Hideous-Nougat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,137

lifetime

Volume

$127.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$113

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-05 23:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

46% 33% +$11

Other

44% 100% +$0

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	54	$15.8K	43,194	44,807	-1,612	open	—	05-29 19:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	20	$11.7K	7,411	7,316	+95	open	—	04-29 16:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	31	$6.4K	5,885	5,743	+141	open	—	04-29 15:57
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	6	$5.2K	5,545	530	+5,015	open	—	04-30 21:39
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	55	$4.2K	6,358	1,000	+5,358	open	—	03-15 22:30
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	18	$3.8K	3,213	1,381	+1,831	open	—	03-29 20:06
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	15	$3.8K	9,038	10,038	-1,000	open	—	04-05 08:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	6	$3.6K	4,422	4,422	+0	open	—	05-29 15:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	18	$3.4K	10,162	10,162	+0	open	—	05-26 14:08
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	13	$3.2K	1,687	1,717	-30	open	—	01-05 03:18
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	11	$2.8K	1,800	1,500	+300	open	—	03-12 04:52
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	37	$2.4K	5,836	5,836	+0	open	—	03-30 14:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$2.4K	1,210	1,210	+0	open	—	04-29 16:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	16	$2.3K	8,852	8,852	+0	open	—	05-10 19:15
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	17	$2.3K	1,981	1,981	+0	open	—	05-29 14:01
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	10	$2.3K	1,280	1,280	+0	open	—	03-28 23:17
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	5	$2.2K	1,120	1,120	+0	open	—	04-10 16:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	9	$2.0K	1,174	1,169	+5	open	—	04-16 17:02
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$2.0K	1,002	1,002	+0	open	—	04-29 16:02
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	15	$1.9K	1,756	1,756	+0	open	—	05-29 19:14
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	21	$1.7K	2,383	0	+2,383	open	—	03-15 22:27
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	4	$1.7K	1,040	1,040	+0	open	—	01-03 13:21
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	15	$1.7K	2,850	2,850	+0	open	—	04-07 22:53
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	31	$1.6K	1,933	1,065	+867	open	—	03-29 00:57
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$1.5K	1,550	0	+1,550	open	—	03-28 16:54
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	10	$1.5K	1,448	1,448	+0	open	—	03-27 18:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	18	$1.3K	1,153	1,138	+15	open	—	04-16 14:07
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$1.1K	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	02-20 13:54
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	9	$1.0K	617	617	+0	open	—	05-26 10:53
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$993	667	667	+0	open	—	01-04 01:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 23:21:42	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	353	68¢	$240	0x9d548a…
05-29 19:14:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	306	60¢	$184	0x16f2b7…
05-29 19:14:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	47	37¢	$17	0xf87be0…
05-29 19:14:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0x0440d8…
05-29 19:14:09	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	371	8¢	$28	0x0879c0…
05-29 19:14:05	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x8b98fc…
05-29 19:13:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16,158	7¢	$1,131	0x1169a7…
05-29 18:07:25	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x1848c9…
05-29 16:50:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,333	15¢	$500	0x71ced1…
05-29 16:48:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x41ba03…
05-29 16:43:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0x1f98d2…
05-29 16:39:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x3d5ef2…
05-29 16:38:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x69a99b…
05-29 16:32:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xfceed7…
05-29 16:31:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,571	14¢	$500	0x1e60fa…
05-29 16:30:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x6e03af…
05-29 16:30:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xc4ec00…
05-29 16:29:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0x9db504…
05-29 16:19:26	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x17dd81…
05-29 16:14:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	371	13¢	$50	0xd3d3f9…
05-29 16:05:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,538	13¢	$200	0x29c9fb…
05-29 16:04:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	833	12¢	$100	0x395909…
05-29 16:01:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	13¢	$390	0x7b1455…
05-29 16:01:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	13¢	$8	0xdbb651…
05-29 16:01:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	419	13¢	$54	0x0deb80…
05-29 16:00:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	343	13¢	$45	0xf4d936…
05-29 16:00:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,657	13¢	$215	0xe25906…
05-29 15:51:21	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	SELL	156	72¢	$112	0xa4f155…
05-29 15:51:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	476	32¢	$150	0x88b3ee…
05-29 15:50:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,381	36¢	$868	0x866ed5…
05-29 15:49:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8,067	12¢	$968	0x1f2fe5…
05-29 15:25:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,381	42¢	$1,000	0x409242…
05-29 15:25:01	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in May?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xb27855…
05-29 15:24:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x196b34…
05-29 15:23:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in May?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x0005bf…
05-29 15:18:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x16f43d…
05-29 15:18:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,667	15¢	$1,000	0x488cdb…
05-29 15:17:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	14¢	$56	0x047a37…
05-29 15:15:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	427	15¢	$64	0x5ad9ce…
05-29 15:15:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	15¢	$11	0x38e6a1…
05-29 15:14:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	295	15¢	$44	0x45b76b…
05-29 15:14:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x34f419…
05-29 14:01:58	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0xa61eb1…
05-29 14:01:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	SELL	42	9¢	$4	0x63b0b6…
05-29 14:01:50	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	81	11¢	$9	0xc38a99…
05-29 14:01:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	120	74¢	$89	0xcb3bdd…
05-29 14:01:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	244	36¢	$88	0xf05a3b…
05-29 14:01:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	256	79¢	$203	0x70de4f…
05-29 14:01:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,041	39¢	$796	0x7c1926…
05-29 14:01:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	549	19¢	$104	0xdd947d…
05-29 14:01:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7,003	8¢	$560	0x154b7d…
05-28 17:46:46	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x3cdfc8…
05-28 14:20:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	16¢	$112	0x5a90fe…
05-28 14:20:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x26f1df…
05-28 14:19:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x8d7ea9…
05-28 14:19:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x017649…
05-28 14:17:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	159	63¢	$100	0x5e524f…
05-28 14:16:57	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	256	71¢	$182	0x0ce20e…
05-28 14:15:21	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	470	46¢	$218	0xe967a7…
05-28 14:15:01	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	129	64¢	$82	0xdbb4ff…
05-28 12:49:13	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	54	94¢	$50	0x4caf2b…
05-28 12:46:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,190	42¢	$500	0x495d04…
05-28 12:43:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x3544dc…
05-28 12:42:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0xeccec8…
05-28 10:43:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xac6e9b…
05-28 10:42:57	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?	No	SELL	13	75¢	$9	0x510fd5…
05-28 10:42:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	27	83¢	$23	0x759ae8…
05-28 10:42:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	61	82¢	$50	0x945b16…
05-28 10:37:33	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xcbc391…
05-28 10:37:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xf1e630…
05-28 10:35:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x8af338…
05-28 10:35:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	27	84¢	$23	0xdcceab…
05-27 23:49:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x9f23b8…
05-27 23:03:44	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0x104683…
05-27 22:59:06	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x3acadb…
05-27 22:57:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x2b4ce8…
05-27 22:54:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x3cbfd5…
05-27 22:53:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x3a56e5…
05-27 22:49:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x411ada…
05-27 22:49:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0xbfe2d1…
05-27 20:44:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	31¢	$7	0xdc5146…
05-27 20:40:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	612	49¢	$300	0x7de91f…
05-27 20:39:27	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	441	68¢	$300	0xf84290…
05-27 20:31:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x580ea5…
05-27 20:09:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,000	16¢	$960	0x9489d4…
05-27 16:33:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0xfa3a25…
05-27 16:31:11	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x84972e…
05-26 17:34:25	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	79	60¢	$48	0xbd9425…
05-26 16:31:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	32	8¢	$3	0x473c53…
05-26 16:31:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	151	2¢	$3	0x33d512…
05-26 16:31:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	8¢	$6	0xeb6dc1…
05-26 16:31:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	152	26¢	$39	0xc5a986…
05-26 16:30:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,711	24¢	$1,371	0x5357a5…
05-26 14:08:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,117	4¢	$165	0x8fc66d…
05-26 11:27:44	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	814	55¢	$448	0x53059d…
05-26 11:25:29	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	49	55¢	$27	0x23dda8…
05-26 11:25:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xbd3fcf…
05-26 11:18:59	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x8998ec…
05-26 11:18:54	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x77442a…
05-26 11:18:40	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x18dde1…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	240	$2.57M	44,601	06-09 14:27
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	199	$412.5K	2,558	06-08 23:32
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	197	$63.2M	91,051	06-10 04:34
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	187	$34.9K	8,423	06-05 00:43
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	184	$876.7K	6,294	06-09 16:46
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	184	$338.6K	29,849	03-30 13:41
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	181	$91.3K	28,550	04-26 14:40
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	167	$611.4K	74,673	06-09 17:26