Sure-Footed-Ease — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.6%

Resolved

1,331

Trades

7,328

lifetime

Volume

$739.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$101

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-16 17:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Sports

58% 90% -$3,121

Other

35% 76% -$10,226

Politics

6% 83% +$1,814

Crypto

1% 75% +$10

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	36	$16.2K	7,624	9,082	-1,459	Yes	+$1,466	04-07 15:18
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	128	$14.2K	15,415	7,114	+8,301	No	+$106	04-01 04:54
nhl van sj 2026 04 11	167	$12.9K	10,273	8,325	+1,949	Canucks	+$1,500	04-12 05:01
netanyahu out by march 31 854	54	$10.3K	7,936	6,539	+1,397	No	+$74	03-18 09:03
nba por sas 2026 04 19	36	$8.6K	6,001	4,000	+2,001	Spurs	+$255	04-20 03:21
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	141	$8.2K	6,908	7,962	-1,054	Yes	-$4,103	05-06 20:02
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	84	$7.4K	11,694	2,457	+9,237	Yes	+$125	04-08 14:36
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	61	$7.2K	16,300	1,600	+14,700	Yes	-$4,659	07-09 17:27
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	135	$6.9K	11,010	1,683	+9,326	No	+$2,462	05-10 12:42
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	7	$6.8K	7,631	3,700	+3,931	No	+$1,712	07-14 19:01
nba phx okc 2026 04 22	15	$6.2K	3,500	3,317	+183	Thunder	+$44	04-23 04:03
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	5	$6.1K	4,894	1,282	+3,612	No	+$29	03-28 09:00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	23	$6.1K	13,000	12,000	+1,000	No	+$153	07-10 18:55
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?	7	$5.2K	6,000	3,000	+3,000	No	-$750	07-07 19:27
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	56	$5.0K	4,562	4,244	+318	Yes	-$125	04-07 10:19
nba gsw lac 2026 04 15	23	$4.9K	5,854	1,854	+4,000	Warriors	+$47	04-16 04:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	17	$4.9K	3,800	1,130	+2,670	No	+$14	04-29 18:08
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	11	$4.9K	5,500	1,963	+3,537	No	+$42	06-26 17:49
nba den sas 2026 03 12	29	$4.9K	2,802	2,802	+0	Nuggets	+$28	03-13 02:49
nba hou lal 2026 04 21	25	$4.8K	6,205	3,989	+2,215	Lakers	-$1,206	04-22 04:29
nba nyk den 2026 03 06	18	$4.8K	2,000	4,000	-2,000	Knicks	-$370	03-07 03:29
nba dal bos 2026 03 06	12	$4.6K	2,145	3,000	-855	Celtics	-$64	03-07 01:22
nba lal gsw 2026 04 09	26	$4.5K	7,204	1,191	+6,013	Lakers	+$150	04-10 03:29
nba den okc 2026 02 27	42	$4.4K	8,500	0	+8,500	Thunder	+$55	02-28 05:29
nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	30	$4.4K	4,657	2,581	+2,076	Suns	+$57	04-18 03:50
nba uta sac 2026 03 15	13	$4.3K	2,000	4,000	-2,000	Kings	-$530	03-16 03:16
nba lac mem 2026 03 07	46	$4.2K	4,135	3,634	+501	Clippers	+$166	03-08 03:12
nba gsw sac 2026 04 10	11	$4.1K	6,100	1,086	+5,014	Kings	+$77	04-11 04:34
Lakers vs. Rockets	26	$4.0K	5,000	1,000	+4,000	Lakers	+$35	04-25 03:00
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	7	$3.8K	5,706	2,036	+3,670	Spain	+$1,524	07-19 18:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-16 17:06:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x29ea33…
09-07 15:55:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0xa79c43…
09-02 19:31:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x6b432e…
09-02 05:04:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xd77228…
08-29 10:10:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	34	57¢	$19	0x915c10…
08-28 12:15:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	166	71¢	$118	0x9e34a8…
08-28 05:15:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$3	0x2b4ddc…
08-28 04:12:37	wnba wsh phx 2026 08 27 spread away 5pt5	Phoenix Mercury	BUY	181	1¢	$2	0x068877…
08-28 03:56:15	bkfibaqam mex col 2026 08 27 total 160pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x130d2b…
08-28 03:55:57	bkfibaqam mex col 2026 08 27 spread home 2pt5	Mexico	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd2b092…
08-28 02:38:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$3	0xc517a6…
08-27 04:07:54	wnba tor sea 2026 08 26 spread home 4pt5	Seattle Storm	BUY	144	98¢	$141	0xeb9bd3…
08-27 04:05:57	Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm	Seattle Storm	BUY	272	100¢	$271	0x6e0b4f…
08-27 03:59:36	Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm	Seattle Storm	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0x4aac45…
08-27 03:59:04	Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm	Seattle Storm	BUY	500	99¢	$497	0xd29546…
07-30 08:41:02	lol nip wb 2026 07 30 game2	Weibo Gaming	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x7425c0…
07-30 08:33:29	lol nip wb 2026 07 30 game2	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	78	92¢	$72	0xdff771…
07-30 08:33:26	lol nip wb 2026 07 30 game2	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x840779…
07-30 08:30:06	lol nip wb 2026 07 30 game2	Weibo Gaming	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xb1b6b8…
07-30 07:52:29	lol nip wb 2026 07 30 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb70993…
07-30 07:51:38	lol nip wb 2026 07 30 total games 2pt5	Over	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0xa1bdb9…
07-30 07:50:29	lol nip wb 2026 07 30 total games 2pt5	Over	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0xd706fc…
07-30 07:48:44	lol nip wb 2026 07 30 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0bcd11…
07-30 07:48:35	lol nip wb 2026 07 30 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb072c7…
07-29 17:53:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x7a1c3a…
07-29 17:53:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x0bc428…
07-29 17:53:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	80¢	$15	0x55310f…
07-29 17:52:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xdf7d49…
07-29 17:51:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xdc8204…
07-29 17:45:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	270	77¢	$207	0x7a3957…
07-29 17:43:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x25117f…
07-29 17:15:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x59c76b…
07-29 16:52:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xa8fa03…
07-29 16:26:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x2280fb…
07-29 16:25:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	161	73¢	$118	0xae2199…
07-29 16:16:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	122	72¢	$88	0xa0080b…
07-29 16:01:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	89	73¢	$65	0xe75177…
07-29 16:01:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0xdbf8ef…
07-29 16:01:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	52	73¢	$38	0x5dfefc…
07-29 16:01:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	248	73¢	$182	0x8a345c…
07-29 16:01:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x82af63…
07-29 16:01:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0x7edb8e…
07-29 16:01:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	23	73¢	$17	0x691e56…
07-29 15:55:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	472	73¢	$346	0xe2b305…
07-29 15:53:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	528	73¢	$385	0x9b0bf9…
07-29 15:37:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	149	74¢	$110	0x827eb3…
07-29 15:36:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x22ee48…
07-29 15:32:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	73¢	$16	0x6cecee…
07-29 15:30:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	73¢	$18	0x82638a…
07-29 15:27:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	210	0¢	$0	0xec6ce1…
07-29 15:24:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	67	73¢	$49	0x1ef223…
07-29 15:11:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	304	74¢	$226	0x7721ca…
07-29 15:01:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xbe1ce2…
07-29 15:01:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x03d733…
07-29 15:00:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x82715f…
07-29 15:00:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	19	24¢	$5	0xbaa1ac…
07-29 14:56:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	41	75¢	$30	0x231817…
07-29 14:56:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc61678…
07-29 14:36:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xf68a8e…
07-29 14:35:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	90	76¢	$68	0x881f9f…
07-29 14:30:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	65	25¢	$16	0xedc8c2…
07-29 14:29:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0xe990c6…
07-29 14:27:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	65	75¢	$49	0x645df9…
07-29 13:56:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	139	23¢	$32	0xc97fd8…
07-29 13:56:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xe412f1…
07-29 13:51:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	56	24¢	$13	0x109fb6…
07-29 13:50:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$151	0xfdd03e…
07-29 13:46:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	26	75¢	$19	0xd9bf33…
07-29 13:42:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xf84657…
07-27 07:28:01	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 2t cny 20260722211138918	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x18c589…
07-27 07:19:37	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1pt5t cny 20260722211138919	Yes	BUY	417	100¢	$417	0xbcabcf…
07-27 07:14:16	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3t yuan 20260723150635976	Yes	BUY	218	100¢	$218	0x15e063…
07-27 07:14:09	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3t yuan 20260723150635976	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x613168…
07-27 07:10:09	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 2pt5t cny 20260722211138917	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa00d5c…
07-27 07:04:49	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	No	BUY	420	100¢	$420	0x54bdc9…
07-27 07:02:55	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	No	BUY	216	100¢	$216	0x8ba54e…
07-27 07:00:12	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	No	BUY	2,271	100¢	$2,269	0x1e437d…
07-26 07:03:12	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3t yuan 20260723150635976	Yes	SELL	120	35¢	$42	0x7aeaf3…
07-25 12:43:45	Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?	No	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0xa8802f…
07-25 09:50:16	Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?	No	SELL	1,000	1¢	$11	0xb036f5…
07-25 08:30:07	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3t yuan 20260723150635976	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xb2351b…
07-25 02:23:21	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3t yuan 20260723150635976	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xcda165…
07-24 23:17:24	Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?	No	BUY	900	1¢	$10	0xb79fea…
07-24 15:35:48	Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	97	0¢	$0	0x4e3937…
07-24 15:35:45	Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xca4f9d…
07-24 15:30:57	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	186	57¢	$106	0xccd0e2…
07-24 15:30:55	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	91	57¢	$51	0xd00d94…
07-24 15:30:55	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	323	57¢	$184	0x14a3eb…
07-24 09:33:42	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x3b9b5b…
07-24 09:24:12	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0xdbe50c…
07-24 09:11:19	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	1	56¢	$0	0x7d6147…
07-24 08:55:24	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x38a9f0…
07-24 08:53:09	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x710afe…
07-24 08:51:30	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0xd06fa5…
07-24 08:03:09	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3t yuan 20260723150635976	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x345b54…
07-24 07:56:12	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3t yuan 20260723150635976	Yes	BUY	195	50¢	$98	0xc0937e…
07-23 10:50:33	lol jdg al 2026 07 23 game2 first blood	Anyone's Legend	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0x89d2b7…
07-23 10:49:54	lol jdg al 2026 07 23 game2 first blood	Anyone's Legend	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x438880…
07-23 10:45:49	lol jdg al 2026 07 23 game2 first blood	Anyone's Legend	BUY	81	99¢	$81	0xa65413…
07-23 04:22:00	wnba dal por 2026 07 22	Dallas Wings	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xbb910b…