ $102 +$2 06-08 15:45
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +859 $250 11¢ $98 $-152 06-08 10:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -62 $-919 90¢ $-56 +$863 06-09 14:02