Realized P&L (90d)
+$873
Unrealized P&L
-$186
Hit rate
94.7%
Resolved (90d)
24
Trades (90d)
53
575 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$14.6K
$75.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$132
Open exposure
$10.6K
18 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 10-27 16:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 59 days
Categories
Other
44% 58% -$1,685
Tech
22% 93% +$1,172
Politics
18% 92% +$914
Sports
14% 48% +$281
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2,311 $2,200 96¢ $2.2K +$21 10-01 07:48
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +3,862 $2,122 48¢ $1.8K -$288 10-03 06:32
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,466 $1,400 97¢ $1.4K +$24 09-02 08:37
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +1,397 $1,033 90¢ $1.3K +$223 06-01 20:01
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? No +701 $640 98¢ $689 +$49 05-12 17:39
iran leadership change by october 31 No +650 $604 100¢ $647 +$43 08-22 14:41
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +1,026 $400 58¢ $600 +$200 08-01 12:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +541 $200 66¢ $357 +$157 09-08 05:31
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +5,246 $1,014 6¢ $289 -$725 10-03 06:32
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +450 $45 63¢ $283 +$238 10-27 16:50
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +484 $283 51¢ $247 -$36 10-01 18:47
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +255 $219 90¢ $229 +$10 08-16 05:09
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +241 $200 86¢ $208 +$8 08-27 04:31
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +207 $180 94¢ $196 +$16 09-08 05:27
will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31 No +68 $64 96¢ $65 +$1 08-16 04:16
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +333 $100 3¢ $11 -$89 05-05 08:19
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +159 $40 2¢ $3 -$37 06-01 20:04
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +61 $4 5¢ $3 -$1 08-16 04:58