Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$661

Unrealized P&L

+$115

Hit rate

86.6%

Resolved

169

Trades

440

lifetime

Volume

$20.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

$1.88K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 11-03 21:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

88% 79% +$689

Sports

8% 61% -$63

Politics

2% 100% +$36

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	No	+800	$660	92¢	$740	+$80	10-21 07:45
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	No	+500	$454	96¢	$481	+$27	10-21 21:53
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	+400	$368	92¢	$370	+$2	10-21 07:45
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	No	+200	$192	98¢	$195	+$3	10-28 07:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	+100	$94	97¢	$97	+$3	10-30 17:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	6	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$38	06-29 22:54
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	4	$1.1K	1,244	0	+1,244	No	+$164	05-14 08:35
will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	8	$1.1K	550	550	+0	No	+$24	04-01 14:20
Will gas hit (High) $4.05 by April 30?	1	$698	700	0	+700	Yes	+$2	04-01 09:57
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.4% before 2027?	4	$672	673	0	+673	Yes	+$1	03-26 23:31
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	2	$660	800	0	+800	open	—	10-21 07:45
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt0 by march 31	1	$629	630	0	+630	No	+$1	03-31 19:42
will gas hit high 4pt00 by march 31	3	$620	626	0	+626	Yes	+$6	03-31 07:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$599	700	0	+700	No	+$101	07-08 18:46
Will SOFR hit 3.66% (Low) between April 1 and April 30?	1	$594	595	0	+595	Yes	+$1	04-02 12:41
will fewer than 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	9	$589	500	106	+394	No	+$17	04-14 02:47
will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 12 2026	7	$469	300	300	+0	Yes	-$94	04-13 01:47
Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 24?	2	$460	465	0	+465	No	+$5	10-22 22:54
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	2	$454	500	0	+500	open	—	10-21 21:53
1k container ship transits of suez canal in q1 2026	8	$438	267	182	+85	No	-$4	04-25 18:21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	3	$396	200	200	+0	open	—	11-03 21:34
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	1	$396	400	0	+400	No	+$4	06-07 15:57
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	20	$376	3,734	3,213	+521	No	-$24	04-11 15:12
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	1	$368	400	0	+400	open	—	10-21 07:45
will 10 14 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	3	$298	305	0	+305	No	+$6	04-03 15:16
will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	2	$292	297	0	+297	No	+$5	03-19 08:58
will a dozen eggs cost 2pt50 in january	3	$262	398	0	+398	No	+$135	01-20 08:56
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	11	$238	450	0	+450	No	+$12	03-22 08:17
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?	1	$198	200	0	+200	No	+$2	06-24 19:02
will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be less than 4 on april 12 2026	1	$198	200	0	+200	No	+$2	04-08 14:44
Paris curfew effectively lifted by November 30?	1	$197	200	0	+200	Yes	+$3	10-27 08:30
will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 16 and 19 on april 12 2026	4	$195	200	0	+200	No	+$5	04-13 18:45
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	1	$192	200	0	+200	open	—	10-28 07:22
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	12	$188	350	0	+350	Yes	+$12	03-22 09:21
will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19	2	$188	200	0	+200	No	+$12	04-15 16:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 21:34:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x2c2678…
11-03 20:31:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xf6a975…
11-01 22:55:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xcaa23c…
10-31 09:07:10	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8c06be…
10-30 17:11:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	59	94¢	$55	0x06ba26…
10-30 14:34:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xf07d85…
10-30 14:23:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	25	94¢	$23	0x662ea3…
10-28 19:14:10	Paris curfew effectively lifted by November 7?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xb169b7…
10-28 07:22:56	US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x4cc988…
10-27 08:30:05	Paris curfew effectively lifted by November 30?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0xa4a7ee…
10-22 22:54:39	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 24?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x1c25f0…
10-22 22:54:05	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 24?	No	BUY	404	99¢	$400	0xf8326d…
10-21 21:53:44	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x3a317a…
10-21 13:48:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	No	BUY	300	92¢	$276	0xfcb5b7…
10-21 08:04:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x3101ad…
10-21 07:45:57	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	400	92¢	$368	0x6468f0…
10-21 07:45:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	BUY	300	85¢	$255	0x6bb9c5…
08-12 17:51:48	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	No	BUY	500	81¢	$405	0xbada5f…
07-08 18:46:19	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	300	85¢	$255	0x65d554…
06-29 22:54:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	700	100¢	$698	0xc3c00b…
06-28 00:10:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	400	86¢	$344	0x45a390…
06-26 06:26:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x23e0e6…
06-24 19:02:41	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x3d5bac…
06-24 14:07:25	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0xffaf0c…
06-24 12:32:46	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?	Yes	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0xe50816…
06-24 09:09:01	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xc4dcfc…
06-11 17:49:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0xf7b8d1…
06-08 15:56:42	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x98236a…
06-08 15:55:40	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xf602a6…
06-08 15:55:40	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?	Yes	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0xca59f8…
06-08 15:55:40	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	49¢	$6	0x1b47b8…
06-08 15:55:39	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0f0ea9…
06-08 15:55:37	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?	Yes	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x63540a…
06-07 19:00:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xeeff16…
06-07 16:44:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$185	0xc02452…
06-07 16:31:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	191	93¢	$178	0x83ba01…
06-07 16:26:51	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x2f52bb…
06-07 15:57:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	400	99¢	$396	0x5443c4…
05-14 08:35:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	344	96¢	$332	0x2432b5…
05-11 18:04:39	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.75 in April?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xec7236…
05-11 18:04:39	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.75 in April?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x347a77…
05-11 17:31:24	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.75 in April?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc722c8…
05-09 04:53:25	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	No	BUY	154	72¢	$111	0xe8d6b2…
05-07 19:31:15	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	No	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0x4ca15b…
05-07 19:09:33	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xfb2a78…
04-29 18:48:26	Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.40% (HIGH) in April?	Yes	BUY	64	62¢	$40	0xc40971…
04-28 02:07:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	300	82¢	$246	0x126f99…
04-27 12:24:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	400	83¢	$332	0xeb9c28…
04-27 11:20:32	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x9face7…
04-25 18:21:12	1k container ship transits of suez canal in q1 2026	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x6f2d45…
04-23 17:19:06	1k container ship transits of suez canal in q1 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8fe28e…
04-22 07:21:40	1k container ship transits of suez canal in q1 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2348dd…
04-19 10:43:38	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 16 and 19 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x31ebe1…
04-18 09:52:06	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 16 and 19 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0x258b33…
04-18 09:46:10	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 16 and 19 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	9	86¢	$7	0x2a38e6…
04-17 13:55:10	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be 20 or more on april 19 2026	No	BUY	44	87¢	$38	0xb5b521…
04-17 13:45:26	1k container ship transits of suez canal in q1 2026	No	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x6ebc25…
04-17 13:00:00	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be 20 or more on april 19 2026	No	BUY	56	87¢	$49	0x5ea8dd…
04-17 12:50:22	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be 20 or more on april 19 2026	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x2e11b2…
04-16 22:48:38	will 70 79 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 178	No	BUY	67	89¢	$60	0xf9786f…
04-16 08:20:08	will 70 79 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 178	No	BUY	33	89¢	$29	0x37af6e…
04-15 16:14:18	will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19	No	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0xa2ef0f…
04-15 13:35:54	will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x9b8b6d…
04-15 05:45:10	will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19	No	BUY	153	94¢	$144	0xacf911…
04-14 23:29:24	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be less than 4 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xd18349…
04-14 23:20:08	will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362	No	BUY	69	87¢	$60	0x49be6d…
04-14 21:54:54	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be less than 4 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	99	90¢	$89	0x35c9d4…
04-14 21:35:14	will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362	No	BUY	31	87¢	$27	0xd0f9fb…
04-14 19:34:54	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be less than 4 on april 19 2026	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8bfb36…
04-14 04:30:39	will 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day april 812	Yes	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x4675a8…
04-14 02:47:47	will fewer than 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xe5f224…
04-14 02:47:47	will fewer than 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x3edf7d…
04-13 22:56:29	will fewer than 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf40f04…
04-13 21:14:05	will fewer than 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x53e931…
04-13 18:47:29	will fewer than 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xcc8356…
04-13 18:47:21	will fewer than 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4db1c2…
04-13 18:45:17	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 16 and 19 on april 12 2026	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x15529e…
04-13 01:47:29	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 12 2026	No	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x848ba8…
04-12 21:07:37	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 12 2026	No	SELL	146	62¢	$91	0xeafdf1…
04-12 18:42:17	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 12 2026	No	SELL	142	62¢	$89	0x431fb9…
04-12 17:38:09	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 12 2026	No	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0x3899a8…
04-12 17:26:45	will 60 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	No	BUY	36	61¢	$22	0xf78f38…
04-12 15:21:21	will 60 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x0d85b6…
04-12 15:03:11	will 60 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	No	BUY	31	61¢	$19	0xe4da17…
04-12 15:03:01	will 60 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	No	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x2419c7…
04-11 19:12:57	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on april 12 2026	No	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0x4c430c…
04-11 16:12:27	1k container ship transits of suez canal in q1 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x9034b1…
04-11 15:54:19	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 16 and 19 on april 12 2026	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xcec8e0…
04-11 15:18:45	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 16 and 19 on april 12 2026	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x789369…
04-11 15:12:59	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	6¢	$5	0xdbefe6…
04-11 14:26:07	will 20 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xb05770…
04-11 14:25:19	will 20 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xabfa40…
04-11 14:03:07	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	6¢	$4	0x216be3…
04-11 13:11:59	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 16 and 19 on april 12 2026	No	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0x6d3a94…
04-11 12:48:33	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	182	6¢	$11	0x0ec1e5…
04-11 10:15:17	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x3c9e9a…
04-11 09:04:43	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	6¢	$4	0xe78328…
04-10 21:41:01	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x61756c…
04-10 20:36:51	will fewer than 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xe705a8…
04-10 11:28:25	will a dozen eggs cost between 3pt503pt75 in march	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbc6101…