Downright-Thread — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$329

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.8%

Resolved

2,691

Trades

4,238

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-29 21:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 252 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 46% -$172

Other

16% 37% -$157

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 meg1 chicke 2026 01 03	15	$128	86	80	+6	megoshort	+$31	01-03 12:23
cs2 bb3 hotu 2026 01 04	15	$94	83	83	+0	BetBoom Team	-$4	01-04 10:58
dota2 tundra og 2026 03 10	2	$92	51	51	+0	Tundra Esports	+$9	03-10 16:57
cs2 wc1 shk 2026 01 03 game1	34	$71	5,277	0	+5,277	Sharks	-$71	01-03 21:56
dota2 vg gamema 2026 01 05	5	$58	62	36	+26	Vici Gaming	+$13	01-05 12:20
solana up or down on january 5	8	$34	33	33	+0	Up	+$2	01-05 18:15
ethereum up or down january 6 4am et	3	$26	26	13	+13	Up	+$0	01-06 10:10
bitcoin up or down january 5 12pm et	3	$21	22	11	+11	Up	$0	01-05 18:15
cs2 fut b8 2026 03 09	4	$20	15	10	+5	FUT Esports	+$2	03-09 13:36
bitcoin up or down on january 3	5	$19	21	16	+5	Down	-$3	01-02 23:00
ethereum up or down on january 5	6	$19	28	19	+9	Up	-$3	01-05 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$19	11	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 22:43
cs2 hotu alt2 2026 01 03 game1	11	$19	90	18	+73	HOTU	-$13	01-03 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 05:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 10:15 UTC	3	$19	13	12	+0	Up	+$1	03-31 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 18:44
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 10am et	2	$18	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	04-13 14:57
BNB Up or Down - April 30, 6AM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	04-30 10:58
solana up or down february 8 4pm et	2	$18	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	02-08 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	3	$18	14	7	+7	Up	+$3	05-07 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 17:13
bitcoin up or down march 1 9am et	3	$18	12	12	+0	Down	+$6	03-01 14:57
solana up or down march 1 1pm et	3	$18	11	11	+0	Up	+$5	03-01 19:49
xrp up or down march 1 5am et	4	$17	11	11	+0	Up	+$5	03-01 10:58
ethereum up or down april 11 2026 5am et	2	$17	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	04-11 09:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 11:15 UTC	2	$17	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	03-31 11:25
bnb up or down april 8 2026 7am et	2	$16	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	04-08 11:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 11:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x3a0e30…
10-29 21:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x9d56b8…
10-29 11:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x801200…
10-28 19:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf467f4…
10-27 16:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6c21f9…
10-27 10:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x661c18…
10-27 03:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x413ee0…
10-27 02:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xaeb197…
10-26 16:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x2581d2…
10-26 02:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4a5966…
10-25 18:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x3b0bed…
10-23 21:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x410407…
10-23 19:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x6f34f3…
10-21 21:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x5ae14f…
10-21 15:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x41b732…
10-20 13:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2e2934…
10-20 07:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x343687…
10-20 06:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb723c8…
10-20 05:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa7b819…
10-19 11:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x324a4a…
10-19 10:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xa7047c…
10-17 06:12:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xbd084f…
10-17 01:33:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xb88789…
10-17 01:28:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x958c49…
10-17 01:08:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x253b66…
10-17 00:41:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x3c8efb…
10-16 22:34:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb184f5…
10-16 20:12:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf6e6f0…
10-16 13:36:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3ff0e6…
10-16 07:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x0daa59…
10-15 20:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0x663b77…
10-15 20:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x3a2206…
10-15 20:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x6b4282…
10-15 18:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa29f8b…
10-15 13:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xefeadf…
10-15 09:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xd69594…
10-15 03:50:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xb87aed…
10-15 03:50:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x95c74b…
10-14 18:22:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4a6c92…
10-14 15:34:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x58350a…
10-14 03:11:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x6eff9a…
10-13 10:11:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xeda18f…
10-13 10:11:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x20e74e…
10-13 00:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x96129f…
10-12 15:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x85cf79…
10-12 14:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6d83c4…
10-12 08:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x685f9d…
10-09 23:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x590731…
10-09 20:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc24bfc…
10-08 13:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x0ae074…
10-08 08:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x5f0c04…
10-08 00:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xe0f52b…
10-08 00:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x2f2dd4…
10-07 23:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x39e6e3…
10-07 18:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xfc1572…
10-07 06:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc7559f…
10-07 00:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x5edd4c…
10-06 19:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xcecebc…
10-06 09:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xeff722…
10-05 23:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xc33a67…
10-05 22:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x9a8193…
10-05 20:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xa4304a…
10-05 09:23:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xfee8d2…
10-04 11:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xe9e0b9…
10-04 01:11:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x535597…
10-03 18:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x970a02…
10-03 09:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x80355c…
10-03 03:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xe09c92…
10-03 03:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xaae2bb…
10-03 00:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdcac7c…
10-02 12:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x941b9f…
10-02 08:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x3013a1…
10-01 22:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x68c2d0…
10-01 21:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x621693…
10-01 20:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x51d034…
10-01 12:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xcd2794…
10-01 08:22:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x20e747…
10-01 01:18:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x37b354…
10-01 00:20:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x5bc842…
09-30 21:48:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x961d76…
09-30 01:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x14cfd8…
09-30 00:32:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x8d9685…
09-29 21:53:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x8fc64b…
09-29 21:34:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xee2936…
09-29 14:25:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x23ff7e…
09-28 14:19:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0x517e9e…
09-28 14:08:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe72475…
09-27 07:04:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xfeef8f…
09-26 18:06:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x94c513…
09-26 13:20:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x537257…
09-26 13:20:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x2dd21b…
09-26 05:35:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x198104…
09-26 05:10:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf16872…
09-25 08:35:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x38b82f…
09-25 00:49:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x62a5c0…
09-24 23:39:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x9e9786…
09-24 01:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xb62003…
09-23 07:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfdae7b…
09-23 05:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x3aa313…
09-23 04:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x0a1558…