Impeccable-Pitching — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$471

Unrealized P&L

-$84

Hit rate

88.6%

Resolved

572

Trades

643

lifetime

Volume

$23.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$266

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 11-04 02:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 139 days

Categories

Other

41% 92% +$256

Crypto

36% 93% +$119

Politics

23% 90% +$93

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	+107	$100	100¢	$107	+$7	11-04 02:01
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+106	$100	97¢	$103	+$3	10-28 01:00
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	+52	$50	98¢	$52	+$2	09-06 22:32
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	+106	$100	4¢	$4	-$96	11-03 14:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	13	$520	562	0	+562	Yes	+$42	09-01 21:38
Will Jeromie Whalen be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	11	$440	475	0	+475	No	+$35	09-01 22:36
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	3	$315	169	169	+0	No	-$5	06-03 13:23
will spy dip to 735 by june 1 2026	2	$230	124	124	+0	No	-$10	06-05 16:07
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?	2	$215	126	126	+0	Yes	-$25	06-17 19:45
will spy dip to 740 by june 1 2026	2	$213	126	126	+0	Yes	-$27	06-05 16:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	2	$158	81	81	+0	No	-$2	05-29 15:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?	2	$131	84	84	+0	Yes	-$29	05-27 23:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1?	2	$122	83	83	+0	Yes	-$38	06-01 13:17
wti up or down on june 15 2026	1	$120	125	0	+125	Down	+$5	06-15 13:41
Will Biagio Simonetti win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?	1	$120	124	0	+124	No	+$4	06-07 18:19
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	1	$120	128	0	+128	Yes	+$8	06-24 01:37
spy up or down on june 16 2026	1	$120	128	0	+128	Down	+$8	06-16 18:09
Will Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	1	$120	124	0	+124	No	+$4	06-07 17:18
spy up or down on june 5 2026	1	$120	123	0	+123	Down	+$3	06-05 15:22
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	1	$120	127	0	+127	No	+$7	06-16 23:14
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$120	126	0	+126	Yes	+$6	06-15 16:44
Will Rom Reddy win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	1	$120	123	0	+123	No	+$3	06-09 17:33
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	1	$120	125	0	+125	Yes	+$5	06-07 16:17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?	1	$120	128	0	+128	Yes	+$8	06-06 06:45
Will Mallory Dittmer be the Democratic nominee for SC-05?	1	$120	124	0	+124	Yes	+$4	06-09 16:32
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?	1	$120	124	0	+124	No	+$4	06-07 04:05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 17?	1	$120	124	0	+124	No	+$4	06-17 03:19
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	1	$120	123	0	+123	No	+$3	06-07 17:18
Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?	1	$120	125	0	+125	Yes	+$5	06-09 18:34
Will Ferdinando Federico win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?	1	$120	124	0	+124	Yes	+$4	06-07 18:19
spx up or down on june 5 2026	1	$120	123	0	+123	Down	+$3	06-05 14:21
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	1	$120	124	0	+124	No	+$4	06-16 03:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	2	$103	84	84	+0	No	-$57	06-01 13:49
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	1	$100	104	0	+104	Yes	+$4	10-27 01:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 02:01:33	Will the Democratic Party win the NV-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xe2be1f…
11-04 02:01:30	Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xcaa927…
11-04 02:01:28	Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x5cbe03…
11-03 20:59:55	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada Attorney General election?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xd25f21…
11-03 14:01:21	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x19e3eb…
11-03 14:01:19	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x9a3409…
11-03 09:03:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 0%-5%?	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0xd9f9db…
11-01 01:02:43	Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	No	BUY	103	98¢	$100	0x96d280…
10-30 15:15:49	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0x7e59bc…
10-28 01:00:45	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x95f8b2…
10-28 01:00:44	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x9a7235…
10-28 01:00:42	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xec45e4…
10-27 21:14:30	Will Shas win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xaf658c…
10-27 21:05:26	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x7022c0…
10-27 01:20:53	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x974d68…
10-25 01:55:47	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xb19798…
10-24 22:10:44	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0xd81e61…
10-09 15:02:49	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0x7fa56d…
10-09 14:56:39	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x0d2896…
10-06 02:36:55	Will the PQ win 60-64 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	No	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x675fbe…
10-05 21:25:44	Will Stéphanie Martin win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x268a50…
10-05 02:07:10	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x855b1e…
10-05 02:04:07	Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	Yes	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0x6f396d…
10-05 01:00:08	Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x6b7331…
10-04 22:00:05	Will Augusto Cury win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x445979…
10-04 21:56:59	Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0xd56655…
10-04 20:59:34	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x848a7b…
10-04 02:01:14	Will SV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xeef10f…
10-03 22:11:26	Renan Santos participates in debate before first round?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x5493e4…
10-02 13:03:03	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xbb4147…
10-02 13:03:03	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x6b0fe4…
09-29 13:02:36	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x7aa3ac…
09-23 02:23:16	Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?	Yes	BUY	86	93¢	$80	0xb92a76…
09-22 21:00:09	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 22?	Yes	BUY	70	93¢	$65	0xa7adfe…
09-20 21:22:11	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0x61ce29…
09-20 21:19:07	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win between 50 and 59 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	83	97¢	$80	0x34201e…
09-20 21:13:04	Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	Yes	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0x4ef4f4…
09-20 21:00:55	Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0x3ee876…
09-13 21:20:46	Will Lars Holmin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?	No	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0x42b071…
09-13 20:59:33	Will Helena Proos be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?	Yes	BUY	85	94¢	$80	0xf0eab6…
09-13 20:59:33	Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?	Yes	BUY	85	94¢	$80	0xc7ca36…
09-13 20:59:31	Will Bengt Bergqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen?	Yes	BUY	83	97¢	$80	0x72967b…
09-06 22:32:37	Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0xcc93ed…
09-06 21:01:43	Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x552300…
09-06 11:14:28	Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 3m?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xbec044…
09-03 21:28:24	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xa99ec2…
09-01 22:36:36	Will Jeromie Whalen be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xec707c…
09-01 22:33:31	Will Jeromie Whalen be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x4a74f3…
09-01 22:30:27	Will Jeromie Whalen be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x057d08…
09-01 22:27:22	Will Jeromie Whalen be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x615396…
09-01 22:24:18	Will Jeromie Whalen be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xe1dcde…
09-01 22:21:13	Will Jeromie Whalen be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x39ffe6…
09-01 22:18:07	Will Jeromie Whalen be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x6b9e18…
09-01 22:15:04	Will Jeromie Whalen be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x1c6010…
09-01 22:12:00	Will Jeromie Whalen be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x00c4ac…
09-01 22:08:55	Will Jeromie Whalen be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xbb5670…
09-01 22:05:49	Will Jeromie Whalen be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x738e98…
09-01 21:38:39	Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xc7eb2d…
09-01 21:35:34	Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xcc7d00…
09-01 21:32:27	Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xd83fb5…
09-01 21:29:22	Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x258cff…
09-01 21:26:18	Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x7d72a6…
09-01 21:23:13	Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x614a4b…
09-01 21:20:09	Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xdf09ac…
09-01 21:17:04	Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x894a35…
09-01 21:13:58	Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x337d46…
09-01 21:10:54	Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xafaf6a…
09-01 21:07:49	Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xce3fe0…
09-01 21:04:45	Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xce56ac…
09-01 21:01:40	Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x48a8c8…
09-01 13:10:39	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x00ab1a…
08-30 02:51:45	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xbd323a…
08-28 13:54:01	indiana lions in custody by friday noon et	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x3cd21d…
08-26 20:13:24	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x9a2818…
08-25 23:42:15	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x177500…
08-25 23:27:07	Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x942a61…
08-25 22:26:36	Will Darline Graham Nordone win Richland County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xc8fee2…
08-25 22:23:34	Will Ralph Norman win Richland County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0xdfbd1f…
08-24 13:06:58	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x99304c…
08-23 21:49:25	Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x28ae39…
08-21 15:43:45	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x90fd8a…
08-18 23:49:09	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xa90cf9…
08-18 20:59:43	will iran target a arab country on august 18 2026 20260801004719135	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xccdc36…
08-18 20:59:43	Will Kevin Christensen be the WY-AL Republican nominee?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x71e261…
08-12 20:59:51	Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xc30598…
08-12 03:17:12	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xec061b…
08-12 02:04:57	Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in July?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x9d2273…
08-11 23:55:16	Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xfe1979…
08-11 23:06:51	Will Michael Alfonso be the WI-07 Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xaa7a08…
08-11 23:00:48	Will Kevin Hermening be the WI-07 Republican nominee?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x71a9f0…
08-11 20:59:28	Will Rebecca Cooke be the WI-03 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x3e651a…
08-11 20:59:28	Will Russell Fry win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x08f295…
08-11 14:26:13	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x606ab4…
08-10 23:10:03	iran successfully targets shipping on august 10 2026 20260729163314530	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x5d0914…
08-10 21:00:03	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 10 2026 20260722225036934	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x7d44a7…
08-09 23:32:19	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 160m?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xcd82ab…
08-09 21:01:19	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x891622…
08-08 21:01:49	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x116dae…
08-07 14:26:25	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x65bee1…
08-06 20:59:12	Will Van Hilleary be the TN-06 Republican nominee?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x886c54…