Downright-Thread — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.3%

Resolved

252

Trades

3,854

lifetime

Volume

$10.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-11 21:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 60% $-24

Other

17% 36% $-8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 meg1 chicke 2026 01 03	15	$128	86	80	+6	open	—	01-03 12:23
cs2 bb3 hotu 2026 01 04	15	$94	83	83	+0	open	—	01-04 10:58
dota2 tundra og 2026 03 10	2	$92	51	51	+0	open	—	03-10 16:57
cs2 wc1 shk 2026 01 03 game1	34	$71	5,277	0	+5,277	open	—	01-03 21:56
dota2 vg gamema 2026 01 05	5	$58	62	36	+26	open	—	01-05 12:20
solana up or down on january 5	8	$34	33	33	+0	open	—	01-05 18:15
ethereum up or down january 6 4am et	3	$26	26	13	+13	open	—	01-06 10:10
bitcoin up or down january 5 12pm et	3	$21	22	11	+11	open	—	01-05 18:15
cs2 fut b8 2026 03 09	4	$20	15	10	+5	open	—	03-09 13:36
bitcoin up or down on january 3	5	$19	21	16	+5	open	—	01-02 23:00
ethereum up or down on january 5	6	$19	28	19	+9	open	—	01-05 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$19	11	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 22:43
cs2 hotu alt2 2026 01 03 game1	11	$19	90	18	+73	open	—	01-03 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 05:13
btc updown 15m 1774952100	3	$19	13	12	+0	open	—	03-31 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 18:44
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 10am et	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	04-13 14:57
BNB Up or Down - April 30, 6AM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 10:58
solana up or down february 8 4pm et	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	02-08 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	3	$18	14	7	+7	Up	+$3	05-07 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 17:13
bitcoin up or down march 1 9am et	3	$18	12	12	+0	open	—	03-01 14:57
solana up or down march 1 1pm et	3	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	03-01 19:49
xrp up or down march 1 5am et	4	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	03-01 10:58
ethereum up or down april 11 2026 5am et	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	04-11 09:28
btc updown 15m 1774955700	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 11:25
bnb up or down april 8 2026 7am et	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	04-08 11:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 21:11:33	btc updown 15m 1786482000	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x5ff82d…
08-11 19:34:31	btc updown 15m 1786476600	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x603515…
08-11 16:27:45	btc updown 15m 1786464900	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x0acc49…
08-11 15:48:15	btc updown 15m 1786463100	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x6820c9…
08-11 14:11:13	btc updown 15m 1786456800	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xfb6d9e…
08-11 13:56:36	ethereum up or down august 11 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xfb0f13…
08-11 13:41:34	btc updown 15m 1786455000	Down	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x0c3fe0…
08-11 13:40:37	btc updown 15m 1786455000	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6657c0…
08-11 10:02:31	btc updown 15m 1786442400	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x80d2ce…
08-11 09:08:10	btc updown 15m 1786438800	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xf49463…
08-11 08:53:58	ethereum up or down august 11 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xe8a983…
08-11 08:21:10	btc updown 15m 1786436100	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x95a40d…
08-11 08:10:31	btc updown 15m 1786435200	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd676d7…
08-11 07:11:52	btc updown 15m 1786431600	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc6928c…
08-11 05:56:09	bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 1am et	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x7f6aca…
08-11 05:55:16	bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x7e2ff3…
08-11 02:54:07	btc updown 15m 1786416300	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x388cc8…
08-10 23:56:15	btc updown 15m 1786405500	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x5cb657…
08-10 23:20:04	btc updown 15m 1786403700	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xdbf34e…
08-10 21:40:54	bnb up or down august 10 2026 5pm et	Down	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x10e8f0…
08-10 21:40:01	bnb up or down august 10 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xdaf0a1…
08-10 21:37:10	btc updown 15m 1786397400	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x446a3d…
08-10 21:27:40	btc updown 15m 1786396500	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x62b388…
08-10 18:59:03	ethereum up or down august 10 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xc9975c…
08-10 18:59:03	ethereum up or down august 10 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xc1d510…
08-10 18:57:45	ethereum up or down august 10 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xd23af6…
08-10 18:03:34	btc updown 15m 1786384800	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x3f9033…
08-10 17:06:16	btc updown 15m 1786381200	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf5ed0b…
08-10 11:19:15	btc updown 15m 1786360500	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8f84ee…
08-10 07:05:18	btc updown 15m 1786345200	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x6c8a76…
08-10 05:12:12	btc updown 15m 1786338000	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xac9395…
08-10 04:40:48	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5da0a1…
08-09 19:09:34	btc updown 15m 1786302000	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x28e412…
08-09 15:36:03	btc updown 15m 1786289400	Down	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x9680f2…
08-09 15:35:04	btc updown 15m 1786289400	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x9f6a06…
08-09 12:37:30	btc updown 15m 1786278600	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd3de1b…
08-09 05:51:46	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x06b601…
08-09 02:53:39	btc updown 15m 1786243500	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x795c19…
08-09 02:33:27	btc updown 15m 1786242600	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8b9085…
08-09 00:21:18	btc updown 15m 1786234500	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x0ef1b7…
08-09 00:19:24	btc updown 15m 1786234500	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xaa47ca…
08-08 20:38:28	btc updown 15m 1786221000	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xafb045…
08-08 19:56:04	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0xdd1123…
08-08 19:56:04	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xcf5774…
08-08 19:54:34	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x2cf0cf…
08-08 19:49:15	btc updown 15m 1786218300	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x743bca…
08-08 19:22:12	btc updown 15m 1786216500	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xb38107…
08-08 19:08:24	btc updown 15m 1786215600	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x9c700a…
08-08 16:10:42	btc updown 15m 1786204800	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7cab39…
08-08 15:36:19	btc updown 15m 1786203000	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x97edb8…
08-08 09:09:01	btc updown 15m 1786179600	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x38adc6…
08-08 07:52:33	btc updown 15m 1786175100	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x6a6682…
08-08 07:11:34	btc updown 15m 1786172400	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc03258…
08-08 06:22:25	btc updown 15m 1786169700	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0x5fecdd…
08-08 06:21:34	btc updown 15m 1786169700	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd6a7af…
08-08 05:04:33	btc updown 15m 1786165200	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x26ba91…
08-08 02:49:33	bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x384051…
08-08 02:21:52	btc updown 15m 1786155300	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xeed5e9…
08-08 00:38:30	btc updown 15m 1786149000	Down	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x05b597…
08-08 00:37:39	btc updown 15m 1786149000	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x29d24b…
08-07 13:44:27	bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5124d4…
08-07 12:05:09	btc updown 15m 1786104000	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xce62cb…
08-07 10:12:24	btc updown 15m 1786096800	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe68bce…
08-07 03:40:01	btc updown 15m 1786073400	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xf2f425…
08-07 03:27:55	btc updown 15m 1786072500	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xce4717…
08-07 02:57:45	btc updown 15m 1786070700	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x1abe1e…
08-06 22:37:50	btc updown 15m 1786055400	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x4ee959…
08-06 21:58:08	ethereum up or down august 6 2026 5pm et	Down	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xf3a495…
08-06 21:57:15	ethereum up or down august 6 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xb4d771…
08-06 19:42:18	btc updown 15m 1786044600	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x572d60…
08-06 17:10:35	btc updown 15m 1786035600	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc777b8…
08-06 07:57:45	btc updown 15m 1786002300	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xca803d…
08-06 06:37:41	btc updown 15m 1785997800	Down	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xf85ce3…
08-06 06:37:41	btc updown 15m 1785997800	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa83fb0…
08-05 21:38:51	btc updown 15m 1785965400	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x834784…
07-30 14:26:33	btc updown 15m 1785420900	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x7368b5…
07-30 13:48:44	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x9e4f90…
07-30 13:42:21	btc updown 15m 1785418200	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xe8d716…
07-30 10:55:20	ethereum up or down july 30 2026 6am et	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x97559c…
07-30 10:54:27	ethereum up or down july 30 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xbb0f74…
07-30 10:42:29	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xc463cd…
07-30 09:11:48	btc updown 15m 1785402000	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xdc6d88…
07-30 04:44:20	btc updown 15m 1785385800	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xc35d26…
07-30 04:43:00	btc updown 15m 1785385800	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x810f76…
07-30 03:57:57	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 11pm et	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0xe183a8…
07-30 03:57:53	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 11pm et	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x5b8ef2…
07-30 03:47:06	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8d741a…
07-29 15:06:53	btc updown 15m 1785337200	Down	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x0e7142…
07-29 15:05:54	btc updown 15m 1785337200	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xf3ff41…
07-29 14:25:00	btc updown 15m 1785334500	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x01bb42…
07-29 13:39:29	btc updown 15m 1785331800	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xb7c3ed…
07-29 12:56:36	btc updown 15m 1785329100	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xca1eee…
07-29 10:41:41	btc updown 15m 1785321000	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x69b611…
07-28 20:36:11	btc updown 15m 1785270600	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x033c5f…
07-28 12:46:19	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x1d97ae…
07-28 11:52:56	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 7am et	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x925677…
07-28 11:52:04	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x39f5a2…
07-28 10:34:13	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x3b2728…
07-28 07:52:58	btc updown 15m 1785224700	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x98d9e4…
07-28 02:57:42	ethereum up or down july 27 2026 10pm et	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xb25f51…