(anonymous) 0xbc17d1…7431b0
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Realized P&L
-$101
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
30.1%
Resolved
75
Trades
20,831
lifetime
Volume
$58.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$90
16 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 06-30 18:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
80% 36% $-83
Sports
13% — —
Other
5% 40% $-18
Politics
2% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 2397 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -14 $-6 100¢ $-14 $-8 06-18 20:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +14 $13 100¢ $14 +$1 06-21 01:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +22 $11 57¢ $13 +$2 06-04 23:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +15 $10 75¢ $11 +$1 06-04 22:39
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +10 $7 74¢ $7 +$1 06-04 21:30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 $-0 06-30 03:28
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-12 15:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 05-29 19:48
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -5 $-3 100¢ $-5 $-2 06-07 21:52
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +10 $6 50¢ $5 $-1 06-09 15:55
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 06-22 03:17
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-23 13:13
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +5 $1 17¢ $1 $-1 06-27 23:22
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 05-31 11:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +38 $0 0¢ $0 $-0 06-26 11:38
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -26 $-7 0¢ $-0 +$7 06-20 09:14