Realized P&L
-$607
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
20.8%
Resolved
2,531
Trades
5,282
lifetime
Volume
$6.52K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$36
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-23
last 10-30 10:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Other
74% 11% -$101
Sports
16% 14% -$484
Politics
9% 10% -$1
Tech
1% 0% -$6
Crypto
1% 11% -$12
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 2432 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +92 $1 3¢ $2 +$1 10-17 01:38
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +40 $1 5¢ $2 +$0 10-17 10:49
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? Yes +1,200 $2 0¢ $2 -$1 10-17 18:04
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +9 $1 16¢ $1 +$0 10-16 08:38
Ledger IPO before 2027? Yes +33 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-17 15:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +25 $1 6¢ $1 +$0 10-16 10:49
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +29 $1 5¢ $1 +$0 10-16 19:24
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +24 $1 6¢ $1 $0 10-17 06:52
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? Yes +12 $1 10¢ $1 +$0 10-17 05:23
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +30 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-16 12:37
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-16 09:18
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +12 $1 10¢ $1 +$0 10-17 04:10
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +13 $1 9¢ $1 +$0 10-16 08:10
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? Yes +31 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-17 01:30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +92 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-18 15:08
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? Yes +27 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-16 19:42
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +18 $1 6¢ $1 $0 10-17 23:25
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +43 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 10-16 09:44
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +21 $1 5¢ $1 +$0 10-16 14:49
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat? No +35 $1 3¢ $1 $0 10-16 17:07
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +14 $1 7¢ $1 +$0 10-16 09:55
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +20 $1 5¢ $1 $0 10-17 20:07
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? No +6 $1 16¢ $1 $0 10-17 05:43
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? Yes +24 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-17 17:17
Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Yes +6 $1 16¢ $1 $0 10-17 16:05
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +8 $1 12¢ $1 $0 10-17 14:43
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +11 $1 8¢ $1 $0 10-16 20:29
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +20 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-16 15:03
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +27 $1 3¢ $1 $0 10-16 21:04
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +13 $1 6¢ $1 $0 10-17 04:41